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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-112
26-34 30-30 32-30 20-18
Position#11
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
06 Oct 2025
TOR108
DEN112
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 104
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
108-97
108
97
+11
98avg 104
H28/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
127-109
127
109
+18
118avg 104
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
118-137
118
137
-19
110avg 104
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
90avg 104
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
105-117
105
117
-12
96avg 104
H04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
120-109
120
109
+11
114avg 104
A06/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
126-96
126
96
+30
125avg 104
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
102-124
102
124
-22
82avg 104
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
118-125
118
125
-7
110avg 104
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-18
30-27
31-23
23-18
32-20
17-27
34-25
25-25
32-31
31-18
32-33
32-27
32-39
25-31
22-32
39-35
31-29
19-18
26-36
27-29
28-29
27-36
22-28
28-24
28-23
33-23
21-26
38-37
25-23
28-22
35-23
38-28
25-35
13-31
29-30
35-28
37-32
37-22
21-39
23-32
225.5Avg total
114.3Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.3111.2225.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)114.2114.2228.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0113.5214.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)110.5113.9224.4-3.447%
vs Weaker (7)118.0106.6224.6+11.486%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
131-115
131
115
+16
127avg 114
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-111
105
111
-6
99avg 114
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-101
120
101
+19
113avg 114
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
113avg 114
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
106-149
106
149
-43
87avg 114
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
109avg 114
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
73avg 114
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
91avg 114
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
32-36
32-24
32-32
28-25
29-33
22-32
26-21
21-26
37-21
35-19
27-35
26-27
24-33
35-30
36-29
21-45
35-42
20-37
30-25
22-28
29-28
29-27
22-19
8-17
28-25
33-21
18-29
28-27
28-27
30-24
19-34
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
223.5Avg total
110.0Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.0113.5223.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)103.4108.0211.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (18)115.6114.2229.8+1.361%
vs Weaker (5)117.2117.8235.0-0.620%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H28/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A13/04
NBA
109.6Avg total
56.2Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.955.1109.1-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.556.8111.4-2.346%-
Last 30 away (17)53.553.8107.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)56.253.4109.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)56.255.2111.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.359.0108.3-9.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.854.4109.2+0.453%-
vs Weaker (7)55.953.6109.4+2.357%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
111.9Avg total
53.5Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.358.6115.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.157.3115.4+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)56.460.1116.6-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)53.558.4111.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)49.454.6104.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.858.0116.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker (5)61.459.0120.4+2.460%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.230.0
51.5%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.2
35.8%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.7
73.1%
78.1%11.7
They take 97.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.826.5
52.2%
54.8%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.612.6
34.4%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.519.2
78.4%
78.1%19.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWWLLLWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLWWLW
#11
League position
#6
+3.2
Net rating
-3.5
110.6
Offensive rating
109.2
107.4
Defensive rating
112.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
34.4%
68.8%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 109.2Defence107.4 · 112.7Shooting52.4% · 51.9%3-point %35.8% · 34.4%Ball care11.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.16 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25ASan Antonio Spurs118-125
12/04/25ADallas Mavericks102-124
09/04/25HCharlotte Hornets126-96
06/04/25ABrooklyn Nets120-109
04/04/25HDetroit Pistons105-117
03/04/25HPortland Trail Blazers103-112
02/04/25AChicago Bulls118-137
30/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers127-109
28/03/25HCharlotte Hornets108-97
26/03/25ABrooklyn Nets116-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
14/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-112
11/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder87-92
10/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder113-104 OT
08/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder106-149
06/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
03/05/25HLos Angeles Clippers120-101
02/05/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
30/04/25HLos Angeles Clippers131-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors26303220108
Denver Nuggets34303018112
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