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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-126 (OT)
28-27 30-35 21-30 35-22 11-12
Position#11
Record44-32
FormWLWLL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#12
Record40-35
FormLWWLL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
115-87
115
87
+28
111avg 95
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
104-94
104
94
+10
98avg 95
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-101
106
101
+5
97avg 95
H13/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
119-107
119
107
+12
109avg 95
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
121-113
121
113
+8
116avg 95
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
132-125
132
125
+7
124avg 95
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
99-100
99
100
-1
85avg 95
A21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
95avg 95
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
105-108
105
108
-3
90avg 95
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
99-103
99
103
-4
86avg 95
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
23-15
39-29
27-20
24-19
28-24
25-25
27-26
19-16
27-24
32-39
28-22
31-28
23-38
36-22
29-19
27-30
36-26
26-28
32-29
40-34
26-30
31-34
35-27
26-18
22-27
27-28
24-27
24-18
20-22
20-26
41-33
17-34
35-23
28-25
25-26
29-24
27-35
25-18
18-26
214.2Avg total
110.5Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)107.1104.0211.2+3.158%
Season at home (38)107.9102.3210.1+5.668%
Season away (38)106.4105.8212.2+0.747%
Last 10 (10)110.5103.7214.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)108.0107.0215.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0122.0234.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)109.8109.5219.3+0.247%
vs Weaker (12)110.2105.1215.2+5.183%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
125-116
125
116
+9
121avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
130-104
130
104
+26
137avg 103
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
96avg 103
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
126avg 103
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
142avg 103
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
99avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 103
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
28-34
29-34
31-20
32-25
34-24
35-19
29-36
22-35
25-13
35-29
21-35
33-29
32-22
33-33
22-29
17-34
31-19
27-31
19-17
37-36
26-28
28-28
27-26
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
23-16
32-27
23-33
30-24
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
230.4Avg total
117.0Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)109.7108.5218.3+1.253%
Season at home (37)112.2106.1218.3+6.273%
Season away (38)107.3110.9218.3-3.634%
Last 10 (10)117.0113.4230.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)119.6117.6237.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.8117.8228.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (17)117.3115.4232.7+1.959%
vs Weaker (9)113.1106.1219.2+7.067%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H25/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A30/03
NBA
103.8Avg total
53.0Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.954.0109.9+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.951.2105.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)57.956.9114.8+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)53.050.8103.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.0106.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.054.099.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.054.2110.2+1.859%-
vs Weaker (12)56.753.8110.4+2.950%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
112.8Avg total
60.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.356.5115.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.657.1115.8+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)60.155.9116.0+4.357%-
Last 10 (10)60.352.5112.8+7.860%-
Last 5 (5)62.452.4114.8+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.860.8113.5-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)59.957.1117.0+2.859%-
vs Weaker (9)61.253.6114.8+7.778%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.328.8
51.2%
51.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.3
38.3%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws26.119.0
72.8%
76.5%19.0
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.327.4
51.4%
51.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.814.3
42.3%
36.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws24.619.3
78.5%
76.5%19.3
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLWLWW
#11
League position
#12
+6.8
Net rating
+3.6
111.1
Offensive rating
115.6
104.3
Defensive rating
112.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.3%
3-point %
42.3%
55.1%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 115.6Defence104.3 · 112.1Shooting53.3% · 56.1%3-point %38.3% · 42.3%Ball care13.0% · 12.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 21.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/18ASan Antonio Spurs99-103
25/03/18HPortland Trail Blazers105-108
24/03/18HMiami Heat105-99
21/03/18ABoston Celtics99-100
18/03/18AToronto Raptors132-125
17/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers121-113
13/03/18AAtlanta Hawks119-107
13/03/18HSacramento Kings106-101
11/03/18HSan Antonio Spurs104-94
09/03/18HPhoenix Suns115-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
23/03/18AWashington Wizards108-100
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102
19/03/18AMiami Heat141-149 OT
18/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies94-101
16/03/18HDetroit Pistons120-113
14/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers103-112
11/03/18HSacramento Kings130-104
10/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers125-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %58%68%47%
Points / game107.1107.9106.4
Allowed / game104.0102.3105.8
Point differential+3.1+5.6+0.7
Avg total211.2210.1212.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%32%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (25)54% (13)42% (12)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLWWLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %53%73%34%
Points / game109.7112.2107.3
Allowed / game108.5106.1110.9
Point differential+1.2+6.2-3.6
Avg total218.3218.3218.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)54% (13)17% (6)
Overtime %5%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets75611481%113.6104.2+9.4
2 Toronto Raptors75552073%112.5104.4+8.1
3 Golden State Warriors75542172%113.9107.1+6.8
4 Boston Celtics75522369%104.1100.1+4.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers75462961%106.0103.3+2.7
6 Philadelphia 76ers75453060%108.8105.3+3.5
7 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%110.7110.0+0.7
8 Indiana Pacers76453159%105.6103.9+1.7
9 Oklahoma City Thunder76443258%107.1104.0+3.1
10 San Antonio Spurs76443258%102.599.4+3.1
11 New Orleans Pelicans75433257%111.3111.0+0.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves76433357%109.9107.7+2.2
13 Utah Jazz75423356%103.4100.1+3.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers75413455%109.5108.4+1.1
15 Washington Wizards75413455%106.9105.9+1.0
16 Miami Heat76413554%103.3102.6+0.6
17 Denver Nuggets75403553%109.7108.5+1.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks75403553%106.0106.2-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons75354047%103.1103.6-0.5
20 Charlotte Hornets76344245%107.8107.8+0.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers74334145%108.4109.8-1.4
22 New York Knicks76274936%104.5108.1-3.6
23 Chicago Bulls76255133%102.8109.8-6.9
24 Brooklyn Nets75245132%106.5110.5-4.0
25 Sacramento Kings76245232%99.4106.7-7.3
26 Dallas Mavericks75235231%102.6105.2-2.6
27 Orlando Magic75225329%104.0108.9-4.8
28 Memphis Grizzlies75215428%98.9104.7-5.8
29 Atlanta Hawks76215528%103.5109.1-5.6
30 Phoenix Suns76195725%103.8113.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder2830213511125
Denver Nuggets2735302212126
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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