PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 109-98
39-32 21-20 22-24 27-22
Position#4
Record18-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game103.7
vs
Position#10
Record17-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
no box
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-87
112
87
+25
112avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
105-98
105
98
+7
96avg 105
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-85
117
85
+32
117avg 105
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
105avg 105
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
106-103
106
103
+3
103avg 105
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
124avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
107-113
107
113
-6
94avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 105
H11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
27-31
35-18
18-27
21-19
33-22
26-27
32-19
33-23
30-19
16-24
26-32
30-26
28-24
31-21
28-14
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
211.2Avg total
109.0Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)110.0103.7213.6+6.367%
Season at home (13)113.4101.0214.4+12.477%
Season away (14)106.8106.1212.9+0.657%
Last 10 (10)109.0102.2211.2+6.880%
Last 5 (5)108.0107.8215.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)108.6102.1210.7+6.585%
vs Weaker (15)111.5103.7215.3+7.860%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
123-95
123
95
+28
no box
A22/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
109-104
109
104
+5
97avg 99
H24/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
98-105
98
105
-7
80avg 99
H25/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
100-83
100
83
+17
98avg 99
H29/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
124-109
124
109
+15
124avg 99
H01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
110-83
110
83
+27
109avg 99
A04/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 99
A06/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
112-114
112
114
-2
103avg 99
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
122-113
122
113
+9
114avg 99
H11/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
114-118
114
118
-4
102avg 99
A13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
37-28
27-33
36-16
33-31
29-26
27-23
20-24
23-33
19-30
24-16
32-26
21-28
26-19
26-15
27-21
28-26
38-20
25-30
33-33
26-17
24-23
37-19
23-24
24-26
22-36
29-31
39-19
28-34
34-36
29-17
21-27
30-22
27-24
42-29
23-38
28-25
28-32
28-32
30-29
216.2Avg total
112.6Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)111.7105.2216.9+6.465%
Season at home (13)113.8105.1218.8+8.777%
Season away (13)109.5105.4214.9+4.254%
Last 10 (10)112.6103.6216.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)114.4108.0222.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.0106.7213.7+0.347%
vs Weaker (13)113.8103.5217.3+10.477%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
108.0Avg total
57.2Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.552.5108.9+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.951.4107.2+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)57.053.4110.4+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)57.250.8108.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)55.853.2109.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.751.2106.8+4.569%-
vs Weaker (15)57.053.3110.3+3.760%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A22/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H24/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
42-63
42
63
-21
H25/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A04/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A06/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H11/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/12
NBA
108.2Avg total
54.8Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.052.4106.4+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.252.1108.3+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)52.052.7104.7-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)54.853.4108.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.255.0109.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.954.3105.2-3.429%-
vs Weaker (13)57.949.9107.8+8.062%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.330.6
49.9%
51.7%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
76.6%16.4
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.632.1
53.9%
51.7%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.8
32.7%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.815.8
69.3%
76.6%15.8
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#10
+6.6
Net rating
+8.3
108.8
Offensive rating
106.3
102.2
Defensive rating
98.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.5%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.4%
3-point %
32.7%
69.3%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 106.3Defence102.2 · 98.0Shooting50.9% · 52.2%3-point %35.4% · 32.7%Ball care12.6% · 14.5%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112
28/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-85
25/11/18AOklahoma City Thunder105-98
24/11/18HOrlando Magic112-87
22/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/18ANew Orleans Pelicans114-118
11/12/18HUtah Jazz122-113
08/12/18AChicago Bulls112-114
06/12/18ABrooklyn Nets114-112
04/12/18ADetroit Pistons110-83
01/12/18HAtlanta Hawks124-109
29/11/18HCleveland Cavaliers100-83
25/11/18HDenver Nuggets98-105
24/11/18HCharlotte Hornets109-104
22/11/18AGolden State Warriors123-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%77%57%
Points / game110.0113.4106.8
Allowed / game103.7101.0106.1
Point differential+6.3+12.4+0.6
Avg total213.6214.4212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%77%54%
Points / game111.7113.8109.5
Allowed / game105.2105.1105.4
Point differential+6.4+8.7+4.2
Avg total216.9218.8214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors3023777%115.6107.0+8.5
2 Milwaukee Bucks2819968%118.0109.0+9.0
3 Denver Nuggets2718967%110.0103.7+6.3
4 Indiana Pacers29191066%106.6101.3+5.3
5 Golden State Warriors29191066%115.6110.6+5.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2617965%111.7105.2+6.4
7 Boston Celtics28181064%111.8103.8+8.0
8 Philadelphia 76ers30191163%113.8112.0+1.8
9 Los Angeles Lakers28171161%113.0111.4+1.6
10 Los Angeles Clippers28171161%114.3113.6+0.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies28161257%102.7102.0+0.7
12 Dallas Mavericks27151256%109.4107.6+1.8
13 Sacramento Kings27151256%115.3115.5-0.2
14 Portland Trail Blazers28151354%111.0109.8+1.2
15 San Antonio Spurs29151452%110.8111.5-0.7
16 Charlotte Hornets28141450%114.3111.2+3.0
17 New Orleans Pelicans30151550%117.4115.5+1.9
18 Detroit Pistons26131350%109.0110.2-1.2
19 Utah Jazz29141548%107.4107.0+0.4
20 Houston Rockets27131448%109.0109.6-0.5
21 Minnesota Timberwolves28131546%110.5111.0-0.5
22 Orlando Magic28131546%104.3107.3-3.0
23 Miami Heat28121643%107.0108.1-1.2
24 Brooklyn Nets30121840%109.9111.3-1.5
25 Washington Wizards29111838%112.3117.2-4.9
26 New York Knicks3092130%108.9115.2-6.3
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2972224%103.3111.3-7.9
28 Atlanta Hawks2862221%107.9118.4-10.6
29 Chicago Bulls2962321%101.4112.3-10.9
30 Phoenix Suns2952417%102.1113.2-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets39212227109
Oklahoma City Thunder3220242298
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.