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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 125-127 (OT)
30-29 32-25 26-29 26-31 11-13
Position#24
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game118.3
vs
Position#9
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game105.5
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
85-133
85
133
-48
72avg 105
A04/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
117-111
117
111
+6
114avg 105
A06/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-122
130
122
+8
127avg 105
H07/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
123-140
123
140
-17
107avg 105
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
102-106
102
106
-4
85avg 105
A10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
103-125
103
125
-22
99avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
103-118
103
118
-15
91avg 105
A14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
106-136
106
136
-30
94avg 105
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
115-107
115
107
+8
118avg 105
H25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
101-112
101
112
-11
96avg 105
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
23-35
18-33
25-42
21-27
37-27
32-31
27-26
42-17
21-33
36-37
31-35
35-25
29-40
27-41
32-34
27-27
27-26
26-24
22-29
22-33
28-33
25-26
28-33
24-24
22-43
25-27
32-24
32-33
17-36
30-36
27-31
30-31
32-25
21-21
32-30
18-32
26-24
28-33
29-23
229.5Avg total
108.5Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)107.3118.3225.7-11.033%
Season at home (2)110.5121.5232.0-11.050%
Season away (1)101.0112.0213.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)108.5121.0229.5-12.530%
Last 5 (5)105.6119.6225.2-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)108.3125.5233.8-17.214%
vs Similar (9)110.9109.2220.1+1.744%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
104avg 107
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
99-106
99
106
-7
93avg 107
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 107
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 107
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 107
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 107
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 107
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 107
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
80avg 107
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
22-29
31-26
27-27
25-23
19-17
27-33
28-33
20-28
15-33
25-21
20-24
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
24-31
27-27
17-27
19-17
19-27
23-21
29-22
33-39
201.8Avg total
98.2Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.5105.5201.0-10.00%
Season at home (2)95.5105.5201.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.2103.6201.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)92.6104.2196.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.0102.0189.0-15.00%
vs Similar (16)103.8104.5208.3-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)116.2107.2223.5+9.085%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.4-4.4
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A04/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H07/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/10
NBA
112.6Avg total
53.2Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.359.5113.9-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.761.0116.7-5.338%-
Last 30 away (14)52.857.9110.6-5.143%-
Last 10 (10)53.259.4112.6-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.262.8113.0-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.562.7117.1-8.229%-
vs Similar (9)54.052.2106.2+1.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
NBA
97.6Avg total
48.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.752.7107.4+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.352.9105.2-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)57.852.5110.2+5.369%-
Last 10 (10)48.549.197.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.249.496.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)52.151.9104.1+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)58.153.3111.4+4.862%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.628.7
50.7%
54.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.0
32.7%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.021.1
81.2%
77.8%21.1
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.225.8
49.4%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.813.6
81.0%
77.8%13.6
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLLLLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWWLLW
#24
League position
#9
-12.1
Net rating
-5.8
105.3
Offensive rating
104.9
117.4
Defensive rating
110.6
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.7%
3-point %
34.6%
62.3%
Assist %
64.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 104.9Defence117.4 · 110.6Shooting50.1% · 50.4%3-point %32.7% · 34.6%Ball care16.7% · 12.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 22.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AMinnesota Timberwolves101-112
25/10/24HPhiladelphia 76ers115-107
23/10/24HCleveland Cavaliers106-136
14/04/24AMiami Heat103-118
13/04/24AMiami Heat103-125
10/04/24ABrooklyn Nets102-106
09/04/24HIndiana Pacers123-140
07/04/24HWashington Wizards130-122
06/04/24AMilwaukee Bucks117-111
04/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves85-133
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
25/10/24HOklahoma City Thunder87-102
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
07/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves80-106
04/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-106
30/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers108-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game107.3110.5101.0
Allowed / game118.3121.5112.0
Point differential-11.0-11.0-11.0
Avg total225.7232.0213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game95.595.5-
Allowed / game105.5105.5-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total201.0201.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers330100%128.0107.7+20.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder330100%114.795.3+19.3
3 Boston Celtics330100%126.0109.7+16.3
4 Los Angeles Lakers330100%121.3115.3+6.0
5 Orlando Magic43175%115.5109.2+6.2
6 Golden State Warriors32167%123.7100.7+23.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers32167%111.3108.0+3.3
8 Phoenix Suns32167%115.3112.7+2.7
9 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%110.7108.7+2.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies32167%119.3121.0-1.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans32167%110.3113.0-2.7
12 Atlanta Hawks32167%116.3121.3-5.0
13 New York Knicks21150%116.0115.0+1.0
14 Dallas Mavericks21150%111.0111.5-0.5
15 San Antonio Spurs21150%109.0113.0-4.0
16 Miami Heat21150%105.5111.0-5.5
17 Houston Rockets31233%113.0109.0+4.0
18 Brooklyn Nets31233%110.7112.7-2.0
19 Charlotte Hornets31233%112.0114.7-2.7
20 Milwaukee Bucks31233%116.0119.0-3.0
21 Portland Trail Blazers31233%110.7116.0-5.3
22 Philadelphia 76ers31233%111.3117.7-6.3
23 Chicago Bulls31233%113.0119.7-6.7
24 Toronto Raptors31233%107.3118.3-11.0
25 Indiana Pacers41325%110.5117.2-6.8
26 Sacramento Kings2020%121.0124.0-3.0
27 Detroit Pistons3030%109.3117.3-8.0
28 Denver Nuggets2020%95.5105.5-10.0
29 Washington Wizards2020%109.0128.5-19.5
30 Utah Jazz2020%105.0126.5-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toronto Raptors3032262611125
Denver Nuggets2925293113127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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