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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-125
28-36 30-28 25-36 33-25
Position#5
Record32-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game115.5
Indiana Pacers
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#9
Record37-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND v DEN
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
133-119
133
119
+14
129avg 112
H30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
132-127
132
127
+5
132avg 112
H01/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
112-111
112
111
+1
105avg 112
A04/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
89-112
89
112
-23
81avg 112
A05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
119-112
119
112
+7
113avg 112
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
117-124
117
124
-7
108avg 112
A08/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
115-128
115
128
-13
107avg 112
H12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
134-130 OT
134
130
+4
126avg 112
A13/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
127-113
127
113
+14
123avg 112
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
129-111
129
111
+18
132avg 112
H23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-33
34-31
28-32
31-23
40-24
28-40
31-31
33-32
24-32
33-29
26-27
29-23
18-27
20-18
28-33
23-34
22-42
42-19
20-27
35-24
22-44
28-22
34-28
33-30
26-27
34-41
28-30
27-30
25-27
22-33
37-37
36-23
28-33
50-26
24-32
25-22
31-24
35-31
35-28
28-28
239.4Avg total
120.7Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)116.5115.5231.9+1.058%
Season at home (25)119.2116.6235.8+2.664%
Season away (30)114.2114.6228.7-0.453%
Last 10 (10)120.7118.7239.4+2.070%
Last 5 (5)124.4121.2245.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)113.4119.2232.6-5.840%
vs Similar ◀ (14)120.9112.7233.6+8.279%
vs Weaker (11)117.7111.1228.8+6.682%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
137-134
137
134
+3
146avg 113
A01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 113
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-113
125
113
+12
120avg 113
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
144-119
144
119
+25
150avg 113
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
112-90
112
90
+22
117avg 113
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
122-105
122
105
+17
123avg 113
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
146-117
146
117
+29
155avg 113
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-121
132
121
+11
125avg 113
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
129-115
129
115
+14
126avg 113
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
100-123
100
123
-23
94avg 113
H23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-36
35-33
30-31
34-34
27-20
27-26
36-35
17-23
33-23
35-27
25-35
32-28
36-36
32-32
45-27
31-24
25-26
34-24
33-17
20-23
37-32
26-23
35-26
24-24
38-27
32-28
42-37
34-25
40-27
35-29
32-35
25-30
38-30
28-28
33-38
30-19
31-38
23-25
33-33
13-27
239.5Avg total
125.4Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)121.3116.0237.2+5.365%
Season at home (29)122.8115.7238.5+7.169%
Season away (28)119.7116.2235.9+3.461%
Last 10 (10)125.4114.1239.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)125.8116.2242.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.5133.5254.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)117.0113.0230.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (16)127.1115.4242.5+11.881%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H01/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A04/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A08/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A13/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H23/02
NBA
120.5Avg total
60.2Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.155.5114.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.756.0118.7+6.771%-
Last 30 away (16)56.055.1111.1+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)60.260.3120.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)60.261.6121.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.458.6113.0-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)63.356.5119.8+6.879%-
vs Weaker (11)56.052.8108.8+3.255%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
68-68
68
68
+0
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H23/02
NBA
122.0Avg total
65.0Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.459.3122.7+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)65.060.4125.4+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)61.258.0119.2+3.254%-
Last 10 (10)65.057.0122.0+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)65.657.4123.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.068.5129.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)61.057.4118.4+3.658%-
vs Weaker (16)65.459.6125.1+5.869%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 120.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.531.2
58.3%
54.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.112.5
34.6%
35.9%37.5
🏀 Free throws24.820.8
83.9%
77.8%20.8
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.934.6
61.9%
54.3%69.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.3
38.2%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.816.3
82.3%
77.8%16.3
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WWWLLWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#9
+1.9
Net rating
+11.3
116.5
Offensive rating
125.7
114.5
Defensive rating
114.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
60.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
10.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.6%
3-point %
38.2%
70.3%
Assist %
67.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 125.7Defence114.5 · 114.4Shooting55.7% · 60.1%3-point %34.6% · 38.2%Ball care10.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds20.6% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana Pacers wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets109-114
14/01/24Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers117-109
21/01/23Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers134-111
10/11/22Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets119-122
30/03/22Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets118-125
11/11/21Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers101-98
16/03/21Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers121-106
05/03/21Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets103-113
20/01/20Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers107-115
03/01/20Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets116-124
Indiana Pacerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers129-111
21/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies127-113
13/02/25AWashington Wizards134-130 OT
12/02/25HNew York Knicks115-128
08/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers117-124
07/02/25ALos Angeles Clippers119-112
05/02/25APortland Trail Blazers89-112
04/02/25AUtah Jazz112-111
01/02/25HAtlanta Hawks132-127
30/01/25HDetroit Pistons133-119
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HLos Angeles Lakers100-123
21/02/25HCharlotte Hornets129-115
13/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers132-121
11/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers146-117
09/02/25APhoenix Suns122-105
07/02/25HOrlando Magic112-90
06/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans144-119
04/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
02/02/25ACharlotte Hornets107-104
01/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers137-134

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552530
Win %58%64%53%
Points / game116.5119.2114.2
Allowed / game115.5116.6114.6
Point differential+1.0+2.6-0.4
Avg total231.9235.8228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%8%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %65%69%61%
Points / game121.3122.8119.7
Allowed / game116.0115.7116.2
Point differential+5.3+7.1+3.4
Avg total237.2238.5235.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%52%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers57471082%122.9111.7+11.2
2 Oklahoma City Thunder54441081%118.4105.5+12.9
3 Boston Celtics57411672%117.4108.0+9.3
4 New York Knicks56371966%118.2113.2+5.0
5 Memphis Grizzlies57372065%122.8116.0+6.8
6 Denver Nuggets57372065%121.3116.0+5.3
7 Houston Rockets55342162%113.6109.3+4.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers55342162%113.1111.8+1.3
9 Indiana Pacers55322358%116.5115.5+1.0
10 Milwaukee Bucks54302456%114.3112.9+1.4
11 Los Angeles Clippers56312555%110.9108.5+2.4
12 Dallas Mavericks57312654%115.6113.5+2.1
13 Detroit Pistons57312654%114.4113.6+0.8
14 Golden State Warriors56302654%112.9111.8+1.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves58312753%111.8108.7+3.1
16 Sacramento Kings56282850%116.6116.3+0.3
17 Orlando Magic58292950%104.2105.1-0.9
18 Phoenix Suns57273047%113.2115.3-2.1
19 Miami Heat55262947%110.1110.9-0.8
20 Atlanta Hawks55253045%117.5120.1-2.6
21 San Antonio Spurs55243144%112.7114.5-1.8
22 Portland Trail Blazers57243342%109.6114.3-4.6
23 Chicago Bulls57223539%115.9120.6-4.6
24 Brooklyn Nets56213538%104.9110.8-6.0
25 Philadelphia 76ers56203636%108.9113.0-4.1
26 Toronto Raptors57183932%110.9116.4-5.6
27 Charlotte Hornets55144125%106.0112.3-6.4
28 Utah Jazz56144225%112.4119.5-7.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans57144325%110.5118.9-8.4
30 Washington Wizards5694716%108.1121.4-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers28302533116
Denver Nuggets36283625125
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