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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 124-88
27-23 35-23 30-21 32-21
Position#13
Record44-29
FormWLLLL
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#4
Record49-22
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· Bankers Life Fieldhouse
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND v DEN
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
112-117
112
117
-5
113avg 100
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
105-96
105
96
+9
no box
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-117
98
117
-19
85avg 100
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
89-106
89
106
-17
72avg 100
A10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 100
H12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
108-106
108
106
+2
100avg 100
H14/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
100-102
100
102
-2
91avg 100
A17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
98-106
98
106
-8
no box
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
109-115
109
115
-6
no box
A20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
89-112
89
112
-23
no box
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
33-28
27-28
25-34
27-17
22-25
28-33
28-21
24-32
26-22
22-30
26-33
25-26
34-25
11-21
19-34
27-29
28-23
30-21
18-25
22-29
28-34
31-25
27-18
36-25
24-32
15-22
25-23
31-28
17-27
24-33
26-18
16-25
33-30
26-34
34-26
19-19
24-34
19-35
27-24
208.6Avg total
101.1Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)107.7104.2211.8+3.560%
Season at home (36)108.7100.2208.9+8.575%
Season away (37)106.7108.0214.7-1.446%
Last 10 (10)101.1107.5208.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)100.8108.2209.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.5111.5209.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)102.7106.3209.0-3.540%
vs Weaker (13)110.6104.5215.1+6.269%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
112-120
112
120
-8
101avg 106
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-104
103
104
-1
93avg 106
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
no box
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
105-122
105
122
-17
91avg 106
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
139avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-99
100
99
+1
99avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
114-105
114
105
+9
no box
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
no box
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
111-93
111
93
+18
106avg 106
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
33-30
28-23
24-32
28-23
37-18
19-24
26-20
29-31
216.5Avg total
110.8Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)112.0106.8218.8+5.269%
Season at home (36)115.6104.8220.4+10.983%
Season away (35)108.3108.9217.2-0.754%
Last 10 (10)110.8105.7216.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.0111.1224.1+1.957%
vs Weaker (16)115.6106.9222.5+8.681%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H14/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A22/03
NBA
106.0Avg total
52.3Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.052.7106.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.251.9108.1+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)51.453.6104.9-2.229%-
Last 10 (10)52.353.7106.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.056.6106.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.554.5103.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.753.1106.8+0.747%-
vs Weaker (13)55.151.9107.0+3.262%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/03
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.3Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.858.3117.1+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.158.4120.5+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)55.158.1113.2-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)57.355.3112.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)56.052.8108.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.660.3118.9-1.643%-
vs Weaker (16)59.056.5115.5+2.556%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.928.5
48.4%
51.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.919.2
74.1%
76.6%19.2
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.628.5
52.2%
51.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.113.1
37.3%
35.4%39.3
🏀 Free throws17.713.9
78.5%
76.6%13.9
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLLWWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWLL
#13
League position
#4
-6.8
Net rating
+4.6
101.2
Offensive rating
111.5
108.0
Defensive rating
107.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.8%
3-point %
37.3%
64.5%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 111.5Defence108.0 · 107.0Shooting48.6% · 53.7%3-point %32.8% · 37.3%Ball care13.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds20.2% · 25.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/19AGolden State Warriors89-112
20/03/19ALos Angeles Clippers109-115
19/03/19APortland Trail Blazers98-106
17/03/19ADenver Nuggets100-102
14/03/19HOklahoma City Thunder108-106
12/03/19HNew York Knicks103-98
10/03/19APhiladelphia 76ers89-106
08/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks98-117
06/03/19HChicago Bulls105-96
03/03/19HOrlando Magic112-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/19ANew York Knicks111-93
21/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %60%75%46%
Points / game107.7108.7106.7
Allowed / game104.2100.2108.0
Point differential+3.5+8.5-1.4
Avg total211.8208.9214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeLLWWW83%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %69%83%54%
Points / game112.0115.6108.3
Allowed / game106.8104.8108.9
Point differential+5.2+10.9-0.7
Avg total218.8220.4217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won81% (21)88% (8)77% (13)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks74551974%117.5108.1+9.4
2 Toronto Raptors73512270%114.2108.7+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets71492269%112.0106.8+5.2
4 Golden State Warriors72492368%117.2111.6+5.6
5 Philadelphia 76ers73472664%115.3112.0+3.3
6 Houston Rockets73462763%113.1110.0+3.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers72452762%114.1110.4+3.7
8 Indiana Pacers73442960%107.7104.2+3.5
9 Los Angeles Clippers74443059%114.7113.6+1.2
10 Boston Celtics73433059%112.8107.9+4.8
11 Utah Jazz73433059%110.7106.2+4.5
12 Oklahoma City Thunder73433059%114.5111.1+3.4
13 San Antonio Spurs73423158%111.7110.3+1.4
14 Detroit Pistons72373551%107.7107.9-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets74383651%111.6111.9-0.3
16 Sacramento Kings72363650%114.1114.7-0.6
17 Miami Heat73363749%105.8105.9-0.1
18 Orlando Magic73353848%106.1106.3-0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets72333946%110.6111.6-1.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves73334045%112.4113.4-0.9
21 Los Angeles Lakers72314143%111.7114.0-2.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans74314342%115.7116.1-0.4
23 Washington Wizards74304441%114.3116.9-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks73294440%108.4109.9-1.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies73294440%102.6105.2-2.6
26 Atlanta Hawks74264835%112.6118.6-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls74215328%105.3113.2-7.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers74195526%104.4113.5-9.1
29 Phoenix Suns74175723%106.9116.0-9.1
30 New York Knicks74146019%105.2114.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers27353032124
Denver Nuggets2323212188
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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