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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 118-125
15-43 38-26 38-22 27-34
Position#26
Record25-51
FormWLLLL
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game113.9
vs
Position#11
Record45-31
FormLWLWW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND102
DEN114
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
124-127
124
127
-3
121avg 104
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
119-108
119
108
+11
112avg 104
A13/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
128-131
128
131
-3
120avg 104
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
102-135
102
135
-33
88avg 104
H15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
121-118
121
118
+3
110avg 104
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
129-98
129
98
+31
135avg 104
H20/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
109-110
109
110
-1
107avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
103-133
103
133
-30
81avg 104
A25/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
91-131
91
131
-40
80avg 104
A26/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
123-132
123
132
-9
116avg 104
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
39-31
35-27
26-37
34-26
37-38
26-18
22-26
28-37
31-40
33-28
36-26
25-32
24-42
21-30
32-31
28-32
33-24
22-39
38-23
35-22
34-26
25-34
35-16
34-37
27-29
28-19
20-25
23-44
25-30
23-33
32-26
21-41
25-33
24-22
21-35
30-44
33-30
27-28
33-30
237.2Avg total
114.9Scored
122.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)110.7113.9224.6-3.133%
Season at home (38)113.8113.9227.8-0.142%
Season away (38)107.6113.8221.4-6.224%
Last 10 (10)114.9122.3237.2-7.430%
Last 5 (5)111.0120.8231.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)111.1124.9236.1-13.87%
vs Similar (8)117.5121.5239.0-4.038%
vs Weaker (8)117.1114.8231.9+2.450%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
130-140
130
140
-10
127avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
113-107
113
107
+6
116avg 107
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
112avg 107
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
27-33
16-35
32-30
29-26
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
31-31
37-35
38-38
24-36
32-25
26-24
29-27
26-31
32-30
24-27
37-27
20-25
233.4Avg total
116.1Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)111.8109.4221.2+2.559%
Season at home (37)113.9110.8224.8+3.159%
Season away (39)109.8107.9217.8+1.959%
Last 10 (10)116.1117.3233.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)117.4119.0236.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0124.0236.0-12.00%
vs Similar (18)118.8114.7233.6+4.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)117.4106.6224.0+10.989%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
D
63-63
63
63
+0
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A13/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H20/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A25/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
46-74
46
74
-28
A26/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H28/03
NBA
126.0Avg total
59.0Scored
67.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.763.1122.8-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.162.9126.0+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)56.863.2120.0-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)59.067.0126.0-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)57.467.2124.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)57.467.1124.6-9.721%-
vs Similar (8)62.961.2124.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker (8)60.657.8118.4+2.950%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A28/03
NBA
118.8Avg total
60.9Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.557.3117.8+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.958.1120.0+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)59.156.4115.5+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)60.957.9118.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)59.460.2119.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.7118.7-4.767%-
vs Similar (18)61.259.7120.9+1.561%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)60.250.9111.1+9.389%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.230.4
55.1%
53.1%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.1
37.2%
35.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
77.4%14.8
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.030.2
58.1%
53.1%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.1
36.9%
35.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.219.4
80.2%
77.4%19.4
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLLWWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLWWLL
#26
League position
#11
-7.4
Net rating
-1.2
114.5
Offensive rating
117.3
121.9
Defensive rating
118.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
36.9%
64.4%
Assist %
67.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.3Defence121.9 · 118.6Shooting55.4% · 57.0%3-point %37.2% · 36.9%Ball care14.1% · 13.9%Off. rebounds26.7% · 25.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/22HAtlanta Hawks123-132
26/03/22AToronto Raptors91-131
25/03/22AMemphis Grizzlies103-133
23/03/22HSacramento Kings109-110
20/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers129-98
19/03/22AHouston Rockets121-118
15/03/22HMemphis Grizzlies102-135
13/03/22AAtlanta Hawks128-131
13/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs119-108
09/03/22HCleveland Cavaliers124-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/22ACharlotte Hornets113-109
27/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder113-107
25/03/22HPhoenix Suns130-140
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115
21/03/22HBoston Celtics104-124
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLWLL42%
AwayWLWLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %33%42%24%
Points / game110.7113.8107.6
Allowed / game113.9113.9113.8
Point differential-3.1-0.1-6.2
Avg total224.6227.8221.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won24% (25)20% (10)27% (15)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeLLWLW59%
AwayWWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %59%59%59%
Points / game111.8113.9109.8
Allowed / game109.4110.8107.9
Point differential+2.5+3.1+1.9
Avg total221.2224.8217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)80% (5)64% (14)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns75611481%115.3106.9+8.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies76532370%115.4109.1+6.3
3 Golden State Warriors76482863%110.8105.7+5.2
4 Miami Heat76482863%109.3105.2+4.1
5 Milwaukee Bucks75472863%114.9111.3+3.7
6 Boston Celtics76472962%110.8104.0+6.7
7 Dallas Mavericks76472962%106.9104.2+2.8
8 Philadelphia 76ers75462961%108.9106.8+2.1
9 Utah Jazz76453159%113.3107.8+5.5
10 Denver Nuggets76453159%111.8109.4+2.5
11 Chicago Bulls76443258%111.4110.9+0.5
12 Toronto Raptors75433257%109.1107.1+2.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves76433357%115.4112.2+3.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers75423356%107.2104.6+2.5
15 Brooklyn Nets76403653%112.4112.1+0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets76393751%114.7114.4+0.3
17 Atlanta Hawks75383751%113.2112.4+0.8
18 Los Angeles Clippers76373949%106.8108.4-1.6
19 New York Knicks76344245%106.3106.8-0.4
20 New Orleans Pelicans75324343%108.8109.8-1.0
21 Washington Wizards75324343%108.1111.4-3.3
22 San Antonio Spurs75314441%113.0113.3-0.3
23 Los Angeles Lakers75314441%111.5114.5-2.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers75274836%107.4114.9-7.5
25 Sacramento Kings76274936%110.4115.8-5.4
26 Indiana Pacers76255133%110.7113.9-3.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75225329%103.8111.2-7.4
28 Orlando Magic76205626%104.1111.9-7.7
29 Detroit Pistons76205626%104.5112.3-7.8
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.2117.7-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers15383827118
Denver Nuggets43262234125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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