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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 126-118
34-33 40-36 31-26 21-23
Position#4
Record23-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.4
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#24
Record16-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game109.1
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-85
117
85
+32
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-113
107
113
-6
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
30-19
16-24
26-32
30-26
28-24
31-21
28-14
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
209.7Avg total
107.9Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)109.4103.1212.5+6.370%
Season at home (15)111.999.8211.7+12.180%
Season away (18)107.4105.9213.3+1.561%
Last 10 (10)107.9101.8209.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)102.8100.4203.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar (12)107.3100.2207.5+7.292%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)110.7103.1213.8+7.662%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
128-108
128
108
+20
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
103-114
103
114
-11
A01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
114-110
114
110
+4
H03/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
111-102
111
102
+9
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
106-132
106
132
-26
A06/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H11/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
113-120
113
120
-7
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-28
38-28
22-33
32-19
32-22
26-31
17-25
28-36
34-35
28-23
26-22
26-30
34-20
26-25
27-28
24-29
31-32
22-37
27-28
26-35
32-30
24-27
28-27
23-20
24-19
28-21
23-13
26-23
28-26
23-26
30-26
33-29
21-25
19-25
27-28
22-21
31-34
27-27
25-32
30-27
215.8Avg total
108.6Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)110.2109.1219.2+1.152%
Season at home (17)113.8106.4220.2+7.576%
Season away (14)105.7112.4218.1-6.621%
Last 10 (10)108.6107.2215.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)104.8101.2206.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)111.6104.5216.1+7.273%
vs Similar (12)111.8112.4224.2-0.642%
vs Weaker (7)104.4109.0213.4-4.643%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
107.7Avg total
56.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.351.6107.9+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.951.3107.2+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)56.652.0108.6+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)56.751.0107.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)52.652.8105.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (12)55.149.6104.7+5.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)57.052.8109.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H03/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A06/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H11/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H17/12
NBA
110.5Avg total
56.4Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.4111.7+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.153.6111.7+4.453%-
Last 30 away (13)53.857.8111.6-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)56.454.1110.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.452.0103.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)57.255.6112.8+1.545%-
vs Similar (12)57.456.6114.0+0.842%-
vs Weaker (7)52.753.1105.9-0.443%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.830.1
50.3%
51.7%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.717.1
75.3%
76.6%17.1
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.3
52.6%
51.7%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.8
31.9%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws28.821.6
75.0%
76.6%21.6
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLWWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#24
+6.1
Net rating
+1.4
108.7
Offensive rating
106.2
102.5
Defensive rating
104.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
31.9%
67.5%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 106.2Defence102.5 · 104.9Shooting50.8% · 50.7%3-point %34.6% · 31.9%Ball care13.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds27.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112
28/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-85
25/11/18AOklahoma City Thunder105-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/18HSacramento Kings113-120
14/12/18APhoenix Suns89-99
13/12/18HAtlanta Hawks114-107
11/12/18HOrlando Magic101-76
08/12/18HHouston Rockets107-104
06/12/18ANew Orleans Pelicans106-132
05/12/18HPortland Trail Blazers111-102
03/12/18HLos Angeles Clippers114-110
01/12/18ALos Angeles Lakers103-114
29/11/18AHouston Rockets128-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %70%80%61%
Points / game109.4111.9107.4
Allowed / game103.199.8105.9
Point differential+6.3+12.1+1.5
Avg total212.5211.7213.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWWWWL76%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %52%76%21%
Points / game110.2113.8105.7
Allowed / game109.1106.4112.4
Point differential+1.1+7.5-6.6
Avg total219.2220.2218.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors36261072%115.0107.0+7.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks33231070%118.5108.6+9.8
3 Denver Nuggets33231070%109.4103.1+6.3
4 Oklahoma City Thunder33221167%111.2104.6+6.5
5 Indiana Pacers35221363%105.9101.2+4.7
6 Philadelphia 76ers35221363%114.0112.3+1.7
7 Golden State Warriors36221461%115.3110.9+4.4
8 Los Angeles Clippers33201361%114.3112.5+1.8
9 Boston Celtics33191458%110.4104.5+5.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers35201557%112.3110.3+2.1
11 Los Angeles Lakers37211657%113.2112.0+1.2
12 Houston Rockets33181555%109.4108.3+1.2
13 Charlotte Hornets34181653%113.9111.5+2.4
14 San Antonio Spurs36191753%110.3109.4+0.9
15 Dallas Mavericks31161552%110.2109.1+1.1
16 Memphis Grizzlies35181751%102.8104.0-1.1
17 Utah Jazz34171750%107.6105.8+1.9
18 Sacramento Kings35171849%114.1117.0-2.9
19 Detroit Pistons33161748%108.3109.3-0.9
20 Miami Heat35161946%107.8108.6-0.8
21 Orlando Magic33151845%103.1105.8-2.7
22 Brooklyn Nets36162044%110.3111.6-1.3
23 Minnesota Timberwolves35152043%110.5112.5-2.0
24 Washington Wizards35152043%112.8116.0-3.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans36152142%116.2116.4-0.2
26 New York Knicks37122532%108.6114.6-6.0
27 Cleveland Cavaliers35102529%103.5110.9-7.5
28 Atlanta Hawks3592626%109.4118.6-9.2
29 Chicago Bulls3692725%101.3111.1-9.8
30 Phoenix Suns3582723%102.6112.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34403121126
Dallas Mavericks33362623118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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