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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-90
24-15 20-21 15-26 30-28
Position#4
Record30-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game98.1
vs
Position#16
Record18-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game102.7
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
14 Jul 2018
BOS74
MIA72
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
14 Jul 2015
BOS101
MIA69
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
05 Jul 2014
BOS85
MIA77
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
116-111
116
111
+5
H02/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
111-100
111
100
+11
H05/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H07/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
102-105
102
105
-3
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
85-108
85
108
-23
A12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
124-118
124
118
+6
H14/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
95-107
95
107
-12
H16/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
112-111
112
111
+1
A19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
29-32
29-25
27-32
34-26
28-23
26-32
23-19
24-26
23-31
23-16
27-17
31-26
24-30
27-21
20-28
29-21
15-16
29-22
18-22
29-28
13-28
21-22
22-30
30-31
38-28
29-33
27-26
26-21
13-25
28-33
28-28
31-12
17-28
23-33
31-20
38-21
24-26
23-31
27-33
205.9Avg total
103.5Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)104.198.1202.2+6.081%
Season at home (18)105.598.0203.5+7.583%
Season away (19)102.898.3201.1+4.579%
Last 10 (10)103.5102.4205.9+1.170%
Last 5 (5)103.6107.4211.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)102.198.5200.6+3.576%
vs Weaker (13)107.098.0205.0+9.092%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
L
86-115
86
115
-29
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
95-123
95
123
-28
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
105-117
105
117
-12
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
104-110
104
110
-6
A19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
22-32
20-23
22-27
22-30
28-19
29-26
26-25
36-33
24-29
17-37
18-24
35-27
23-30
24-29
23-31
24-26
26-27
25-19
26-17
21-23
24-19
25-18
37-22
33-21
27-29
19-20
16-32
24-19
29-28
26-24
25-27
24-17
22-23
23-25
21-20
30-29
27-29
19-29
28-23
201.3Avg total
99.2Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)100.0102.7202.7-2.750%
Season at home (16)101.5104.4205.9-2.956%
Season away (20)98.8101.3200.1-2.545%
Last 10 (10)99.2102.1201.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.095.4195.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.398.0184.3-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (21)100.4104.2204.7-3.843%
vs Weaker (6)106.397.3203.7+9.083%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H02/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H05/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H07/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H14/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H16/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A19/12
NBA
102.8Avg total
52.7Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.049.3100.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.349.9104.1+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)47.748.796.5-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)52.750.1102.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.849.6101.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)49.150.199.2-1.041%-
vs Weaker (13)53.548.2101.7+5.262%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A19/12
NBA
104.6Avg total
52.3Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.051.6104.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.351.2105.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)52.151.9103.9+0.259%-
Last 10 (10)52.352.3104.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)52.247.499.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.753.798.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.852.3106.1+1.562%-
vs Weaker (6)54.547.8102.3+6.783%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 103.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.2
53.6%
51.0%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.8
38.4%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
76.5%13.7
They take 81.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.1
51.8%
51.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.1
37.9%
36.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
76.5%14.7
They take 78.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWLWLWWW
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLLWL
#4
League position
#16
+1.2
Net rating
-3.1
109.5
Offensive rating
104.9
108.3
Defensive rating
107.9
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
18.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
37.9%
59.0%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 104.9Defence108.3 · 107.9Shooting55.2% · 53.9%3-point %38.4% · 37.9%Ball care13.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds19.2% · 18.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Boston Celtics wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17AIndiana Pacers112-111
17/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies102-93
16/12/17HUtah Jazz95-107
14/12/17HDenver Nuggets124-118
12/12/17AChicago Bulls85-108
10/12/17ADetroit Pistons91-81
09/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs102-105
07/12/17HDallas Mavericks97-90
05/12/17HMilwaukee Bucks111-100
02/12/17HPhoenix Suns116-111
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17AAtlanta Hawks104-110
17/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers90-85
16/12/17ACharlotte Hornets104-98
14/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
12/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies107-82
09/12/17ABrooklyn Nets101-89
07/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs105-117
04/12/17HGolden State Warriors95-123
02/12/17HCharlotte Hornets105-100
30/11/17ANew York Knicks86-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW81%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %81%83%79%
Points / game104.1105.5102.8
Allowed / game98.198.098.3
Point differential+6.0+7.5+4.5
Avg total202.2203.5201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %50%56%45%
Points / game100.0101.598.8
Allowed / game102.7104.4101.3
Point differential-2.7-2.9-2.5
Avg total202.7205.9200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%6%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets3328585%114.0103.1+10.9
2 Boston Celtics3730781%104.198.1+6.0
3 Golden State Warriors3426876%116.5106.3+10.2
4 Toronto Raptors34241071%111.2102.8+8.4
5 San Antonio Spurs36241267%102.498.4+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers37241365%109.6107.3+2.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves34201459%107.8106.9+0.9
8 Portland Trail Blazers35201557%104.2100.9+3.3
9 Washington Wizards35201557%105.8103.2+2.6
10 Indiana Pacers34191556%107.7106.2+1.6
11 Detroit Pistons35191654%103.1102.1+0.9
12 Denver Nuggets35191654%107.2107.0+0.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder33171652%101.699.6+1.9
14 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%104.3105.5-1.2
15 Utah Jazz34171750%103.7100.8+2.9
16 Miami Heat36181850%100.0102.7-2.7
17 Philadelphia 76ers35161946%108.5109.1-0.6
18 New York Knicks35161946%103.4105.1-1.7
19 New Orleans Pelicans35161946%109.7112.0-2.3
20 Brooklyn Nets33141942%107.8109.9-2.1
21 Los Angeles Clippers34132138%103.6106.2-2.6
22 Orlando Magic37142338%104.9108.1-3.1
23 Charlotte Hornets36132336%104.0105.9-1.9
24 Los Angeles Lakers34122235%105.3108.5-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies35122334%98.1100.3-2.3
26 Chicago Bulls35122334%99.2106.7-7.5
27 Phoenix Suns36122433%106.2113.6-7.3
28 Dallas Mavericks37122532%99.9102.1-2.2
29 Sacramento Kings36112531%95.3104.5-9.2
30 Atlanta Hawks3592626%102.3107.1-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics2420153089
Miami Heat1521262890
← all games of the day
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