Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	89.0	78.9	167.9	+10.1	81%
Season at home (16)	91.8	78.6	170.3	+13.2	88%
Season away (16)	86.2	79.2	165.5	+7.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	80.2	170.0	+9.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	83.2	179.2	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	86.8	82.7	169.5	+4.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	87.5	78.2	165.7	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

73-72

A05/04

ACB

Alba Berlin

89-75

+14

H09/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

92-95 OT

-3

A12/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

89-63

+26

H15/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

88-73

+15

H20/04

ACB

Unicaja

96-57

+39

H24/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

91-89

A27/04

ACB

Breogan

#18

83-82

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

78-72

A10/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

90-82

H12/05

ACB

15-16

22-21

11-21

25-14

20-13

21-25

30-15

18-22

21-23

18-19

20-20

24-21

17-18

29-15

17-11

26-19

25-13

12-21

31-24

20-15

25-16

23-11

19-16

29-14

21-23

27-29

23-18

20-19

23-10

24-27

26-22

10-23

12-14

18-17

26-17

22-24

21-23

31-17

28-17

10-25

162.9Avg total

86.9Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	82.0	78.4	160.4	+3.6	69%
Season at home (16)	86.9	76.1	162.9	+10.8	81%
Season away (16)	77.1	80.8	157.9	-3.6	56%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	76.0	162.9	+10.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	76.4	164.0	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	78.0	72.0	150.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar (6)	83.0	69.8	152.8	+13.2	100%
vs Weaker (22)	83.6	78.1	161.8	+5.5	77%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	16.3	39.2	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	15.6	39.8	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	19.3	41.0	+2.3	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	12.0	14.0	26.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.0	18.5	38.6	+1.5	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.5	40.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.5	19.7	40.1	+0.8	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.7	41.7	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.2	44.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	45%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

43-35

H17/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

35-26

H19/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

36-41

-5

A23/04

Euroleague

Breogan

#18

39-46

-7

H27/04

ACB

Murcia

#14

39-37

A02/05

ACB

San Pablo Burgos

#12

50-41

A04/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

55-38

+17

H09/05

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

42-32

+10

A11/05

ACB

CSKA Moscow

45-43

A17/05

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

38-40

-2

A19/05

Euroleague

80.1Avg total

42.2Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.2	81.5	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	40.1	83.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	38.3	79.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	37.9	80.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	38.8	84.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.1	39.0	81.1	+3.1	61%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

37-37

A05/04

ACB

Alba Berlin

41-38

H09/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

39-42

-3

A12/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

46-33

+13

H15/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

37-34

H20/04

ACB

Unicaja

48-27

+21

H24/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

48-52

-4

A27/04

ACB

Breogan

#18

47-37

+10

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

30-31

-1

A10/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

52-40

+12

H12/05

ACB

79.6Avg total

42.5Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	38.2	78.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	36.7	78.7	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.7	78.1	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.1	79.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	37.4	82.4	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	30.0	31.0	61.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.3	35.2	73.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	41.3	39.4	80.6	+1.9	55%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	16.9	39.7	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	15.3	39.3	+8.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.5	40.1	+3.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.7	45.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.6	49.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	23.7	20.5	44.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.6	16.1	38.7	+6.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	18.7	42.7	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.1	41.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.0	42.4	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.3	18.4	40.6	+3.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.9	43.8	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.1	22.3	44.5	-0.2	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	16.8	40.5	+6.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.7	19.9	39.5	-0.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	38.8	83.5	+5.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	37.8	83.1	+7.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	39.9	84.0	+4.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	42.3	89.9	+5.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	44.4	94.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	44.8	42.0	86.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.7	38.4	83.1	+6.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	38.0	80.6	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	37.9	83.1	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	38.1	78.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	37.7	81.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	39.0	81.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.7	34.7	79.3	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (22)	42.0	38.2	80.2	+3.7	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game

48%

35%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	20.8	60.3%	52.5%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	10.5	38.2%	36.6%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.5	75.2%	74.6%	15.5

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game

48%

35%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	20.3	57.7%	52.5%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	10.7	41.5%	36.6%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	17.0	13.6	80.0%	74.6%	13.6

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	19.9	45.5%	52.5%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	8.7	39.0%	36.6%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.5	74.2%	74.6%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.5	53.5%	52.5%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	36.6%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	12.2	9.4	77.0%	74.6%	9.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	20.5	56.5%	52.5%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	10.0	36.2%	36.6%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.3	76.0%	74.6%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.1	55.6%	52.5%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	10.3	38.4%	36.6%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	12.7	78.7%	74.6%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	18.9	47.3%	52.5%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.8	36.5%	36.6%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.6	76.2%	74.6%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	18.3	52.4%	52.5%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.7%	36.6%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	14.5	11.3	77.5%	74.6%	11.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WLWWWWWWWW

Valencia

WWWWWWWLWW

League position

+12.3

Net rating

+14.4

118.0

Offensive rating

125.8

105.7

Defensive rating

111.4

59.0%

Effective FG%

59.6%

49.9%

Opp. effective FG%

55.0%

15.5%

Turnover %

16.5%

26.4%

Off. rebound %

37.2%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.28

38.2%

3-point %

41.5%

60.1%

Assist %

63.2%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/18	Valencia v Real Madrid	70-88
25/03/18	Real Madrid v Valencia	83-71
20/03/18	Valencia v Real Madrid	96-88
19/12/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	91-72
15/10/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	82-86
16/06/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	87-76
14/06/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	81-64
11/06/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-86
09/06/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	87-81
19/02/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	97-95

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/19	A	Fenerbahce	94-75
17/05/19	A	CSKA Moscow	90-95
11/05/19	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	85-70
09/05/19	H	Estudiantes	109-92
04/05/19	A	San Pablo Burgos	102-84
02/05/19	A	Murcia	82-80
27/04/19	H	Breogan	94-89
23/04/19	A	Panathinaikos	89-82
19/04/19	H	Panathinaikos	78-63
17/04/19	H	Panathinaikos	75-72

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/19	H	Estudiantes	90-82
10/05/19	A	Barcelona	78-72
04/05/19	H	Breogan	83-82
27/04/19	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	91-89
24/04/19	H	Unicaja	96-57
20/04/19	H	Tenerife	88-73
15/04/19	H	Alba Berlin	89-63
12/04/19	A	Alba Berlin	92-95 OT
09/04/19	H	Alba Berlin	89-75
05/04/19	A	MoraBanc Andorra	73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	81%	88%	75%
Points / game	89.0	91.8	86.2
Allowed / game	78.9	78.6	79.2
Point differential	+10.1	+13.2	+7.0
Avg total	167.9	170.3	165.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	56%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Valencia

ACB 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	LLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	69%	81%	56%
Points / game	82.0	86.9	77.1
Allowed / game	78.4	76.1	80.8
Point differential	+3.6	+10.8	-3.6
Avg total	160.4	162.9	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	62%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	67% (3)	83% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	32	26	6	81%	89.0	78.9	+10.1
2	Barcelona	33	26	7	79%	86.8	76.6	+10.2
3	Baskonia	32	25	7	78%	86.2	74.2	+12.0
4	Valencia	32	22	10	69%	82.0	78.4	+3.6
5	Unicaja	33	20	13	61%	84.0	82.0	+1.9
6	Joventut Badalona	32	17	15	53%	80.8	80.2	+0.6
7	Tenerife	33	17	16	52%	81.5	79.5	+2.0
8	Manresa	33	17	16	52%	80.5	82.2	-1.6
9	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	33	17	16	52%	83.0	85.5	-2.5
10	MoraBanc Andorra	33	16	17	48%	83.3	82.2	+1.1
11	Gran Canaria	33	14	19	42%	83.4	84.6	-1.2
12	San Pablo Burgos	33	14	19	42%	82.5	83.7	-1.3
13	Fuenlabrada	33	12	21	36%	81.8	89.0	-7.2
14	Murcia	33	11	22	33%	78.2	82.1	-3.9
15	Obradoiro CAB	33	11	22	33%	78.2	83.0	-4.8
16	Estudiantes	33	11	22	33%	82.9	87.7	-4.8
17	Gipuzkoa	33	10	23	30%	75.2	81.7	-6.5
18	Breogan	33	9	24	27%	77.2	84.0	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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