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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-70
25-14 19-24 14-8 23-24
Position#1
Record36-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#4
Record26-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.8
SpainACBACB - Semi-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Real Madrid v Valencia
14 Mar 2027
MAD v VAL
upcoming
17 Dec 2026
MAD v VAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MAD96
VAL79
18 Jan 2026
MAD94
VAL79
28 Sep 2025
MAD94
VAL98
22 Jun 2025
MAD102
VAL96
20 Jun 2025
MAD89
VAL75
04 May 2025
MAD96
VAL89
17 Feb 2024
MAD95
VAL76
11 Jan 2024
MAD96
VAL86
31 Dec 2023
MAD83
VAL74
09 Mar 2023
MAD95
VAL91
16 Feb 2023
MAD86
VAL85
04 Dec 2022
MAD79
VAL62
06 Feb 2022
MAD93
VAL94
10 Jun 2021
MAD80
VAL77
06 Jun 2021
MAD81
VAL70
09 May 2021
MAD69
VAL79
11 Feb 2021
MAD85
VAL74
08 Oct 2020
MAD77
VAL93
15 Feb 2020
MAD91
VAL68
21 May 2019
MAD v VAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2018
MAD83
VAL71
19 Dec 2017
MAD91
VAL72
11 Jun 2017
MAD79
VAL86
09 Jun 2017
MAD87
VAL81
19 Feb 2017
MAD97
VAL95
22 Jan 2017
MAD85
VAL71
04 Jun 2016
MAD97
VAL88
02 Jun 2016
MAD82
VAL57
11 Oct 2015
MAD82
VAL88
07 Jun 2015
MAD89
VAL93
04 Jun 2015
MAD81
VAL71
02 Nov 2014
MAD90
VAL71
26 Sep 2014
MAD89
VAL76
27 Apr 2014
MAD105
VAL110
20 Dec 2012
MAD87
VAL84
04 Dec 2011
MAD81
VAL64
07 Apr 2011
MAD66
VAL58
24 Mar 2011
MAD75
VAL81
22 Mar 2011
MAD71
VAL65
12 Feb 2011
MAD69
VAL59
23 Oct 2010
MAD75
VAL63
05 Dec 2009
MAD77
VAL66
22 Mar 2009
MAD80
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A25/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A04/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H09/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H20/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A23/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H31/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A02/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-16
20-18
24-20
15-15
13-23
20-20
32-18
19-13
17-34
21-19
25-10
19-31
35-20
19-24
25-14
21-18
20-18
16-24
26-28
12-27
15-16
16-17
26-19
21-13
24-11
8-18
17-17
25-17
20-22
26-23
25-28
34-11
22-19
22-34
25-15
16-15
21-20
21-16
23-24
163.9Avg total
85.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)87.376.2163.4+11.195%
Season at home (19)89.678.8168.4+10.889%
Season away (19)84.973.6158.5+11.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.278.7163.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)83.876.4160.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.886.9164.6-9.138%
vs Similar (5)82.674.6157.2+8.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.576.2162.7+10.288%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H02/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A19/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H22/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H31/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A02/06
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H04/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
24-23
25-23
20-18
17-33
25-18
30-21
27-18
15-16
29-12
20-25
16-13
34-29
18-23
24-21
24-16
27-12
16-15
17-16
19-26
24-18
23-26
20-15
19-33
24-23
27-17
12-24
33-12
22-18
13-26
25-19
27-23
16-26
12-15
18-21
19-14
23-19
20-15
16-19
19-20
166.6Avg total
86.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)85.680.8166.4+4.767%
Season at home (20)89.282.5171.7+6.670%
Season away (19)81.879.0160.8+2.863%
Last 10 (10)86.779.9166.6+6.880%
Last 5 (5)82.480.6163.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.887.8170.5-5.050%
vs Similar (11)80.276.9157.1+3.364%
vs Weaker (14)88.082.3170.3+5.771%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
Real MadridValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A25/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H09/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A23/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H31/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/06
ACB
79.6Avg total
41.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.477.9+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.978.5+2.850%-
Last 30 away (16)40.436.977.3+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.179.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.276.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.440.577.9-3.138%-
vs Similar (5)40.436.877.2+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.036.178.1+5.976%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H02/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H22/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H31/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/06
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/06
ACB
83.9Avg total
43.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.682.2+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.785.1+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.479.0+0.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.283.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.681.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.839.279.0+0.550%-
vs Similar (11)39.737.877.5+1.964%-
vs Weaker (14)44.142.686.8+1.557%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.9
50.4%
53.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.5
37.0%
36.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.9
81.8%
76.6%13.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.122.8
63.2%
53.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
36.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.613.2
79.5%
76.6%13.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLLWWWW
Valencia
WLWWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+8.5
Net rating
+9.9
113.4
Offensive rating
118.1
104.9
Defensive rating
108.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.0%
3-point %
37.3%
60.9%
Assist %
61.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 118.1Defence104.9 · 108.3Shooting52.8% · 60.2%3-point %37.0% · 37.3%Ball care17.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds34.0% · 26.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/21AGran Canaria81-75
31/05/21HGran Canaria103-79
23/05/21AUnicaja96-90
20/05/21HBilbao70-59
09/05/21HValencia69-79
04/05/21AAnadolu Efes83-88
02/05/21ABasket Zaragoza98-89
29/04/21HAnadolu Efes82-76
27/04/21HAnadolu Efes80-76
25/04/21AFuenlabrada90-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/21HBaskonia78-73
02/06/21ABaskonia65-76
31/05/21HBaskonia87-86
22/05/21HFuenlabrada96-76
19/05/21AGran Canaria86-92
09/05/21AReal Madrid79-69
02/05/21HEstudiantes100-89
30/04/21AMurcia80-66
25/04/21HBilbao99-90
16/04/21HObradoiro CAB97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW95%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %95%89%100%
Points / game87.389.684.9
Allowed / game76.278.873.6
Point differential+11.1+10.8+11.3
Avg total163.4168.4158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%53%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWWWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %67%70%63%
Points / game85.689.281.8
Allowed / game80.882.579.0
Point differential+4.7+6.6+2.8
Avg total166.4171.7160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3836295%87.376.2+11.1
2 Barcelona3934587%87.372.8+14.4
3 Tenerife3829976%87.579.1+8.4
4 Valencia39261367%85.680.8+4.7
5 Baskonia39241562%81.778.1+3.7
6 San Pablo Burgos38221658%86.283.5+2.7
7 Joventut Badalona39211854%84.884.9-0.1
8 Gran Canaria38182047%81.283.9-2.7
9 Unicaja36171947%83.783.2+0.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra36171947%79.279.6-0.4
11 Manresa36171947%83.887.1-3.2
12 Murcia36162044%81.282.0-0.8
13 Basket Zaragoza36142239%86.988.6-1.7
14 Fuenlabrada36122433%81.183.9-2.8
15 Obradoiro CAB36122433%80.283.8-3.5
16 Real Betis36112531%77.484.2-6.8
17 Bilbao36102628%80.086.6-6.6
18 Estudiantes3692725%82.588.5-6.0
19 Gipuzkoa3672919%73.687.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2519142381
Valencia142482470
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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