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Jonava vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 08 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 75
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 75
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 75
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 75
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 75
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 75
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 75
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
94-82
94
82
+12
94avg 75
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
16-27
29-15
24-25
25-15
22-27
22-22
22-12
21-30
20-17
16-20
18-30
16-24
155.4Avg total
76.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.482.0160.4-3.633%
Season at home (6)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.778.7155.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.883.4162.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.990.0172.8-7.127%
vs Similar (7)82.680.4163.0+2.157%
vs Weaker (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 80
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 80
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 80
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 80
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 80
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
176.7Avg total
86.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.284.7169.9+0.656%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.889.9176.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%
vs Similar (11)83.682.5166.1+1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.585.5175.0+4.162%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
Juventus
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/11
LKL
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.0-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.042.683.6-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.084.6-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.645.085.5-4.432%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.680.6-0.657%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
45.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.3-0.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.249.592.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (11)45.538.584.1+7.082%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.543.588.0+1.154%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
70.8%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWWLLWLLW
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#5
+6.4
Net rating
-1.7
91.3
Offensive rating
98.4
84.9
Defensive rating
100.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.2%
3-point %
32.8%
62.6%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 98.4Defence84.9 · 100.1Shooting51.7% · 51.8%3-point %30.2% · 32.8%Ball care17.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Jonava v Neptunas83-84
17/05/26Neptunas v Jonava95-89
21/03/26Jonava v Neptunas81-64
07/12/25Jonava v Neptunas117-124 OT
26/10/25Neptunas v Jonava117-113
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGargzdai70-91
05/11/26HRytas87-91
31/10/26HJuventus94-82
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.480.374.7
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-7.3
Avg total160.4162.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.289.879.5
Allowed / game84.781.488.8
Point differential+0.6+8.4-9.2
Avg total169.9171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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