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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-114
29-28 33-26 19-39 28-21
Position#17
Record22-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game125.0
Allowed / game123.5
vs
Position#3
Record30-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND v DEN
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
150-116
150
116
+34
162avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
101-118
101
118
-17
85avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
133-131
133
131
+2
127avg 114
H09/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-104
112
104
+8
112avg 114
H11/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
126-108
126
108
+18
142avg 114
A13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
109-117
109
117
-8
97avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
105-132
105
132
-27
92avg 114
A16/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
126-121
126
121
+5
122avg 114
A19/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
115-118
115
118
-3
106avg 114
A20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
110-117
110
117
-7
97avg 114
A22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-24
40-30
39-29
33-33
17-29
32-29
32-26
20-34
33-34
26-34
44-33
30-30
23-21
31-34
35-25
23-24
34-30
34-32
31-19
27-27
28-28
29-32
27-29
25-28
26-33
24-31
29-41
26-27
34-31
36-26
29-32
27-32
31-34
22-30
28-24
34-30
25-33
36-32
22-26
27-26
236.9Avg total
118.7Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)125.0123.5248.5+1.554%
Season at home (20)127.8121.0248.8+6.960%
Season away (21)122.3125.9248.2-3.648%
Last 10 (10)118.7118.2236.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)113.0121.0234.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0124.5241.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)124.0126.8250.8-2.843%
vs Weaker (14)125.9120.1246.1+5.857%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
120-122
120
122
-2
110avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
131-114
131
114
+17
136avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
111-124
111
124
-13
103avg 110
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
125avg 110
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-109
117
109
+8
124avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
121-126
121
126
-5
113avg 110
A17/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
98avg 110
A20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
113-104
113
104
+9
110avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
37-28
30-26
31-41
22-27
31-29
34-28
43-28
23-29
24-35
29-36
25-28
33-25
37-25
29-26
34-29
25-33
28-28
32-29
29-27
28-25
38-36
40-42
26-21
17-27
31-32
24-29
26-21
21-18
33-24
29-28
27-26
24-26
231.3Avg total
118.1Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)115.9110.9226.8+5.068%
Season at home (21)120.6110.6231.2+10.081%
Season away (23)111.7111.2222.9+0.457%
Last 10 (10)118.1113.2231.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)115.6110.4226.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)115.8115.8231.6+0.147%
vs Weaker (12)120.3108.8229.1+11.692%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H09/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A16/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A19/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A22/01
NBA
120.6Avg total
59.9Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.564.4125.9-2.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.265.3126.5-4.123%-
Last 30 away (17)61.663.7125.4-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)59.960.7120.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)58.262.0120.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.063.0117.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)61.666.1127.7-4.421%-
vs Weaker (14)62.462.9125.3-0.636%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
D
78-78
78
78
+0
A17/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A21/01
NBA
121.8Avg total
62.5Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.956.9116.9+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.453.4113.7+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)59.660.1119.6-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)62.559.3121.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)64.259.8124.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)60.658.5119.1+2.159%-
vs Weaker (12)59.454.3113.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.432.1
55.9%
54.4%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.9
38.5%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.8
76.3%
78.2%15.8
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.133.9
61.5%
54.4%67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
36.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.917.9
78.2%
78.2%17.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLWLLWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWLWW
#17
League position
#3
+0.5
Net rating
+5.0
116.2
Offensive rating
120.9
115.7
Defensive rating
115.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
59.4%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.5%
3-point %
37.0%
72.0%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 120.9Defence115.7 · 115.8Shooting56.6% · 59.4%3-point %38.5% · 37.0%Ball care13.1% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 24.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana Pacers wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/24APhoenix Suns110-117
20/01/24APortland Trail Blazers115-118
19/01/24ASacramento Kings126-121
16/01/24AUtah Jazz105-132
14/01/24ADenver Nuggets109-117
13/01/24AAtlanta Hawks126-108
11/01/24HWashington Wizards112-104
09/01/24HBoston Celtics133-131
07/01/24HBoston Celtics101-118
06/01/24HAtlanta Hawks150-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AWashington Wizards113-104
20/01/24ABoston Celtics102-100
17/01/24APhiladelphia 76ers121-126
14/01/24HIndiana Pacers117-109
13/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
11/01/24AUtah Jazz111-124
08/01/24HDetroit Pistons131-114
06/01/24HOrlando Magic120-122
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLLWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %54%60%48%
Points / game125.0127.8122.3
Allowed / game123.5121.0125.9
Point differential+1.5+6.9-3.6
Avg total248.5248.8248.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %68%81%57%
Points / game115.9120.6111.7
Allowed / game110.9110.6111.2
Point differential+5.0+10.0+0.4
Avg total226.8231.2222.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%57%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4334979%120.5110.3+10.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks41291271%124.2120.2+3.9
3 Minnesota Timberwolves43301370%113.4107.8+5.6
4 Philadelphia 76ers42291369%119.8111.5+8.3
5 Oklahoma City Thunder42291369%121.7113.7+8.1
6 Denver Nuggets44301468%115.9110.9+5.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%117.8112.0+5.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers41261563%114.0109.7+4.3
9 New York Knicks42261662%115.0109.7+5.3
10 Phoenix Suns42251760%116.4114.4+2.0
11 New Orleans Pelicans41241759%117.1111.7+5.4
12 Sacramento Kings41241759%118.4117.5+0.9
13 Dallas Mavericks43241956%118.3117.4+0.9
14 Miami Heat43241956%110.9110.7+0.2
15 Indiana Pacers41221954%125.0123.5+1.5
16 Orlando Magic44232152%111.4111.2+0.3
17 Utah Jazz44222250%117.3118.7-1.5
18 Houston Rockets42202248%112.5112.1+0.3
19 Los Angeles Lakers42202248%114.5116.5-2.0
20 Chicago Bulls45212447%110.6112.1-1.4
21 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks43182542%119.7122.4-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets42172540%114.2115.8-1.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies43162737%107.8113.3-5.5
25 Toronto Raptors44162836%114.3116.4-2.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers42123029%107.5117.1-9.5
27 Charlotte Hornets41103124%108.8119.9-11.1
28 San Antonio Spurs4383519%112.8121.7-9.0
29 Washington Wizards4273517%115.4124.9-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons434399%112.4123.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers29331928109
Denver Nuggets28263921114
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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