PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 107-104
27-26 22-20 28-27 30-31
Position#12
Record42-35
FormWLLWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#8
Record46-31
FormWWWWW
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
96avg 104
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 104
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 104
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
126avg 104
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
142avg 104
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
99avg 104
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 104
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 104
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
126avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
125avg 104
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
25-13
35-29
21-35
33-29
32-22
33-33
22-29
17-34
31-19
27-31
19-17
37-36
26-28
28-28
27-26
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
23-16
32-27
23-33
30-24
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
22-34
41-20
16-38
32-19
233.3Avg total
116.9Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)110.2109.0219.2+1.255%
Season at home (38)112.7106.6219.2+6.174%
Season away (39)107.8111.3219.1-3.536%
Last 10 (10)116.9116.4233.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)115.2117.4232.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.8117.8228.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (18)119.1117.3236.4+1.861%
vs Weaker (8)114.8105.9220.6+8.975%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
101-98
101
98
+3
84avg 97
A13/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
99-106
99
106
-7
77avg 97
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 97
A17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
110-100
110
100
+10
105avg 97
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
92-96
92
96
-4
75avg 97
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
109-104
109
104
+5
99avg 97
H23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
113-107 OT
113
107
+6
110avg 97
H25/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
84avg 97
A28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-103
106
103
+3
98avg 97
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
111-104
111
104
+7
102avg 97
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
24-30
26-26
18-19
27-25
30-24
22-28
20-29
20-25
25-32
26-29
31-23
29-37
28-22
35-21
18-20
25-24
25-27
19-16
23-29
27-28
31-25
24-23
27-28
21-30
31-23
30-21
14-22
18-27
21-21
29-22
24-11
28-28
33-28
18-23
27-24
22-30
28-21
26-27
35-26
204.3Avg total
103.5Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)105.7103.9209.6+1.860%
Season at home (39)106.8103.5210.3+3.367%
Season away (38)104.5104.4208.9+0.253%
Last 10 (10)103.5100.8204.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)106.299.8206.0+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.593.5189.0+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)102.9102.1204.9+0.867%
vs Weaker (10)110.3102.9213.2+7.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/04
NBA
112.3Avg total
59.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.356.6117.0+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.457.3117.7+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.0116.3+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)59.752.6112.3+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)59.452.8112.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.860.8113.5-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)61.057.4118.4+3.667%-
vs Weaker (8)62.652.8115.4+9.988%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A13/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H25/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A01/04
NBA
105.6Avg total
52.6Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.152.9106.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.252.7107.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)51.053.1104.1-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)52.653.0105.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)52.052.2104.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.048.596.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.053.7105.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker (10)56.152.4108.5+3.760%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.728.0
51.2%
51.0%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.613.4
39.9%
36.1%40.2
🏀 Free throws26.220.7
79.0%
76.5%20.7
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 103.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.032.1
50.2%
51.0%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
36.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.215.0
82.4%
76.5%15.0
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWLLWL
Indiana Pacers
WWWWWLWLLW
#12
League position
#8
+0.5
Net rating
+2.8
113.4
Offensive rating
108.9
113.0
Defensive rating
106.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.3%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.9%
3-point %
33.2%
62.3%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 108.9Defence113.0 · 106.0Shooting54.5% · 50.1%3-point %39.9% · 33.2%Ball care13.5% · 11.3%Off. rebounds23.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/18HMilwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
23/03/18AWashington Wizards108-100
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102
19/03/18AMiami Heat141-149 OT
18/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies94-101
16/03/18HDetroit Pistons120-113
14/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers103-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-104
30/03/18ASacramento Kings106-103
28/03/18AGolden State Warriors92-81
25/03/18HMiami Heat113-107 OT
23/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers109-104
22/03/18ANew Orleans Pelicans92-96
19/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers110-100
17/03/18AWashington Wizards102-109
15/03/18HToronto Raptors99-106
13/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers101-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %55%74%36%
Points / game110.2112.7107.8
Allowed / game109.0106.6111.3
Point differential+1.2+6.1-3.5
Avg total219.2219.2219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)57% (14)29% (7)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %60%67%53%
Points / game105.7106.8104.5
Allowed / game103.9103.5104.4
Point differential+1.8+3.3+0.2
Avg total209.6210.3208.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%26%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (24)71% (14)60% (10)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets78631581%113.2104.1+9.1
2 Golden State Warriors78572173%113.9107.0+6.9
3 Toronto Raptors77552271%112.2104.6+7.6
4 Boston Celtics77532469%104.2100.2+4.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers78483062%106.1103.3+2.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers78483062%110.5109.6+0.9
7 Philadelphia 76ers77473061%109.1105.1+4.0
8 Indiana Pacers77463160%105.7103.9+1.8
9 San Antonio Spurs77453258%102.599.2+3.2
10 Utah Jazz77443357%103.7100.1+3.6
11 Oklahoma City Thunder79453457%107.4104.4+3.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves78443456%109.6107.7+1.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans77433456%111.1110.9+0.2
14 Denver Nuggets77423555%110.2109.0+1.2
15 Washington Wizards78423654%106.7106.0+0.7
16 Miami Heat78423654%103.3102.7+0.6
17 Milwaukee Bucks78423654%106.5106.7-0.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers77413653%109.3108.4+0.9
19 Detroit Pistons77374048%103.3103.6-0.3
20 Los Angeles Lakers76334343%108.2109.6-1.4
21 Charlotte Hornets79344543%107.6108.1-0.5
22 New York Knicks78275135%104.1108.0-3.9
23 Chicago Bulls78275135%103.2109.6-6.4
24 Brooklyn Nets78255332%106.2110.6-4.3
25 Sacramento Kings78255332%99.2106.5-7.3
26 Dallas Mavericks78245431%102.4105.0-2.5
27 Orlando Magic77235430%103.7108.2-4.5
28 Atlanta Hawks78225628%103.3108.8-5.4
29 Memphis Grizzlies77215627%98.8104.8-6.0
30 Phoenix Suns78195924%103.8113.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27222830107
Indiana Pacers26202731104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.