Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	106.3	85.3	191.6	+21.0	100%
Season at home (5)	101.6	80.8	182.4	+20.8	100%
Season away (2)	118.0	96.5	214.5	+21.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	105.4	87.7	193.1	+17.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.2	85.4	183.6	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	94.2	92.1	186.3	+2.1	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	99.8	89.7	189.5	+10.2	65%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

97-102 OT

102

-5

86avg 96

H13/10

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#18

88-91

-3

79avg 96

H15/10

Euroleague

Murcia

#11

116-93

116

+23

113avg 96

H18/10

ACB

Paris

#14

104-93

104

+11

98avg 96

A23/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

84-75

69avg 96

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

86-78

73avg 96

H27/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

94-98

-4

86avg 96

A30/10

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

111-79

111

+32

no box

A01/11

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

84-73

+11

no box

A05/11

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

100-93

100

no box

A08/11

ACB

31-17

28-17

12-25

19-31

23-31

25-19

24-21

16-20

25-14

33-22

28-24

30-33

32-26

25-28

26-16

21-23

27-19

14-16

18-18

25-22

19-9

17-16

24-21

26-32

25-30

17-14

26-25

26-29

20-21

26-18

31-29

34-11

24-15

16-22

11-22

33-14

22-27

19-25

30-20

29-21

183.9Avg total

96.4Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	99.1	88.0	187.1	+11.1	71%
Season at home (3)	100.0	91.0	191.0	+9.0	67%
Season away (4)	98.5	85.8	184.2	+12.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	96.4	87.5	183.9	+8.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	84.2	179.2	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	90.0	88.4	178.4	+1.6	60%
vs Weaker (25)	98.9	87.4	186.3	+11.5	80%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	22.3	46.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	23.5	46.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	21.8	46.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.4	21.5	46.0	+2.9	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	19.9	44.3	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	17.7	42.8	+7.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	22.1	45.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	20.9	45.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	26.8	17.6	44.4	+9.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (25)	24.0	20.3	44.3	+3.7	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	22.4	47.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	22.4	47.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	22.3	47.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	20.6	48.0	+6.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	21.0	47.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	24.0	23.3	47.3	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.7	21.9	47.6	+3.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	23.3	47.6	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.5	41.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	56%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

#19

53-40

+13

A13/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#16

61-48

+13

H15/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

62-35

+27

H18/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#18

51-52

-1

A22/10

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#17

54-40

+14

A25/10

ACB

Baskonia

#20

56-46

+10

A27/10

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

47-42

H29/10

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

39-31

H01/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

48-51

-3

H04/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#11

47-39

H08/11

ACB

94.2Avg total

51.8Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.0	44.6	93.6	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.5	43.4	92.9	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.5	45.9	94.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.8	42.4	94.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	41.8	89.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	46.6	47.1	93.7	-0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	50.1	43.4	93.5	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

59-34

+25

H13/10

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#18

48-50

-2

H15/10

Euroleague

Murcia

#11

58-36

+22

H18/10

ACB

Paris

#14

57-54

A23/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

41-35

H25/10

ACB

Fenerbahce

36-25

+11

H27/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

42-44

-2

A30/10

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

46-39

A01/11

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

40-37

A05/11

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

41-52

-11

A08/11

ACB

87.4Avg total

46.8Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	41.8	89.1	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.4	41.0	90.4	+8.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	42.6	87.7	+2.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	40.6	87.4	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	47.8	39.2	87.0	+8.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (25)	47.2	42.3	89.5	+4.8	72%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.7	44.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	21.3	45.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.1	21.8	45.8	+2.3	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	21.9	46.4	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.0	21.6	47.6	+4.4	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.4	47.8	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	25.5	22.0	47.6	+3.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.8	48.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	24.7	50.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	22.6	50.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.4	47.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.9	24.1	49.0	+0.8	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	22.7	47.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	25.2	49.0	-1.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	23.6	49.5	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	21.4	51.0	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.2	25.8	47.0	-4.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (25)	25.3	22.1	47.4	+3.2	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	44.8	92.4	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.4	46.3	94.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	43.3	90.0	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.5	43.9	96.4	+8.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	40.8	89.4	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	44.8	42.7	87.5	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	49.0	45.9	94.8	+3.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.1	44.6	93.7	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.9	47.3	94.2	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	51.4	41.8	93.2	+9.6	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	45.7	94.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.0	44.8	98.8	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (5)	40.8	46.8	87.6	-6.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	50.8	44.1	94.9	+6.7	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game

47%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	20.6	57.5%	55.7%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	15.0	41.9%	36.2%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	23.5	19.8	84.3%	75.8%	19.8

They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game

47%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	23.6	55.4%	55.7%	47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.7	35.4%	36.2%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.2	73.8%	75.8%	15.2

They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	22.3	50.8%	55.7%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.5	33.5%	36.2%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.6	72.3%	75.8%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	21.5	55.8%	55.7%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.9	34.3%	36.2%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.9	15.6	78.4%	75.8%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	20.0	61.9%	55.7%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	11.5	37.3%	36.2%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.8	80.2%	75.8%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	8.7	22.0%	55.7%	17.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	25.1	85.0%	36.2%	75.2
🏀 Free throws	27.2	15.2	55.8%	75.8%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.5	55.9%	55.7%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.6	35.9%	36.2%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.3	75.3%	75.8%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	-5.4	-14.9%	55.7%	-10.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	35.6	121.1%	36.2%	106.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	14.1	64.8%	75.8%	14.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WLWWWWWWWW

Valencia

WWWLWWWWLL

League position

+23.0

Net rating

+7.0

114.6

Offensive rating

106.7

91.6

Defensive rating

99.7

60.2%

Effective FG%

54.5%

50.6%

Opp. effective FG%

53.9%

12.7%

Turnover %

8.7%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.28

41.9%

3-point %

35.4%

62.4%

Assist %

52.5%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
22/05/26	Valencia v Real Madrid	90-105
25/04/26	Valencia v Real Madrid	82-96
12/03/26	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-79
18/01/26	Real Madrid v Valencia	94-79
11/11/25	Valencia v Real Madrid	89-76
28/09/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	94-98
25/06/25	Valencia v Real Madrid	70-81
22/06/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	102-96 OT
20/06/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-75
04/05/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-89

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	Murcia	90-71
04/11/26	H	Panathinaikos	112-115 OT
01/11/26	H	San Pablo Burgos	90-79
29/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	95-76
27/10/26	A	Baskonia	104-86
25/10/26	A	Forca Lleida	122-86
22/10/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	113-99
18/10/26	H	Bilbao	119-84
15/10/26	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	111-92
13/10/26	A	Olimpia Milano	98-89

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	San Pablo Burgos	100-93
05/11/26	A	Olimpia Milano	84-73
01/11/26	A	MoraBanc Andorra	111-79
30/10/26	A	Barcelona	94-98
27/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	86-78
25/10/26	H	Baskonia	84-75
23/10/26	A	Paris	104-93
18/10/26	H	Murcia	116-93
15/10/26	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	88-91
13/10/26	H	Olympiacos	97-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	106.3	101.6	118.0
Allowed / game	85.3	80.8	96.5
Point differential	+21.0	+20.8	+21.5
Avg total	191.6	182.4	214.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	80%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	14%	0%	50%

Valencia

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	99.1	100.0	98.5
Allowed / game	88.0	91.0	85.8
Point differential	+11.1	+9.0	+12.8
Avg total	187.1	191.0	184.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	7	7	0	100%	106.3	85.3	+21.0
2	Valencia	7	5	2	71%	99.1	88.0	+11.1
3	Baskonia	7	5	2	71%	95.0	84.3	+10.7
4	Tenerife	7	5	2	71%	86.7	79.0	+7.7
5	Basket Zaragoza	7	5	2	71%	92.6	87.7	+4.9
6	Barcelona	7	5	2	71%	97.3	94.4	+2.9
7	Breogan	7	4	3	57%	102.7	98.7	+4.0
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	57%	92.0	92.6	-0.6
9	Basquet Girona	7	4	3	57%	90.7	97.3	-6.6
10	Unicaja	7	3	4	43%	88.7	86.1	+2.6
11	Murcia	7	3	4	43%	90.1	93.3	-3.1
12	Obradoiro CAB	7	3	4	43%	90.3	96.6	-6.3
13	Leyma Coruna	7	3	4	43%	91.9	99.9	-8.0
14	Joventut Badalona	7	2	5	29%	89.3	89.9	-0.6
15	San Pablo Burgos	7	2	5	29%	88.7	89.3	-0.6
16	MoraBanc Andorra	7	1	6	14%	86.7	97.4	-10.7
17	Forca Lleida	7	1	6	14%	92.9	105.6	-12.7
18	Manresa	7	1	6	14%	86.6	102.3	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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