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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-122
27-35 43-21 25-33 24-33
Position#24
Record5-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game118.0
vs
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game113.9
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND102
DEN114
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
107-114
107
114
-7
88avg 104
H19/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
134-137
134
137
-3
125avg 104
H21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
124-115
124
115
+9
117avg 104
H22/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
106-120
106
120
-14
99avg 104
A24/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
109-124
109
124
-15
102avg 104
A27/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
127-117
127
117
+10
127avg 104
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
125-116
125
116
+9
122avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
109-116
109
116
-7
97avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
101-99
101
99
+2
97avg 104
H04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
129-122
129
122
+7
131avg 104
H08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
27-24
25-27
30-27
26-36
29-34
30-32
49-35
25-35
27-21
36-23
36-36
23-33
23-31
30-26
30-30
27-38
30-38
36-27
16-21
36-28
39-32
26-30
26-27
26-26
37-36
29-28
33-26
18-33
36-28
31-31
24-24
28-29
34-21
18-27
21-22
32-30
26-25
42-36
29-31
235.1Avg total
117.1Scored
118.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)117.1118.0235.1-0.950%
Season at home (5)119.0117.4236.4+1.660%
Season away (5)115.2118.6233.8-3.440%
Last 10 (10)117.1118.0235.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)118.2114.0232.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)116.0129.0245.0-13.07%
vs Similar (8)115.0114.1229.1+0.950%
vs Weaker (8)119.5116.6236.1+2.950%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-123
102
123
-21
92avg 110
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-123
128
123
+5
126avg 110
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-117
122
117
+5
120avg 110
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
110-135
110
135
-25
100avg 110
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-99
110
99
+11
112avg 110
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 110
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
98avg 110
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-110
122
110
+12
126avg 110
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
126-101
126
101
+25
134avg 110
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
115-109
115
109
+6
112avg 110
A08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
23-38
27-19
22-29
40-34
30-18
28-36
30-35
28-29
27-26
33-30
34-32
31-23
30-32
25-44
24-36
26-22
28-32
32-17
24-28
35-25
28-25
26-28
28-23
31-26
20-29
34-38
25-28
42-29
29-28
22-38
29-15
40-27
30-24
29-25
27-25
28-28
37-34
29-27
21-20
230.1Avg total
116.2Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)116.2113.9230.1+2.370%
Season at home (4)118.8104.5223.2+14.2100%
Season away (6)114.5120.2234.7-5.750%
Last 10 (10)116.2113.9230.1+2.370%
Last 5 (5)118.0108.4226.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar (18)115.3116.7232.1-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)120.5116.7237.2+3.870%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H21/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H22/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A24/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A27/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A29/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A31/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H08/11
NBA
118.8Avg total
57.4Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.564.9123.3-6.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.663.8122.4-5.231%-
Last 30 away (17)58.465.7124.1-7.435%-
Last 10 (10)57.461.4118.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)62.457.6120.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.470.9126.3-15.47%-
vs Similar (8)62.460.0122.4+2.462%-
vs Weaker (8)59.959.2119.1+0.650%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A08/11
NBA
117.9Avg total
61.3Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.358.3118.6+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.159.7120.8+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)59.556.8116.3+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)61.356.6117.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)64.055.0119.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (18)58.657.6116.2+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.357.7122.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.425.9
51.4%
54.5%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.415.3
37.9%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws24.219.4
80.2%
78.1%19.4
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.730.6
54.9%
54.5%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.013.4
41.9%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
78.1%14.8
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WWLWWLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWLWWL
#24
League position
#2
-0.9
Net rating
+2.3
112.7
Offensive rating
114.0
113.6
Defensive rating
111.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
41.9%
68.9%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 114.0Defence113.6 · 111.7Shooting53.8% · 57.8%3-point %37.9% · 41.9%Ball care14.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 24.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22HNew Orleans Pelicans129-122
04/11/22HMiami Heat101-99
31/10/22ABrooklyn Nets109-116
29/10/22ABrooklyn Nets125-116
28/10/22AWashington Wizards127-117
27/10/22AChicago Bulls109-124
24/10/22APhiladelphia 76ers106-120
22/10/22HDetroit Pistons124-115
21/10/22HSan Antonio Spurs134-137
19/10/22HWashington Wizards107-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22ASan Antonio Spurs115-109
06/11/22HSan Antonio Spurs126-101
04/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder122-110
31/10/22ALos Angeles Lakers110-121
29/10/22HUtah Jazz117-101
27/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-99
25/10/22APortland Trail Blazers110-135
23/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-117
22/10/22AGolden State Warriors128-123
20/10/22AUtah Jazz102-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game117.1119.0115.2
Allowed / game118.0117.4118.6
Point differential-0.9+1.6-3.4
Avg total235.1236.4233.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game116.2118.8114.5
Allowed / game113.9104.5120.2
Point differential+2.3+14.2-5.7
Avg total230.1223.2234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks109190%111.4102.7+8.7
2 Cleveland Cavaliers108280%116.3105.4+10.9
3 Utah Jazz129375%118.2112.2+6.1
4 Phoenix Suns107370%112.4103.5+8.9
5 Boston Celtics107370%117.8114.4+3.4
6 Atlanta Hawks107370%116.5113.6+2.9
7 Denver Nuggets107370%116.2113.9+2.3
8 Portland Trail Blazers107370%109.8108.9+0.9
9 Memphis Grizzlies117464%116.1114.6+1.5
10 Dallas Mavericks106460%110.4106.1+4.3
11 Toronto Raptors116555%111.9106.5+5.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers116555%103.8107.5-3.7
13 New Orleans Pelicans105550%118.5114.6+3.9
14 Chicago Bulls126650%111.4109.3+2.1
15 New York Knicks105550%115.0115.0+0.0
16 Indiana Pacers105550%117.1118.0-0.9
17 Philadelphia 76ers115645%108.9107.3+1.6
18 Minnesota Timberwolves115645%113.7114.5-0.8
19 Washington Wizards115645%107.0111.1-4.1
20 San Antonio Spurs115645%112.9120.6-7.7
21 Oklahoma City Thunder104640%109.7111.8-2.1
22 Brooklyn Nets114736%110.5111.5-0.9
23 Miami Heat114736%108.0109.2-1.2
24 Golden State Warriors114736%117.3120.6-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings93633%114.7116.8-2.1
26 Charlotte Hornets113827%109.1113.8-4.7
27 Detroit Pistons113827%107.7117.5-9.7
28 Orlando Magic123925%110.1113.7-3.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers102820%108.4116.3-7.9
30 Houston Rockets112918%110.4117.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers27432524119
Denver Nuggets35213333122
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