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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-111
31-20 18-26 24-36 31-29
Position#14
Record30-28
FormLLWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#25
Record21-37
FormLLLLL
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game101.6
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
MIN131
10 Oct 2026
MIA124
MIN125
03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
MIN106
18 Dec 2023
MIA108
MIN112
26 Dec 2022
MIA113
MIN110
04 Oct 2022
MIA111
MIN121
12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
15 Oct 2016
MIA96
MIN101
08 Oct 2016
MIA100
MIN109
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
16 Jul 2013
MIA71
MIN80
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
103-114
103
114
-11
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
96-111
96
111
-15
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
119-95
119
95
+24
H03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A05/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H08/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
82-99
82
99
-17
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
A13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
29-13
18-24
31-28
18-23
23-16
29-17
23-15
26-29
23-37
24-27
30-21
15-24
34-33
21-28
26-26
30-24
28-23
32-26
29-22
21-20
21-25
20-25
28-23
23-26
21-18
25-19
15-31
18-20
25-19
26-22
27-31
20-32
20-24
25-18
17-25
23-24
27-15
26-26
19-28
189.4Avg total
95.3Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)96.096.1192.1-0.152%
Season at home (29)96.192.6188.7+3.662%
Season away (29)95.999.6195.4-3.741%
Last 10 (10)95.394.1189.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)89.494.2183.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)91.796.8188.4-5.133%
vs Similar (15)93.894.7188.5-0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)103.395.5198.8+7.883%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
119-132
119
132
-13
H31/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
101-109
101
109
-8
A01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
116-111
116
111
+5
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
L
90-107
90
107
-17
A08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
97-101
97
101
-4
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
102-110
102
110
-8
H11/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A18/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
27-22
27-17
16-23
24-22
28-28
20-21
17-27
31-33
29-31
25-36
34-32
24-29
20-33
29-25
28-22
27-32
29-27
22-23
38-29
18-22
19-23
25-30
24-19
27-20
23-30
21-28
19-29
31-24
21-25
28-27
17-25
16-23
32-18
32-32
22-37
16-27
26-24
34-25
27-35
204.9Avg total
99.3Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)98.1101.6199.7-3.436%
Season at home (29)98.1101.2199.3-3.138%
Season away (29)98.1101.9200.1-3.834%
Last 10 (10)99.3105.6204.9-6.320%
Last 5 (5)95.6104.6200.2-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)99.4105.6204.9-6.228%
vs Similar (11)104.598.1202.6+6.573%
vs Weaker (1)103.0118.0221.0-15.00%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A31/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
NBA
92.1Avg total
46.2Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.448.094.4-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.245.489.6-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)48.750.599.2-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)46.245.992.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.688.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.749.294.9-3.633%-
vs Similar (15)45.146.791.7-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)51.049.3100.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H31/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H11/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/02
NBA
100.2Avg total
48.8Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.549.699.1-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.450.9101.4-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)48.648.597.1+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)48.851.4100.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.293.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)48.751.299.9-2.528%-
vs Similar (11)50.646.797.4+3.973%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
0
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
14/01/09Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat96-99
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/09AChicago Bulls95-93
11/02/09HDenver Nuggets82-99
08/02/09HCharlotte Hornets96-92
08/02/09APhiladelphia 76ers84-94
05/02/09ADetroit Pistons90-93
03/02/09HLos Angeles Clippers119-95
01/02/09HDallas Mavericks96-111
31/01/09AIndiana Pacers103-114
29/01/09HWashington Wizards93-71
27/01/09HAtlanta Hawks95-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/09AWashington Wizards103-111
11/02/09HToronto Raptors102-110
09/02/09ANew Orleans Pelicans97-101
08/02/09AHouston Rockets90-107
05/02/09HAtlanta Hawks86-94
04/02/09AIndiana Pacers116-111
01/02/09ABoston Celtics101-109
31/01/09HLos Angeles Lakers119-132
29/01/09HDetroit Pistons89-98
27/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %52%62%41%
Points / game96.096.195.9
Allowed / game96.192.699.6
Point differential-0.1+3.6-3.7
Avg total192.1188.7195.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%28%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)83% (6)62% (13)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %36%38%34%
Points / game98.198.198.1
Allowed / game101.6101.2101.9
Point differential-3.4-3.1-3.8
Avg total199.7199.3200.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)50% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %7%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers57461181%107.299.5+7.7
2 Boston Celtics61491280%100.892.0+8.8
3 Orlando Magic56431377%102.294.1+8.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers58441476%99.690.7+8.9
5 Denver Nuggets61431870%103.599.3+4.2
6 New Orleans Pelicans56362064%95.692.4+3.2
7 San Antonio Spurs58372164%97.394.3+3.0
8 Houston Rockets59372263%98.495.0+3.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers58352360%98.495.1+3.3
10 Atlanta Hawks60352558%98.197.0+1.1
11 Dallas Mavericks59342558%100.999.7+1.2
12 Utah Jazz60342657%102.599.5+2.9
13 Phoenix Suns59332656%103.7101.9+1.8
14 Detroit Pistons57312654%93.593.2+0.3
15 Miami Heat58302852%96.096.1-0.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers58292950%96.395.6+0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks62283445%98.799.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls60273345%100.1101.6-1.6
19 Brooklyn Nets61273444%98.0100.7-2.7
20 New York Knicks58253343%105.3107.4-2.1
21 Indiana Pacers63263741%104.3105.7-1.3
22 Golden State Warriors57213637%107.3110.5-3.1
23 Toronto Raptors60223837%96.099.1-3.1
24 Minnesota Timberwolves58213736%98.1101.6-3.4
25 Charlotte Hornets61223936%92.294.4-2.2
26 Memphis Grizzlies60174328%93.099.2-6.3
27 Los Angeles Clippers60154525%94.2101.9-7.7
28 Oklahoma City Thunder55134224%97.2103.0-5.8
29 Washington Wizards60144623%93.5101.5-8.0
30 Sacramento Kings60114918%99.1108.8-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat31182431104
Minnesota Timberwolves20263629111
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