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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 82-99
20-32 20-24 25-18 17-25
Position#14
Record29-27
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#5
Record40-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game100.2
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
21 Mar 2027
MIA v DEN
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
MIA147
DEN123
17 Jan 2025
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DEN133
13 Mar 2024
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DEN100
09 Jun 2023
MIA95
DEN108
07 Jun 2023
MIA94
DEN109
13 Feb 2023
MIA108
DEN112
29 Nov 2021
MIA111
DEN120
08 Aug 2021
MIA97
DEN77
27 Jan 2021
MIA82
DEN109
08 Jan 2019
MIA99
DEN103
19 Mar 2018
MIA149
DEN141
02 Apr 2017
MIA113
DEN116
14 Mar 2016
MIA124
DEN119
20 Mar 2015
MIA108
DEN91
14 Mar 2014
MIA107
DEN111
03 Nov 2012
MIA119
DEN116
19 Mar 2011
MIA103
DEN98
06 Nov 2009
MIA96
DEN88
10 Feb 2009
MIA82
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
103-114
103
114
-11
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
96-111
96
111
-15
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
119-95
119
95
+24
H03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A05/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
24-28
30-21
19-20
32-29
24-23
27-16
20-29
17-14
29-13
18-24
31-28
18-23
23-16
29-17
23-15
26-29
23-37
24-27
30-21
15-24
34-33
21-28
26-26
30-24
28-23
32-26
29-22
21-20
21-25
20-25
28-23
23-26
21-18
25-19
15-31
18-20
25-19
26-22
27-31
190.6Avg total
96.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)96.296.1192.3+0.252%
Season at home (28)96.692.3188.9+4.364%
Season away (28)95.999.8195.7-3.939%
Last 10 (10)96.294.4190.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)97.097.0194.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)92.996.5189.4-3.638%
vs Similar (16)92.894.4187.2-1.650%
vs Weaker (6)103.395.5198.8+7.883%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#6
L
113-115
113
115
-2
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
118-99
118
99
+19
H21/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#12
W
117-97
117
97
+20
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
110-99
110
99
+11
H31/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
104-96
104
96
+8
H04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
114-113
114
113
+1
A05/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
124-103
124
103
+21
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
70-114
70
114
-44
A08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-36
32-29
19-25
26-25
23-31
34-16
37-28
24-24
35-26
25-25
31-26
26-20
24-25
30-20
21-23
25-17
20-19
24-27
21-22
16-26
24-19
33-23
29-29
24-28
31-25
25-19
22-24
26-28
32-31
27-39
30-24
25-19
30-23
38-25
34-22
22-33
19-24
20-35
16-33
15-22
206.6Avg total
105.1Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)104.0100.2204.3+3.869%
Season at home (29)107.1100.4207.4+6.779%
Season away (29)101.0100.1201.1+0.959%
Last 10 (10)105.1101.5206.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)104.4105.0209.4-0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)99.9101.2201.1-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)109.8104.7214.5+5.181%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
Miami HeatDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/02
NBA
93.5Avg total
46.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.547.894.3-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.644.889.4-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)48.651.499.9-2.821%-
Last 10 (10)46.247.393.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.493.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.448.494.8-2.038%-
vs Similar (16)44.847.091.8-2.231%-
vs Weaker (6)51.049.3100.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H31/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A05/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
68-48
68
48
+20
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/02
NBA
107.9Avg total
56.2Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.752.2107.9+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.150.4106.4+5.775%-
Last 30 away (14)55.354.4109.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)56.251.7107.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)55.852.6108.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)55.251.2106.4+4.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)56.153.1109.2+3.062%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
1
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
08/01/09Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat108-97
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/09HCharlotte Hornets96-92
08/02/09APhiladelphia 76ers84-94
05/02/09ADetroit Pistons90-93
03/02/09HLos Angeles Clippers119-95
01/02/09HDallas Mavericks96-111
31/01/09AIndiana Pacers103-114
29/01/09HWashington Wizards93-71
27/01/09HAtlanta Hawks95-79
25/01/09HOrlando Magic103-97
22/01/09HBoston Celtics83-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/09ABrooklyn Nets70-114
07/02/09AWashington Wizards124-103
05/02/09AOklahoma City Thunder114-113
04/02/09HSan Antonio Spurs104-96
31/01/09HCharlotte Hornets110-99
29/01/09ANew Orleans Pelicans81-94
28/01/09AMemphis Grizzlies100-85
26/01/09HUtah Jazz117-97
21/01/09HSacramento Kings118-99
19/01/09AHouston Rockets113-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLWLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %52%64%39%
Points / game96.296.695.9
Allowed / game96.192.399.8
Point differential+0.2+4.3-3.9
Avg total192.3188.9195.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)83% (6)58% (12)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %69%79%59%
Points / game104.0107.1101.0
Allowed / game100.2100.4100.1
Point differential+3.8+6.7+0.9
Avg total204.3207.4201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%41%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers54441081%107.499.6+7.9
2 Boston Celtics59471280%101.192.2+8.8
3 Orlando Magic54421278%102.794.2+8.5
4 Cleveland Cavaliers56421475%99.690.9+8.7
5 Denver Nuggets58401869%104.0100.2+3.8
6 San Antonio Spurs55361965%97.094.1+3.0
7 New Orleans Pelicans54351965%95.992.4+3.5
8 Houston Rockets57352261%98.295.3+2.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers56342261%98.394.9+3.3
10 Atlanta Hawks58342459%98.397.1+1.3
11 Dallas Mavericks57332458%100.799.7+1.0
12 Detroit Pistons54312357%93.492.8+0.6
13 Phoenix Suns57322556%103.3101.8+1.4
14 Utah Jazz58322655%102.099.4+2.7
15 Miami Heat56292752%96.296.1+0.2
16 Philadelphia 76ers55282751%96.795.6+1.1
17 Brooklyn Nets59273246%98.2100.3-2.1
18 Chicago Bulls58263245%100.1101.7-1.7
19 New York Knicks55243144%104.4106.4-2.0
20 Milwaukee Bucks60263443%98.599.5-1.0
21 Indiana Pacers60253542%104.5105.7-1.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves56213538%98.0101.2-3.3
23 Toronto Raptors57203735%96.299.4-3.2
24 Golden State Warriors55193635%106.7110.4-3.7
25 Charlotte Hornets58203834%91.794.3-2.6
26 Memphis Grizzlies58174129%92.999.1-6.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder52133925%97.3102.9-5.7
28 Los Angeles Clippers58144424%93.6100.9-7.3
29 Washington Wizards58134522%93.3101.5-8.2
30 Sacramento Kings58114719%99.4108.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2020251782
Denver Nuggets3224182599
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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