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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 118-122
16-36 33-26 29-28 40-32
Position#28
Record9-27
FormWLLWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game113.7
vs
Position#4
Record22-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
112avg 93
H11/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
86-111
86
111
-25
74avg 93
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-89
99
89
+10
82avg 93
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
107-99
107
99
+8
105avg 93
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
128-110
128
110
+18
122avg 93
A18/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
111-103
111
103
+8
103avg 93
A20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
146-149 OT
146
149
-3
130avg 93
A23/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
103-111
103
111
-8
94avg 93
A23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
122-120 OT
122
120
+2
111avg 93
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
102-118
102
118
-16
87avg 93
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
27-37
30-30
25-23
20-29
26-30
18-29
22-23
25-21
25-19
28-27
21-22
28-30
28-28
29-24
22-17
28-32
31-34
41-17
28-27
26-37
33-25
27-18
25-23
29-33
26-22
24-28
30-26
31-38
25-25
18-28
29-20
26-32
36-21
28-34
28-31
29-36
28-22
27-23
18-37
225.6Avg total
112.3Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)105.0113.7218.7-8.725%
Season at home (17)102.9109.3212.2-6.429%
Season away (19)106.8117.6224.5-10.821%
Last 10 (10)112.3113.3225.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)116.8120.2237.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)103.6112.6216.2-8.925%
vs Similar (2)122.0117.0239.0+5.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
124avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
107-113
107
113
-6
94avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 105
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 105
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
85avg 105
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
126-118
126
118
+8
128avg 105
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-132
111
132
-21
91avg 105
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 105
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
102-99
102
99
+3
104avg 105
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
34-33
40-36
31-26
21-23
26-34
33-34
27-35
25-29
26-34
27-21
22-22
28-34
31-23
30-24
17-28
24-24
216.0Avg total
108.0Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)109.5104.3213.9+5.267%
Season at home (17)112.1100.8212.9+11.382%
Season away (16)106.8108.1214.9-1.250%
Last 10 (10)108.0108.0216.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)107.4109.2216.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar (13)107.5103.7211.2+3.877%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)112.0105.5217.5+6.560%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H11/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A18/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A23/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H29/12
NBA
112.8Avg total
55.6Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.256.6108.8-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.753.3103.0-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)54.759.9114.7-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)55.657.2112.8-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)57.858.2116.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)51.456.0107.4-4.725%-
vs Similar (2)64.065.0129.0-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H29/12
NBA
112.3Avg total
56.6Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.953.0109.9+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.552.5109.9+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)56.353.6109.9+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.7112.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)57.257.2114.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (13)56.050.9106.9+5.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)57.654.7112.3+2.960%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.834.0
50.9%
51.7%68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.316.7
82.3%
76.6%16.7
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.629.5
51.2%
51.7%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.7
34.4%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.5%
76.6%16.9
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLLWWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLLW
#28
League position
#4
-0.9
Net rating
+0.0
106.0
Offensive rating
108.9
106.9
Defensive rating
108.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.5%
3-point %
34.4%
57.4%
Assist %
67.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 108.9Defence106.9 · 108.9Shooting51.1% · 51.4%3-point %34.5% · 34.4%Ball care13.7% · 13.3%Off. rebounds24.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Phoenix Suns wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder102-118
27/12/18AOrlando Magic122-120 OT
23/12/18ABrooklyn Nets103-111
23/12/18AWashington Wizards146-149 OT
20/12/18ABoston Celtics111-103
18/12/18ANew York Knicks128-110
16/12/18HMinnesota Timberwolves107-99
14/12/18HDallas Mavericks99-89
12/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs86-111
11/12/18HLos Angeles Clippers119-123 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/18HSan Antonio Spurs102-99
27/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs103-111
22/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-132
19/12/18HDallas Mavericks126-118
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayWWLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %25%29%21%
Points / game105.0102.9106.8
Allowed / game113.7109.3117.6
Point differential-8.7-6.4-10.8
Avg total218.7212.2224.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %11%12%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game109.5112.1106.8
Allowed / game104.3100.8108.1
Point differential+5.2+11.3-1.2
Avg total213.9212.9214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%41%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks35251071%116.9107.9+8.9
2 Toronto Raptors37261170%113.4107.7+5.6
3 Indiana Pacers36241267%107.3100.9+6.4
4 Denver Nuggets33221167%109.5104.3+5.2
5 Oklahoma City Thunder34221265%112.1105.7+6.4
6 Golden State Warriors36231364%115.4111.5+3.9
7 Philadelphia 76ers36231364%114.5111.6+2.9
8 Boston Celtics35211460%111.7105.6+6.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers35211460%116.0114.5+1.5
10 Houston Rockets35201557%109.8108.5+1.3
11 Portland Trail Blazers35201557%110.9110.8+0.1
12 Los Angeles Lakers36201656%113.1111.4+1.8
13 Sacramento Kings35191654%115.3116.7-1.4
14 San Antonio Spurs36191753%110.9109.1+1.8
15 Memphis Grizzlies35181751%101.8102.0-0.2
16 Miami Heat34171750%106.7105.9+0.8
17 Utah Jazz37181949%107.5105.6+1.9
18 Charlotte Hornets35171849%113.4111.4+2.0
19 Detroit Pistons33161748%107.7109.5-1.8
20 Dallas Mavericks34161847%111.0110.3+0.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves35161946%111.4111.5-0.1
22 Brooklyn Nets38172145%110.6111.8-1.2
23 Orlando Magic34151944%103.3107.0-3.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans37162143%116.0115.3+0.7
25 Washington Wizards37142338%112.6117.5-4.8
26 Atlanta Hawks35112431%109.5118.0-8.5
27 Chicago Bulls36102628%100.7109.7-9.0
28 Phoenix Suns3692725%105.0113.7-8.7
29 New York Knicks3792824%107.5115.9-8.4
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3782922%102.3111.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns16332940118
Denver Nuggets36262832122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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