Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Jul 2024

Tip-off: 01:30

Final 84-81

20-24 17-19 28-20 19-18

Position-

Record-

FormWLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Toronto Raptors 🏆

Denver Nuggets

Position-

Record-

FormWWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Cox Pavilion

Other2024

Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Denver Nuggets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto Raptors USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRaptors

Date

Competition

New York Knicks

101-145

101

145

-44

93avg 106

H27/03

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#13

120-135

120

135

-15

110avg 106

H31/03

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

111-128

111

128

-17

101avg 106

H02/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

85-133

133

-48

72avg 106

A04/04

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

117-111

117

111

114avg 106

A06/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#29

130-122

130

122

127avg 106

H07/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#17

123-140

123

140

-17

107avg 106

H09/04

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#22

102-106

102

106

-4

85avg 106

A10/04

NBA

Miami Heat

#18

103-125

103

125

-22

99avg 106

A13/04

NBA

Miami Heat

#18

103-118

103

118

-15

91avg 106

A14/04

NBA

33-45

26-35

21-31

21-34

27-35

28-36

38-30

27-34

25-34

33-30

21-36

32-28

19-23

23-35

18-33

25-42

21-27

37-27

32-31

27-26

42-17

21-33

36-37

31-35

35-25

29-40

27-41

32-34

27-27

27-26

26-24

22-29

22-33

28-33

25-26

28-33

24-24

22-43

25-27

32-24

235.8Avg total

109.5Scored

126.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	109.5	126.3	235.8	-16.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	112.2	122.2	234.4	-10.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	108.9	125.4	234.3	-16.5	14%
vs Similar (9)	109.1	110.9	220.0	-1.8	33%
vs Weaker	no games

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

112-105

112

105

110avg 109

A26/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

108-119

108

119

-11

102avg 109

A28/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

108-106

108

106

104avg 109

H30/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

99-106

106

-7

93avg 109

H04/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

80-106

106

-26

68avg 109

H07/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

117-90

117

+27

115avg 109

A11/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

115-107

115

107

112avg 109

A13/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

112-97

112

+15

112avg 109

H15/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

70-115

115

-45

53avg 109

A17/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

90-98

-8

79avg 109

H20/05

NBA

23-33

26-20

34-22

29-30

23-28

25-33

32-30

28-28

28-24

22-29

31-26

27-27

25-23

19-17

27-33

28-33

20-28

15-33

25-21

20-24

28-20

28-21

37-25

24-24

29-24

35-25

26-30

25-28

28-26

22-18

38-30

24-23

14-31

26-28

21-27

9-29

24-19

29-19

14-28

23-32

206.0Avg total

101.1Scored

104.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	101.1	104.9	206.0	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.8	101.4	202.2	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	103.6	103.2	206.8	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (14)	116.9	108.1	224.9	+8.8	86%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.8	29.4	57.2	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	29.9	30.2	60.1	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.2	28.4	53.5	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.5	29.0	56.5	-1.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	25.2	55.2	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	28.2	30.7	58.9	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	26.9	26.4	53.3	+0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.4	26.1	54.4	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.2	27.1	55.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	24.9	53.4	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	25.6	49.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	24.0	48.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	27.3	25.9	53.2	+1.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (14)	29.6	26.3	55.9	+3.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.9	30.7	57.7	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.9	31.6	57.5	-5.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	28.3	29.6	57.9	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	33.8	61.2	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	35.0	60.4	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	27.4	32.3	59.8	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.8	27.0	52.8	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.6	26.9	53.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	26.8	51.5	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	27.0	55.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	24.3	49.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	22.2	50.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	25.3	25.8	51.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	28.0	28.1	56.1	-0.1	50%	-

Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New York Knicks

59-80

-21

H27/03

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#13

55-71

-16

H31/03

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

58-64

-6

H02/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

42-58

-16

A04/04

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

58-54

A06/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#29

63-50

+13

H07/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#17

64-65

-1

H09/04

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#22

54-53

A10/04

NBA

Miami Heat

#18

50-66

-16

A13/04

NBA

Miami Heat

#18

46-67

-21

A14/04

NBA

117.7Avg total

54.9Scored

62.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.8	60.1	114.9	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	55.8	61.8	117.5	-6.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	53.5	58.0	111.5	-4.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.9	62.8	117.7	-7.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	60.2	115.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	55.7	63.0	118.7	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	52.7	53.4	106.1	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

49-53

-4

A26/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

48-61

-13

A28/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

50-53

-3

H30/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

44-40

H04/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

35-61

-26

H07/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

56-41

+15

A11/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

64-49

+15

A13/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

50-44

H15/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

40-59

-19

A17/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

53-38

+15

H20/05

NBA

98.8Avg total

48.9Scored

49.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.9	52.9	107.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	52.9	53.9	106.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	57.2	51.9	109.1	+5.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	49.9	98.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	46.2	98.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	52.6	51.7	104.3	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	57.6	54.4	111.9	+3.2	57%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.9	30.9	57.8	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.2	32.1	58.2	-5.9	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	27.8	29.5	57.2	-1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	31.6	58.5	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	31.0	58.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	26.3	32.2	58.5	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	28.2	28.0	56.2	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	26.9	54.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.8	26.1	55.8	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.1	27.8	53.9	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.5	27.2	55.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	28.0	55.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	25.3	26.0	51.3	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	31.2	27.9	59.1	+3.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	29.5	56.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.7	28.9	55.6	-2.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	27.8	30.2	58.0	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.7	31.9	59.6	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	31.0	60.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	27.0	30.2	57.2	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	27.7	27.8	55.4	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	25.7	52.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.5	24.8	52.2	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.9	26.7	52.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	27.8	51.5	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	27.2	48.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	25.6	25.5	51.1	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	28.1	25.9	53.9	+2.2	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.0	60.4	114.5	-6.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	52.9	61.0	113.9	-8.1	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	55.5	59.7	115.2	-4.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.6	63.5	118.1	-8.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.8	62.0	118.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	53.2	62.4	115.7	-9.2	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	55.9	55.8	111.7	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.8	52.5	107.4	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	57.2	50.8	108.1	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	52.1	54.5	106.6	-2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.2	55.0	107.2	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	55.2	103.4	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	50.9	51.5	102.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	59.3	53.7	113.0	+5.6	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 109.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.7	30.0	52.9%	49.5%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	10.4	32.9%	32.8%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	22.6	18.3	81.0%	74.8%	18.3

They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.9	27.8	52.6%	49.5%	55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.3	34.0%	32.8%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.6	82.5%	74.8%	14.6

They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.4	30.6	60.7%	49.5%	61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	41.1	16.5	40.1%	32.8%	49.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.6	75.7%	74.8%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.9	29.4	56.6%	49.5%	58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.1	32.7%	32.8%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.8	74.2%	74.8%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.4	30.3	53.7%	49.5%	60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	10.9	32.6%	32.8%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.7	76.9%	74.8%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.7	30.6	54.9%	49.5%	61.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	11.5	36.7%	32.8%	34.6
🏀 Free throws	17.9	14.0	78.4%	74.8%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.8	31.5	58.5%	49.5%	62.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.4	14.3	37.3%	32.8%	42.9
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.2	76.2%	74.8%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.1	29.1	53.8%	49.5%	58.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	10.4	33.0%	32.8%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.9	75.4%	74.8%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Toronto Raptors

LLLLWWLLLL

Denver Nuggets

LLWWWLLWLW

-16.3

Net rating

-4.1

106.6

Offensive rating

108.0

122.9

Defensive rating

112.0

51.6%

Effective FG%

52.0%

60.5%

Opp. effective FG%

53.8%

15.0%

Turnover %

13.1%

23.2%

Off. rebound %

22.1%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.21

32.9%

3-point %

34.0%

61.6%

Assist %

64.6%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Toronto Raptors ■ Denver Nuggets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Toronto Raptors wins

Denver Nuggets wins

Date	Game	Score
12/03/24	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	125-119
21/12/23	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	104-113
14/03/23	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	125-110
07/03/23	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	118-113
13/03/22	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	115-127
13/02/22	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	109-110
30/04/21	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	121-111
24/03/21	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	135-111
14/08/20	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	117-109
01/03/20	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	133-118

Toronto Raptorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/24	A	Miami Heat	103-118
13/04/24	A	Miami Heat	103-125
10/04/24	A	Brooklyn Nets	102-106
09/04/24	H	Indiana Pacers	123-140
07/04/24	H	Washington Wizards	130-122
06/04/24	A	Milwaukee Bucks	117-111
04/04/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	85-133
02/04/24	H	Los Angeles Lakers	111-128
31/03/24	H	Philadelphia 76ers	120-135
27/03/24	H	New York Knicks	101-145

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	90-98
17/05/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	70-115
15/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	112-97
13/05/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	115-107
11/05/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	117-90
07/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	80-106
04/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	99-106
30/04/24	H	Los Angeles Lakers	108-106
28/04/24	A	Los Angeles Lakers	108-119
26/04/24	A	Los Angeles Lakers	112-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2024

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Denver Nuggets

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Toronto Raptors	20	17	28	19	84
Denver Nuggets	24	19	20	18	81

← all games of the day

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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