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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-103
25-23 31-27 18-35 27-18
Position#21
Record8-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game109.4
Allowed / game116.3
vs
Position#4
Record13-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game104.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
17 Oct 2024
MIN126
DEN132
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
08 Jul 2022
MIN85
DEN78
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
06 Jul 2018
MIN69
DEN70
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
12 Oct 2016
MIN105
DEN88
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
12 Oct 2010
MIN122
DEN108
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
19 Oct 2008
MIN111
DEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
128-125
128
125
+3
H01/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
99-116
99
116
-17
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
81-111
81
111
-30
A05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
109-120
109
120
-11
A06/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
110-114
110
114
-4
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
110-121
110
121
-11
A10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
120-113
120
113
+7
H13/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
H17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
87-100
87
100
-13
H18/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
33-31
36-40
27-29
32-36
26-25
29-22
12-33
27-30
18-31
19-31
17-19
33-31
26-32
25-29
25-28
32-30
35-35
21-21
22-28
31-29
30-34
20-29
29-29
30-31
27-22
36-32
27-28
38-28
29-26
18-27
22-19
29-21
26-22
28-24
29-29
20-17
23-30
19-28
25-25
217.9Avg total
106.3Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)109.4116.3225.7-6.936%
Season at home (11)110.3111.9222.2-1.664%
Season away (11)108.5120.6229.2-12.19%
Last 10 (10)106.3111.6217.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)107.2106.0213.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)106.4115.2221.6-8.936%
vs Similar (10)111.2116.8228.0-5.630%
vs Weaker (6)87.281.5168.7+5.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
110-91
110
91
+19
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
110-112
110
112
-2
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
99-109
99
109
-10
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
138-93
138
93
+45
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
115-125
115
125
-10
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
35-15
33-24
27-25
25-25
22-21
21-27
35-15
19-34
35-22
34-25
27-26
29-22
18-28
23-20
17-19
24-34
23-21
29-27
34-30
35-33
24-30
29-36
26-22
30-27
25-27
21-32
23-23
35-23
38-34
36-16
29-20
35-37
32-33
21-28
27-27
29-25
27-21
21-32
21-26
212.8Avg total
108.9Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)110.3104.6215.0+5.762%
Season at home (10)114.0104.2218.2+9.870%
Season away (11)107.0105.0212.0+2.055%
Last 10 (10)108.9103.9212.8+5.040%
Last 5 (5)112.8110.4223.2+2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.692.0180.6-3.440%
vs Similar (11)103.498.5201.8+4.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)111.1103.4214.5+7.664%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H01/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A06/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H13/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/11
NBA
114.3Avg total
57.7Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.555.8108.2-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.751.1100.8-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)55.661.1116.7-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)57.756.6114.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)56.652.0108.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.959.0111.9-6.136%-
vs Similar (10)59.260.5119.7-1.330%-
vs Weaker (6)40.240.380.5-0.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A20/11
NBA
109.4Avg total
55.5Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.651.0104.6+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.749.4101.1+2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)55.952.8108.6+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)55.553.9109.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)62.058.0120.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.446.294.6+2.240%-
vs Similar (11)51.752.2103.9-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)57.051.8108.8+5.264%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.328.1
47.4%
51.7%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.116.5
78.2%
76.6%16.5
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.329.9
53.1%
51.7%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.4
36.5%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
76.6%14.9
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWLLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLLWWW
#21
League position
#4
-5.2
Net rating
+5.1
103.6
Offensive rating
111.0
108.8
Defensive rating
105.9
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.6%
3-point %
36.5%
57.8%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 111.0Defence108.8 · 105.9Shooting50.4% · 53.7%3-point %37.6% · 36.5%Ball care14.0% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HMemphis Grizzlies87-100
17/11/18HPortland Trail Blazers112-96
15/11/18HNew Orleans Pelicans107-100
13/11/18HBrooklyn Nets120-113
10/11/18ASacramento Kings110-121
08/11/18ALos Angeles Lakers110-114
06/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers109-120
05/11/18APortland Trail Blazers81-111
03/11/18AGolden State Warriors99-116
01/11/18HUtah Jazz128-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/18AMilwaukee Bucks98-104
18/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans115-125
16/11/18HAtlanta Hawks138-93
14/11/18HHouston Rockets99-109
12/11/18HMilwaukee Bucks114-121
10/11/18HBrooklyn Nets110-112
08/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies87-89
06/11/18HBoston Celtics115-107
04/11/18HUtah Jazz103-88
01/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%64%9%
Points / game109.4110.3108.5
Allowed / game116.3111.9120.6
Point differential-6.9-1.6-12.1
Avg total225.7222.2229.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWLLLW70%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game110.3114.0107.0
Allowed / game104.6104.2105.0
Point differential+5.7+9.8+2.0
Avg total215.0218.2212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2318578%115.9107.0+8.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks2015575%121.0108.7+12.3
3 Los Angeles Clippers2014670%117.2111.0+6.2
4 Portland Trail Blazers2215768%114.6108.0+6.5
5 Philadelphia 76ers2315865%114.1113.4+0.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2013765%110.7105.3+5.3
7 Denver Nuggets2113862%110.3104.6+5.7
8 Memphis Grizzlies2113862%103.9103.2+0.6
9 Charlotte Hornets2213959%115.4110.1+5.3
10 Indiana Pacers2213959%105.5102.6+2.8
11 Houston Rockets1911858%107.4105.6+1.8
12 Golden State Warriors23131057%115.5111.1+4.4
13 Utah Jazz2011955%108.1107.0+1.1
14 Los Angeles Lakers22121055%115.5114.9+0.7
15 Detroit Pistons1910953%108.6109.0-0.4
16 San Antonio Spurs21111052%108.7108.0+0.7
17 Boston Celtics22101245%105.3104.8+0.5
18 Brooklyn Nets22101245%108.6110.2-1.6
19 Orlando Magic22101245%104.7106.9-2.1
20 Sacramento Kings22101245%112.1117.1-5.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans23101343%118.1118.7-0.6
22 Washington Wizards2191243%112.1115.3-3.2
23 Dallas Mavericks1981142%110.4110.1+0.3
24 Miami Heat2391439%109.4110.9-1.5
25 Minnesota Timberwolves2281436%109.4116.3-6.9
26 New York Knicks2481633%108.6113.5-4.9
27 Chicago Bulls2261627%102.9111.7-8.9
28 Atlanta Hawks2351822%108.5118.0-9.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers1941521%104.0111.3-7.3
30 Phoenix Suns2041620%102.0113.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves25311827101
Denver Nuggets23273518103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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