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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-99
31-23 30-24 17-28 24-24
Position#4
Record24-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game104.6
vs
Position#12
Record22-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
14 Oct 2013
DEN98
SAS94
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-113
107
113
-6
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
126-118
126
118
+8
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
111-132
111
132
-21
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
34-33
40-36
31-26
21-23
26-34
33-34
27-35
25-29
26-34
27-21
22-22
28-34
216.8Avg total
108.4Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)109.8104.6214.3+5.267%
Season at home (16)112.8100.9213.7+11.881%
Season away (20)107.3107.5214.8-0.155%
Last 10 (10)108.4108.4216.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)108.8109.0217.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.3103.6210.9+3.777%
vs Weaker (15)112.0105.5217.5+6.560%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
133-120
133
120
+13
H08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
110-97
110
97
+13
H10/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
111-86
111
86
+25
H12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
125-87
125
87
+38
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
123-96
123
96
+27
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
129-90
129
90
+39
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
124-98
124
98
+26
H22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
A23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-36
36-36
21-27
44-21
23-18
31-18
28-36
28-25
29-20
30-26
29-18
23-22
38-27
28-30
32-20
27-10
28-21
34-22
16-31
15-24
29-32
31-17
33-22
30-25
31-24
35-20
38-33
25-13
29-21
33-23
25-27
37-27
26-28
17-13
26-43
32-24
34-26
21-27
22-22
34-28
214.3Avg total
116.0Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)110.9108.5219.4+2.555%
Season at home (22)110.6103.4214.0+7.273%
Season away (18)111.3114.6225.9-3.333%
Last 10 (10)116.098.3214.3+17.780%
Last 5 (5)117.699.0216.6+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)116.5113.5230.0+3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)111.9109.3221.2+2.655%
vs Weaker (6)105.2100.2205.3+5.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +7.6+7.6
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
112.1Avg total
56.4Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.453.1109.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.552.6109.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)56.353.6109.9+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)56.455.7112.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.058.2115.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.951.1106.0+3.862%-
vs Weaker (15)57.654.7112.3+2.960%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H10/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H27/12
NBA
108.0Avg total
59.5Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.652.5108.1+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.951.9109.9+6.075%-
Last 30 away (14)52.953.1106.0-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)59.548.5108.0+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)57.246.2103.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.057.5119.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)54.753.1107.8+1.655%-
vs Weaker (6)56.748.5105.2+8.267%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.129.5
50.8%
51.7%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.8
34.8%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
76.6%17.0
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.833.5
55.1%
51.7%67.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.010.8
45.0%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.316.6
81.8%
76.6%16.6
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLLWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#12
+0.0
Net rating
+18.0
108.5
Offensive rating
118.1
108.5
Defensive rating
100.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
58.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.8%
3-point %
45.0%
67.7%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 118.1Defence108.5 · 100.1Shooting51.3% · 58.6%3-point %34.8% · 45.0%Ball care13.1% · 11.7%Off. rebounds25.5% · 19.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs103-111
22/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-132
19/12/18HDallas Mavericks126-118
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/18HDenver Nuggets111-103
23/12/18AHouston Rockets101-108
22/12/18HMinnesota Timberwolves124-98
20/12/18AOrlando Magic129-90
18/12/18HPhiladelphia 76ers123-96
16/12/18HChicago Bulls93-98
14/12/18HLos Angeles Clippers125-87
12/12/18HPhoenix Suns111-86
10/12/18HUtah Jazz110-97
08/12/18HLos Angeles Lakers133-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %67%81%55%
Points / game109.8112.8107.3
Allowed / game104.6100.9107.5
Point differential+5.2+11.8-0.1
Avg total214.3213.7214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %6%0%10%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game110.9110.6111.3
Allowed / game108.5103.4114.6
Point differential+2.5+7.2-3.3
Avg total219.3214.0225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks38271171%117.4107.7+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors41291271%113.6107.4+6.2
3 Denver Nuggets36241267%109.8104.6+5.2
4 Indiana Pacers40261465%106.9101.2+5.8
5 Oklahoma City Thunder37241365%111.6105.4+6.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers39251464%114.7111.8+2.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%115.7113.3+2.4
8 Golden State Warriors41241759%115.0111.7+3.2
9 Houston Rockets38221658%110.4108.3+2.1
10 Portland Trail Blazers40231757%111.2110.4+0.8
11 Los Angeles Lakers41231856%113.2111.5+1.7
12 Boston Celtics38211755%110.7105.9+4.8
13 San Antonio Spurs40221855%110.9108.5+2.5
14 Charlotte Hornets39211854%113.2110.6+2.5
15 Utah Jazz39201951%107.9105.3+2.6
16 Memphis Grizzlies39201951%102.4103.2-0.9
17 Miami Heat40202050%107.6107.0+0.7
18 Sacramento Kings40202050%114.1117.2-3.0
19 Detroit Pistons38182047%107.3109.1-1.7
20 Brooklyn Nets41192246%109.9111.2-1.3
21 Dallas Mavericks37172046%111.4111.0+0.4
22 Minnesota Timberwolves40172342%111.0113.0-1.9
23 Orlando Magic38162242%102.6106.1-3.5
24 Washington Wizards40162440%112.3116.3-4.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans41162539%115.9116.6-0.7
26 Atlanta Hawks39122731%109.8118.0-8.2
27 New York Knicks41122929%107.9114.8-6.9
28 Chicago Bulls41122929%100.9109.2-8.3
29 Phoenix Suns39102926%104.4113.4-8.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers40103025%102.6111.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31301724102
San Antonio Spurs2324282499
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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