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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 90-105
25-27 25-19 12-30 28-29
Position#17
Record9-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#14
Record11-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
114-124
114
124
-10
106avg 97
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
120-107
120
107
+13
115avg 97
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 97
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
97-113
97
113
-16
86avg 97
H18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
92-104
92
104
-12
72avg 97
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
103-96
103
96
+7
90avg 97
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
115-125
115
125
-10
98avg 97
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
113-115
113
115
-2
101avg 97
H28/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
106-101
106
101
+5
92avg 97
H01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
102-100
102
100
+2
89avg 97
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
36-32
28-32
24-28
37-21
24-28
29-23
30-35
27-18
16-32
24-22
24-27
21-34
31-33
24-25
21-21
13-20
29-19
35-35
15-30
28-26
32-13
18-30
25-27
29-36
25-27
35-38
26-24
38-35
14-33
34-32
27-15
37-17
24-24
20-34
25-26
27-35
26-20
27-22
22-23
213.7Avg total
105.3Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)108.2109.6217.8-1.441%
Season at home (13)106.6108.1214.7-1.538%
Season away (9)110.4111.8222.2-1.344%
Last 10 (10)105.3108.4213.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)107.8107.4215.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.2113.1219.4-6.938%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.1111.2217.3-5.133%
vs Weaker (4)111.0105.2216.2+5.850%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
109-117
109
117
-8
99avg 93
A13/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
111-106
111
106
+5
104avg 93
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
130-117
130
117
+13
123avg 93
H18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
131-117
131
117
+14
132avg 93
H18/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
91-93
91
93
-2
86avg 93
H21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
87-112
87
112
-25
78avg 93
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
108-104
108
104
+4
104avg 93
A25/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
110-116
110
116
-6
98avg 93
A27/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
112-115
112
115
-3
110avg 93
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
99-85
99
85
+14
93avg 93
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
25-25
28-28
26-34
27-30
26-22
23-35
35-19
25-31
37-22
38-28
30-36
44-31
23-35
31-26
33-25
17-29
20-18
38-26
16-20
19-21
22-33
27-26
19-32
19-29
32-23
35-19
22-33
25-26
39-21
19-32
27-37
30-33
33-22
21-40
28-20
21-25
30-23
24-23
24-14
217.0Avg total
108.8Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)105.8108.1214.0-2.348%
Season at home (12)106.5110.0216.5-3.550%
Season away (11)105.1106.1211.2-1.045%
Last 10 (10)108.8108.2217.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)103.2106.4209.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.6106.9203.5-10.225%
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.1108.4213.5-3.344%
vs Weaker (4)111.897.8209.5+14.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H28/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H02/12
NBA
107.5Avg total
54.0Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.654.3108.9+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.353.9108.2+0.459%-
Last 30 away (13)55.054.8109.8+0.231%-
Last 10 (10)54.053.5107.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)55.154.2109.4+0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.953.8107.7+0.144%-
vs Weaker (4)56.856.5113.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A13/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H18/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
64-47
64
47
+17
A27/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A01/12
NBA
107.3Avg total
54.4Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.353.3105.6-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.354.3106.6-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)52.352.3104.7+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)54.452.9107.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.051.2105.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.553.4102.9-3.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.854.0105.8-2.244%-
vs Weaker (4)60.250.2110.5+10.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.326.4
46.9%
51.7%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.7
35.2%
35.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.117.4
69.3%
76.6%17.4
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.329.6
53.5%
51.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.4
37.7%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.815.4
81.9%
76.6%15.4
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWLLLWL
Orlando Magic
WLLWLLWWWL
#17
League position
#14
-3.0
Net rating
+0.6
103.0
Offensive rating
109.5
106.0
Defensive rating
108.9
49.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
17.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.2%
3-point %
37.7%
54.1%
Assist %
66.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 109.5Defence106.0 · 108.9Shooting49.1% · 54.6%3-point %35.2% · 37.7%Ball care13.5% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 17.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/18HUtah Jazz102-100
01/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans106-101
28/11/18HAtlanta Hawks113-115
25/11/18AToronto Raptors115-125
24/11/18AChicago Bulls103-96
21/11/18HBrooklyn Nets92-104
18/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers97-113
17/11/18AIndiana Pacers91-99
15/11/18ABrooklyn Nets120-107
13/11/18HPhiladelphia 76ers114-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/18APhoenix Suns99-85
29/11/18APortland Trail Blazers112-115
27/11/18AGolden State Warriors110-116
25/11/18ALos Angeles Lakers108-104
24/11/18ADenver Nuggets87-112
21/11/18HToronto Raptors91-93
18/11/18HNew York Knicks131-117
18/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers130-117
15/11/18HPhiladelphia 76ers111-106
13/11/18AWashington Wizards109-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW41%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %41%38%44%
Points / game108.2106.6110.4
Allowed / game109.6108.1111.8
Point differential-1.4-1.5-1.3
Avg total217.8214.7222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game105.8106.5105.1
Allowed / game108.1110.0106.1
Point differential-2.3-3.5-1.0
Avg total214.0216.5211.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2520580%116.6108.3+8.3
2 Denver Nuggets2316770%110.2102.7+7.5
3 Los Angeles Clippers2316770%117.7112.9+4.8
4 Milwaukee Bucks2215768%121.4111.3+10.1
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2215768%111.0103.6+7.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers2517868%114.2111.8+2.4
7 Golden State Warriors2516964%116.4111.5+4.9
8 Detroit Pistons2113862%110.2109.2+1.0
9 Los Angeles Lakers2314961%112.7111.0+1.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies2213959%104.4103.1+1.3
11 Indiana Pacers24141058%105.8102.1+3.6
12 Boston Celtics23131057%108.5104.1+4.4
13 Portland Trail Blazers23131057%113.0111.7+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks21111052%110.8108.9+2.0
15 Minnesota Timberwolves24121250%109.5109.7-0.2
16 Sacramento Kings22111150%114.3117.1-2.8
17 New Orleans Pelicans25121348%118.1116.7+1.4
18 Charlotte Hornets23111248%114.4110.7+3.7
19 Houston Rockets23111248%109.2109.5-0.3
20 Orlando Magic23111248%105.8108.1-2.3
21 San Antonio Spurs23111248%109.4112.3-2.9
22 Utah Jazz24111346%105.7108.0-2.3
23 Washington Wizards24101442%111.7116.7-5.0
24 Miami Heat2291341%108.2109.6-1.4
25 Brooklyn Nets2581732%108.6111.0-2.4
26 New York Knicks2581732%108.9114.4-5.5
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2351822%102.6110.4-7.9
28 Atlanta Hawks2451921%107.6118.5-10.9
29 Chicago Bulls2552020%102.8112.3-9.4
30 Phoenix Suns2341917%103.0113.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2525122890
Orlando Magic27193029105
← all games of the day
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