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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 111-103
34-26 21-27 22-22 34-28
Position#11
Record18-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
113-121
113
121
-8
100avg 98
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
133-120
133
120
+13
129avg 98
H08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
110-97
110
97
+13
107avg 98
H10/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
111-86
111
86
+25
111avg 98
H12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
125-87
125
87
+38
125avg 98
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 98
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
123-96
123
96
+27
123avg 98
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
129-90
129
90
+39
136avg 98
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
124-98
124
98
+26
130avg 98
H22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
93avg 98
A23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
22-19
37-28
31-43
32-36
36-36
21-27
44-21
23-18
31-18
28-36
28-25
29-20
30-26
29-18
23-22
38-27
28-30
32-20
27-10
28-21
34-22
16-31
15-24
29-32
31-17
33-22
30-25
31-24
35-20
38-33
25-13
29-21
33-23
25-27
37-27
26-28
17-13
26-43
32-24
216.3Avg total
116.2Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)111.3109.5220.8+1.853%
Season at home (18)111.6103.9215.5+7.672%
Season away (16)111.0115.8226.8-4.831%
Last 10 (10)116.2100.1216.3+16.170%
Last 5 (5)114.098.0212.0+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)116.5113.5230.0+3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)111.9109.5221.3+2.455%
vs Weaker (6)105.2100.2205.3+5.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
105avg 105
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
106-103
106
103
+3
103avg 105
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
124avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
107-113
107
113
-6
94avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 105
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 105
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
85avg 105
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
126-118
126
118
+8
128avg 105
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-132
111
132
-21
91avg 105
A22/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
34-33
40-36
31-26
21-23
26-34
33-34
27-35
25-29
217.9Avg total
109.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)110.0104.3214.3+5.768%
Season at home (16)112.8100.9213.7+11.881%
Season away (15)107.1107.9214.9-0.853%
Last 10 (10)109.4108.5217.9+0.970%
Last 5 (5)109.2106.6215.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)107.7103.0210.7+4.783%
vs Weaker (16)112.4104.6217.1+7.862%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H10/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/12
NBA
106.7Avg total
58.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.652.7108.3+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.952.4110.2+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)52.953.1106.0-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)58.548.2106.7+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)58.644.2102.8+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.057.5119.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)54.753.4108.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)56.748.5105.2+8.267%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/12
NBA
113.4Avg total
57.9Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.852.9109.7+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.152.4109.4+4.769%-
Last 30 away (14)56.653.5110.1+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)57.955.5113.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)57.457.2114.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.150.8105.8+4.367%-
vs Weaker (16)58.154.3112.4+3.862%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.933.9
54.8%
51.7%67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.510.5
44.7%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.116.9
84.1%
76.6%16.9
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.830.4
51.7%
51.7%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.4
34.7%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.117.4
75.3%
76.6%17.4
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWLWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLLWWW
#11
League position
#4
+16.3
Net rating
+0.9
117.8
Offensive rating
110.1
101.5
Defensive rating
109.2
58.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
44.7%
3-point %
34.7%
58.3%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 110.1Defence101.5 · 109.2Shooting58.1% · 51.8%3-point %44.7% · 34.7%Ball care11.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds19.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18AHouston Rockets101-108
22/12/18HMinnesota Timberwolves124-98
20/12/18AOrlando Magic129-90
18/12/18HPhiladelphia 76ers123-96
16/12/18HChicago Bulls93-98
14/12/18HLos Angeles Clippers125-87
12/12/18HPhoenix Suns111-86
10/12/18HUtah Jazz110-97
08/12/18HLos Angeles Lakers133-120
06/12/18ALos Angeles Lakers113-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-132
19/12/18HDallas Mavericks126-118
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %53%72%31%
Points / game111.3111.6111.0
Allowed / game109.5103.9115.8
Point differential+1.8+7.6-4.8
Avg total220.8215.5226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%81%53%
Points / game110.0112.8107.1
Allowed / game104.3100.9107.9
Point differential+5.7+11.8-0.8
Avg total214.3213.7214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors36261072%114.1107.5+6.6
2 Milwaukee Bucks33231070%116.6108.1+8.6
3 Denver Nuggets31211068%110.0104.3+5.7
4 Indiana Pacers35231266%106.8101.2+5.5
5 Golden State Warriors35231266%115.6111.5+4.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder33211264%111.9105.8+6.1
7 Philadelphia 76ers35221363%114.5112.0+2.5
8 Boston Celtics33201361%111.6105.0+6.6
9 Los Angeles Lakers34201459%113.2111.0+2.2
10 Los Angeles Clippers33191458%115.6114.6+1.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers34191556%111.0110.9+0.1
12 Houston Rockets33181555%109.3108.5+0.8
13 Sacramento Kings33181555%115.1116.4-1.3
14 San Antonio Spurs34181653%111.3109.5+1.8
15 Memphis Grizzlies34181653%101.7101.7+0.0
16 Detroit Pistons32161650%108.3109.1-0.7
17 Utah Jazz35171849%107.2105.6+1.5
18 Charlotte Hornets33161748%113.4111.5+1.9
19 Miami Heat33161748%106.4106.3+0.1
20 Brooklyn Nets36171947%111.2111.6-0.5
21 Minnesota Timberwolves34161847%111.1111.1+0.0
22 Dallas Mavericks32151747%110.7109.9+0.7
23 New Orleans Pelicans34151944%116.3115.4+0.9
24 Orlando Magic33141942%102.9107.6-4.6
25 Washington Wizards35132237%112.7117.7-5.0
26 Atlanta Hawks3392427%109.0118.2-9.2
27 New York Knicks3592626%108.2115.7-7.5
28 Phoenix Suns3592626%105.1113.6-8.5
29 Chicago Bulls3592626%100.7110.2-9.5
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3582723%102.3111.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs34212234111
Denver Nuggets26272228103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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