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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 117-109
31-23 27-27 27-26 32-33
Position#3
Record54-20
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game106.3
vs
Position#9
Record47-28
FormWLWLL
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· The Field House
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
96avg 106
H24/07
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
110-104
110
104
+6
101avg 106
H26/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
106-117
106
117
-11
102avg 106
A28/07
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
107-92
107
92
+15
103avg 106
H02/08
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 106
A03/08
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
109-99
109
99
+10
106avg 106
A06/08
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-122
100
122
-22
90avg 106
H08/08
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
108-99
108
99
+9
106avg 106
H09/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
114-106
114
106
+8
104avg 106
A10/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
125-121
125
121
+4
116avg 106
A12/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
27-20
23-24
22-10
25-25
24-29
38-21
23-29
29-35
31-31
26-31
20-20
23-21
18-23
31-26
35-22
23-17
25-27
36-35
23-24
26-11
29-24
23-33
31-31
14-21
23-31
20-39
43-31
20-25
40-29
28-17
20-28
36-31
31-22
21-22
26-31
25-32
30-30
35-26
35-33
212.6Avg total
108.0Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.3106.3218.6+6.073%
Season at home (37)114.3106.2220.5+8.073%
Season away (37)110.4106.3216.6+4.173%
Last 10 (10)108.0104.6212.6+3.480%
Last 5 (5)111.2109.4220.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)102.9100.9203.7+2.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)116.0108.6224.6+7.383%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
89-82
89
82
+7
90avg 104
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-119
104
119
-15
89avg 104
A26/07
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-114
110
114
-4
111avg 104
H27/07
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
105-125
105
125
-20
95avg 104
H01/08
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
121-113 OT
121
113
+8
112avg 104
A03/08
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
132-126
132
126
+6
132avg 104
A05/08
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
115-125
115
125
-10
115avg 104
H07/08
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
134-132 OT
134
132
+2
122avg 104
H08/08
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
121-124
121
124
-3
120avg 104
A11/08
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
111-124
111
124
-13
109avg 104
H13/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-17
24-27
23-19
20-33
32-30
23-22
29-34
19-29
30-31
32-29
29-25
26-28
31-28
22-38
26-31
23-22
27-29
28-30
31-28
32-28
30-37
27-24
43-37
26-27
23-35
38-30
28-33
15-29
34-34
30-25
26-17
25-31
34-33
29-24
33-36
25-26
33-24
34-40
19-34
232.6Avg total
114.2Scored
118.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)110.9108.9219.8+2.063%
Season at home (39)111.2107.1218.3+4.169%
Season away (36)110.6110.9221.4-0.356%
Last 10 (10)114.2118.4232.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)122.6126.2248.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)117.1118.3235.4-1.143%
vs Similar (16)112.9113.5226.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (7)110.1108.0218.1+2.157%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H24/07
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H26/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A28/07
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/08
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/08
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A06/08
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/08
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H09/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A10/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A12/08
NBA
103.4Avg total
52.1Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.653.9110.5+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.452.9108.3+2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)57.854.7112.4+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)52.151.3103.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)54.851.2106.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)50.149.099.1+1.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)58.655.3114.0+3.357%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A26/07
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H27/07
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/08
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A03/08
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A05/08
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H07/08
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H08/08
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A11/08
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H13/08
NBA
109.7Avg total
52.7Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.957.2113.1-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.355.2111.5+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)55.559.4114.9-3.921%-
Last 10 (10)52.757.0109.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)55.460.8116.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)60.461.6122.0-1.143%-
vs Similar (16)52.356.9109.2-4.619%-
vs Weaker (7)59.753.3113.0+6.486%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.0
50.6%
52.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.014.0
36.8%
35.7%42.0
🏀 Free throws28.622.0
76.9%
77.2%22.0
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.230.7
56.6%
52.3%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.1
35.9%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws26.019.5
75.0%
77.2%19.5
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWWLWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#9
+3.3
Net rating
-4.1
103.5
Offensive rating
112.0
100.2
Defensive rating
116.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.8%
3-point %
35.9%
65.6%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 112.0Defence100.2 · 116.1Shooting52.8% · 55.6%3-point %36.8% · 35.9%Ball care17.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds18.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/08/20APhiladelphia 76ers125-121
10/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks114-106
09/08/20HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
08/08/20HBoston Celtics100-122
06/08/20AOrlando Magic109-99
03/08/20AMiami Heat107-103
02/08/20HLos Angeles Lakers107-92
28/07/20APhoenix Suns106-117
26/07/20HPortland Trail Blazers110-104
24/07/20HHouston Rockets94-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/20HLos Angeles Clippers111-124
11/08/20ALos Angeles Lakers121-124
08/08/20HUtah Jazz134-132 OT
07/08/20HPortland Trail Blazers115-125
05/08/20ASan Antonio Spurs132-126
03/08/20AOklahoma City Thunder121-113 OT
01/08/20HMiami Heat105-125
27/07/20HOrlando Magic110-114
26/07/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-119
22/07/20HWashington Wizards89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game112.3114.3110.4
Allowed / game106.3106.2106.3
Point differential+6.0+8.0+4.1
Avg total218.6220.5216.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)60% (10)89% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL63%
HomeLLLWL69%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %63%69%56%
Points / game110.9111.2110.6
Allowed / game108.9107.1110.9
Point differential+2.0+4.1-0.3
Avg total219.8218.3221.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (22)56% (9)54% (13)
Overtime %11%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76581876%118.6108.8+9.8
2 Toronto Raptors74542073%112.3106.3+6.0
3 Los Angeles Lakers74542073%113.5107.8+5.7
4 Los Angeles Clippers74502468%115.9109.5+6.4
5 Boston Celtics75492665%113.3107.6+5.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder74472764%110.5108.1+2.4
7 Denver Nuggets75472863%110.9108.9+2.0
8 Houston Rockets74462862%117.9114.1+3.8
9 Utah Jazz75462961%110.9108.6+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers75462961%109.3107.6+1.7
11 Miami Heat75453060%112.0109.1+2.9
12 Dallas Mavericks78453358%116.8112.1+4.8
13 Philadelphia 76ers75433257%110.0108.2+1.8
14 Brooklyn Nets75363948%111.3112.3-1.0
15 Phoenix Suns76364047%113.4113.0+0.3
16 Memphis Grizzlies76354146%112.3113.4-1.1
17 Portland Trail Blazers77354245%114.5115.9-1.4
18 Orlando Magic76344245%107.2108.3-1.1
19 San Antonio Spurs74334145%113.9115.2-1.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans75334244%115.8116.1-0.3
21 Sacramento Kings75324343%110.1112.1-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
24 Washington Wizards75255033%113.8118.5-4.7
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors31272732117
Denver Nuggets23272633109
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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