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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-105
23-33 19-30 24-16 32-26
Position#10
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game103.4
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 97
H06/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
95-86
95
86
+9
76avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 97
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
96-111
96
111
-15
79avg 97
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
118-101
118
101
+17
108avg 97
H13/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
128-103
128
103
+25
127avg 97
H15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
110-100
110
100
+10
102avg 97
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
113-117
113
117
-4
95avg 97
A20/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
123-95
123
95
+28
no box
A22/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
109-104
109
104
+5
97avg 97
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-28
26-35
38-23
22-30
23-20
25-20
23-24
24-22
29-19
30-26
21-15
18-20
22-23
23-34
25-25
26-29
32-13
32-27
22-35
32-26
37-22
28-27
35-31
28-23
30-25
17-17
32-23
31-35
24-37
32-32
29-15
28-33
23-18
37-28
27-33
36-16
33-31
29-26
27-23
20-24
212.5Avg total
111.2Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)111.6105.5217.1+6.167%
Season at home (9)115.0106.2221.2+8.878%
Season away (9)108.2104.8213.0+3.456%
Last 10 (10)111.2101.3212.5+9.980%
Last 5 (5)116.6103.8220.4+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0102.0210.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)107.6106.4214.0+1.245%
vs Weaker (9)117.4106.8224.2+10.789%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-107
115
107
+8
106avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
87-89
87
89
-2
75avg 104
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 104
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 104
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 104
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
138-93
138
93
+45
143avg 104
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
107avg 104
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-104
98
104
-6
90avg 104
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
no box
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-87
112
87
+25
112avg 104
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
35-22
34-25
27-26
29-22
18-28
23-20
17-19
24-34
23-21
29-27
34-30
35-33
24-30
29-36
26-22
30-27
25-27
21-32
23-23
35-23
38-34
36-16
29-20
35-37
32-33
21-28
27-27
29-25
27-21
21-32
21-26
23-25
27-31
35-18
18-27
21-19
33-22
26-27
32-19
213.9Avg total
109.1Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)110.2103.4213.6+6.863%
Season at home (11)113.8102.6216.5+11.273%
Season away (8)105.2104.5209.8+0.850%
Last 10 (10)109.1104.8213.9+4.340%
Last 5 (5)113.2102.0215.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3113.0220.3-5.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.1104.6213.7+4.580%
vs Weaker (12)115.1104.6219.7+10.567%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H06/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A08/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H13/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A20/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A22/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H24/11
NBA
107.6Avg total
56.8Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.652.7107.3+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.153.6110.7+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)52.151.9103.9+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)56.850.8107.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)58.052.6110.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.062.0123.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.453.7105.1-2.330%-
vs Weaker (9)61.049.6110.6+11.478%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/11
NBA
111.0Avg total
56.2Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.752.4109.1+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.551.5107.0+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)57.953.3111.2+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)56.254.8111.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)60.054.0114.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.755.7113.3+2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.551.7106.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (12)59.252.6111.8+6.658%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.631.5
51.1%
51.7%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.7
33.6%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
76.6%15.9
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.829.8
52.5%
51.7%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
76.6%13.9
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWLLLLW
#10
League position
#4
+9.5
Net rating
+4.2
108.4
Offensive rating
110.2
98.9
Defensive rating
106.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.6%
3-point %
36.8%
51.7%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 110.2Defence98.9 · 106.1Shooting50.9% · 53.4%3-point %33.6% · 36.8%Ball care13.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 26.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/18HCharlotte Hornets109-104
22/11/18AGolden State Warriors123-95
20/11/18ASacramento Kings113-117
18/11/18APhoenix Suns110-100
15/11/18HNew York Knicks128-103
13/11/18HPhoenix Suns118-101
11/11/18ADallas Mavericks96-111
09/11/18HHouston Rockets98-80
08/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers95-86
06/11/18HNew Orleans Pelicans122-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/18HOrlando Magic112-87
22/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
20/11/18AMilwaukee Bucks98-104
18/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans115-125
16/11/18HAtlanta Hawks138-93
14/11/18HHouston Rockets99-109
12/11/18HMilwaukee Bucks114-121
10/11/18HBrooklyn Nets110-112
08/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies87-89
06/11/18HBoston Celtics115-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game111.6115.0108.2
Allowed / game105.5106.2104.8
Point differential+6.1+8.8+3.4
Avg total217.1221.2213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW63%
HomeLLLWW73%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%73%50%
Points / game110.2113.8105.2
Allowed / game103.4102.6104.5
Point differential+6.8+11.2+0.8
Avg total213.6216.5209.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2016480%116.3107.5+8.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks1813572%121.0108.9+12.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder1812667%111.6105.5+6.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers1812667%117.6113.2+4.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies1812667%103.3100.8+2.4
6 Golden State Warriors2013765%115.9110.4+5.5
7 Denver Nuggets1912763%110.2103.4+6.8
8 Portland Trail Blazers1912763%113.3111.0+2.3
9 Philadelphia 76ers2113862%113.5113.6-0.1
10 Los Angeles Lakers1811761%114.8113.0+1.8
11 Indiana Pacers1911858%105.6102.8+2.7
12 Detroit Pistons169756%111.2111.1+0.1
13 Sacramento Kings1810856%114.2115.8-1.6
14 Boston Celtics1910953%106.4103.7+2.7
15 New Orleans Pelicans1910953%119.0116.9+2.1
16 Charlotte Hornets189950%115.1110.2+4.8
17 San Antonio Spurs189950%108.6108.8-0.2
18 Houston Rockets189950%106.9107.9-0.9
19 Orlando Magic1991047%105.5108.8-3.3
20 Dallas Mavericks178947%109.9108.8+1.1
21 Utah Jazz1981142%105.0108.1-3.1
22 Minnesota Timberwolves1981142%109.3112.8-3.6
23 Brooklyn Nets2081240%109.4110.8-1.4
24 Miami Heat1871139%108.0109.4-1.4
25 Washington Wizards1861233%111.5117.4-5.9
26 New York Knicks2061430%108.9114.3-5.4
27 Chicago Bulls1951426%103.8113.1-9.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers1841422%105.1111.5-6.4
29 Phoenix Suns1841422%104.3114.1-9.8
30 Atlanta Hawks1931616%106.8118.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2319243298
Denver Nuggets33301626105
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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