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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-106
25-30 32-22 22-26 22-28
Position#15
Record23-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#16
Record25-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game101.8
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
97-95
97
95
+2
90avg 95
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
127-131 OT
127
131
-4
119avg 95
A02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
122-101
122
101
+21
126avg 95
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-129
110
129
-19
102avg 95
H06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
110-103
110
103
+7
104avg 95
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
96-109
96
109
-13
85avg 95
A09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
110-103
110
103
+7
104avg 95
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
94-108
94
108
-14
80avg 95
H13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
79-97
79
97
-18
59avg 95
A14/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
104-95
104
95
+9
96avg 95
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
20-26
15-23
24-28
30-35
26-25
28-28
30-26
34-26
28-26
31-24
29-25
24-33
35-28
19-43
32-25
24-32
29-21
29-32
28-18
16-37
22-27
27-24
31-21
30-29
23-17
36-23
21-34
27-36
22-27
33-17
12-28
23-21
20-20
16-30
20-26
28-30
25-21
25-21
26-23
212.0Avg total
104.9Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)105.0105.9210.9-0.953%
Season at home (22)104.9104.8209.7+0.164%
Season away (21)105.1107.0212.1-1.943%
Last 10 (10)104.9107.1212.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)96.6102.4199.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.5120.8231.2-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (20)103.0103.6206.6-0.660%
vs Weaker (6)109.8105.2215.0+4.767%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-89
107
89
+18
100avg 95
H27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
87-111
87
111
-24
64avg 95
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
117-111
117
111
+6
109avg 95
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
111-104
111
104
+7
109avg 95
H04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
95avg 95
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-102
103
102
+1
92avg 95
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
82avg 95
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 95
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 95
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
111-119
111
119
-8
111avg 95
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-31
25-19
39-21
20-24
19-35
21-36
27-16
21-32
29-34
36-26
31-19
24-29
32-23
25-29
30-23
26-25
25-20
24-26
22-26
27-22
22-25
25-28
29-27
22-21
29-20
21-23
18-25
38-26
20-21
26-31
30-28
21-23
20-20
30-16
26-20
25-32
23-23
24-29
39-35
205.7Avg total
104.4Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)101.1101.8202.9-0.758%
Season at home (21)101.0102.8203.8-1.857%
Season away (22)101.2101.0202.1+0.259%
Last 10 (10)104.4101.3205.7+3.180%
Last 5 (5)103.099.0202.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.5106.0198.5-13.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)99.6101.0200.6-1.564%
vs Weaker (6)107.7100.7208.3+7.067%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
38-64
38
64
-26
A09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A15/01
NBA
105.9Avg total
52.4Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.652.9106.6+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.153.1107.2+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)53.252.7105.9+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)52.453.5105.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.253.0100.2-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.859.8114.5-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)52.452.8105.2-0.450%-
vs Weaker (6)57.049.0106.0+8.067%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A15/01
NBA
99.0Avg total
48.6Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.451.1101.5-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.651.0101.6-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)50.151.3101.4-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)48.650.499.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.446.696.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.551.5107.0+4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)50.550.9101.4-0.355%-
vs Weaker (6)48.052.0100.0-4.033%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.130.7
52.8%
51.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
36.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.219.8
78.6%
76.5%19.8
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.229.0
51.6%
51.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.4
34.1%
36.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
76.5%15.2
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWLWLWLW
Miami Heat
LWWWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#16
-2.3
Net rating
+3.2
107.5
Offensive rating
107.3
109.7
Defensive rating
104.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.3%
3-point %
34.1%
57.3%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 107.3Defence109.7 · 104.1Shooting52.5% · 51.4%3-point %34.3% · 34.1%Ball care14.4% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.1% · 23.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/18AWashington Wizards104-95
14/01/18AMiami Heat79-97
13/01/18HGolden State Warriors94-108
11/01/18HOrlando Magic110-103
09/01/18AIndiana Pacers96-109
07/01/18AWashington Wizards110-103
06/01/18HToronto Raptors110-129
04/01/18HIndiana Pacers122-101
02/01/18AToronto Raptors127-131 OT
30/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder97-95
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/18AChicago Bulls111-119
14/01/18HMilwaukee Bucks97-79
11/01/18AIndiana Pacers114-106
10/01/18AToronto Raptors90-89
07/01/18HUtah Jazz103-102
06/01/18HNew York Knicks107-103 OT
04/01/18HDetroit Pistons111-104
31/12/17AOrlando Magic117-111
30/12/17HBrooklyn Nets87-111
27/12/17HOrlando Magic107-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %53%64%43%
Points / game105.0104.9105.1
Allowed / game105.9104.8107.0
Point differential-0.9+0.1-1.9
Avg total210.9209.7212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%9%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)100% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %58%57%59%
Points / game101.1101.0101.2
Allowed / game101.8102.8101.0
Point differential-0.7-1.8+0.2
Avg total202.9203.8202.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%19%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)83% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4536980%115.9106.8+9.1
2 Boston Celtics45341176%103.298.1+5.1
3 Houston Rockets42301271%114.6107.1+7.6
4 Toronto Raptors43301370%112.0104.3+7.7
5 San Antonio Spurs46301665%101.397.9+3.5
6 Minnesota Timberwolves46291763%108.7104.8+3.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers43261760%109.5108.7+0.8
8 Miami Heat43251858%101.1101.8-0.7
9 Washington Wizards45252056%106.9105.3+1.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder44242055%104.1101.0+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers44242055%107.4106.0+1.4
12 Milwaukee Bucks43232053%105.0105.9-0.9
13 Denver Nuggets44232152%106.2105.5+0.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers44232152%104.0103.3+0.7
15 New Orleans Pelicans44232152%110.8110.7+0.1
16 Los Angeles Clippers43222151%107.5106.7+0.7
17 Detroit Pistons43222151%102.1101.7+0.4
18 Philadelphia 76ers40202050%108.6108.2+0.5
19 New York Knicks44202445%104.3105.1-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets43182542%105.7105.7-0.1
21 Utah Jazz43172640%100.6101.9-1.3
22 Chicago Bulls44172739%102.8108.3-5.6
23 Brooklyn Nets45162936%105.9109.1-3.2
24 Phoenix Suns45162936%105.4112.4-7.0
25 Los Angeles Lakers43152835%106.7110.5-3.8
26 Dallas Mavericks45153033%102.5104.5-2.0
27 Memphis Grizzlies42142833%99.1102.3-3.1
28 Sacramento Kings43133030%97.7106.6-8.8
29 Atlanta Hawks44133130%103.7107.7-4.0
30 Orlando Magic44133130%105.3110.9-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25322222101
Miami Heat30222628106
← all games of the day
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