PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 109-110
25-31 32-25 29-27 23-27
Position#10
Record31-23
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game106.9
vs
Position#11
Record30-25
FormLLWWL
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
125-113
125
113
+12
122avg 99
H26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
105-111
105
111
-6
94avg 99
A27/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
124-120 OT
124
120
+4
110avg 99
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
106-100
106
100
+6
93avg 99
A01/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
110-106
110
106
+4
101avg 99
H02/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
127-120 OT
127
120
+7
116avg 99
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
125-114
125
114
+11
129avg 99
H05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
116-101
116
101
+15
110avg 99
A08/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
117-98
117
98
+19
111avg 99
A10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
139-120
139
120
+19
127avg 99
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-27
37-34
29-25
20-27
27-31
23-36
32-24
23-20
28-27
31-26
26-22
15-25
25-24
23-33
32-15
26-28
22-32
28-30
30-21
30-23
26-24
28-26
33-31
27-33
39-28
21-31
36-27
29-28
35-21
21-20
24-34
36-26
34-22
25-29
28-21
30-26
37-41
36-23
31-28
35-28
229.7Avg total
119.4Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)109.1106.9216.0+2.257%
Season at home (28)109.1105.7214.9+3.457%
Season away (26)109.1108.2217.2+0.958%
Last 10 (10)119.4110.3229.7+9.190%
Last 5 (5)124.8110.6235.4+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.099.0194.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)113.3109.1222.4+4.273%
vs Weaker (7)112.9107.3220.1+5.657%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
110-105
110
105
+5
110avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-118
124
118
+6
121avg 106
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
116-105
116
105
+11
116avg 106
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
136-100
136
100
+36
142avg 106
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
115-130
115
130
-15
109avg 106
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-108
104
108
-4
101avg 106
A03/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
105-113
105
113
-8
95avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-104
124
104
+20
129avg 106
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
132-115
132
115
+17
136avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
102-108
102
108
-6
95avg 106
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
35-27
28-26
13-20
29-28
25-37
42-26
28-27
26-17
24-31
36-30
30-27
33-30
32-27
38-24
33-19
28-30
23-39
27-31
37-30
30-28
31-32
18-22
25-26
29-27
23-24
30-31
23-31
39-40
37-35
31-16
17-13
40-36
43-24
28-34
21-21
32-30
28-21
19-25
23-32
227.4Avg total
116.8Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)109.5107.6217.1+2.055%
Season at home (25)111.9107.2219.1+4.760%
Season away (30)107.6107.9215.5-0.350%
Last 10 (10)116.8110.6227.4+6.260%
Last 5 (5)113.4109.6223.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)112.8111.2224.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (9)116.8105.8222.6+11.089%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A27/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A01/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H02/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A08/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A11/02
NBA
115.0Avg total
58.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.655.7111.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.953.1109.1+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)55.258.6113.8-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)58.556.5115.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)60.453.0113.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.046.094.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.556.2111.7-0.645%-
vs Weaker (7)56.955.4112.3+1.471%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A03/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A12/02
NBA
121.6Avg total
62.1Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.256.1117.3+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.659.6123.3+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)59.153.0112.1+6.175%-
Last 10 (10)62.159.5121.6+2.680%-
Last 5 (5)66.459.4125.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)59.457.0116.3+2.460%-
vs Weaker (9)65.454.8120.2+10.778%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 119.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.729.0
52.1%
53.1%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.414.8
43.0%
35.3%44.4
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
77.4%17.0
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.627.9
57.4%
53.1%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.2
38.2%
35.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws22.018.4
83.6%
77.4%18.4
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWWWWWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLLWWWW
#10
League position
#11
+8.9
Net rating
+6.2
117.1
Offensive rating
116.4
108.2
Defensive rating
110.2
56.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
43.0%
3-point %
38.2%
55.5%
Assist %
67.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 116.4Defence108.2 · 110.2Shooting56.8% · 57.3%3-point %43.0% · 38.2%Ball care13.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.0% · 25.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/22AHouston Rockets139-120
10/02/22AOklahoma City Thunder117-98
08/02/22ACharlotte Hornets116-101
05/02/22HAtlanta Hawks125-114
04/02/22HChicago Bulls127-120 OT
02/02/22HMiami Heat110-106
01/02/22AAtlanta Hawks106-100
30/01/22AMiami Heat124-120 OT
27/01/22AChicago Bulls105-111
26/01/22HCharlotte Hornets125-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22ABoston Celtics102-108
09/02/22HNew York Knicks132-115
06/02/22HBrooklyn Nets124-104
05/02/22HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
03/02/22AUtah Jazz104-108
02/02/22AMinnesota Timberwolves115-130
31/01/22AMilwaukee Bucks136-100
29/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans116-105
27/01/22ABrooklyn Nets124-118
26/01/22ADetroit Pistons110-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %57%57%58%
Points / game109.1109.1109.1
Allowed / game106.9105.7108.2
Point differential+2.2+3.4+0.9
Avg total216.0214.9217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%32%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)50% (10)43% (7)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552530
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game109.5111.9107.6
Allowed / game107.6107.2107.9
Point differential+2.0+4.7-0.3
Avg total217.1219.1215.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%32%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %4%4%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns55451082%113.3105.4+7.9
2 Golden State Warriors56411573%110.5103.0+7.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies58401869%113.6108.7+4.9
4 Miami Heat56362064%108.9104.2+4.7
5 Utah Jazz56352162%113.6107.0+6.6
6 Cleveland Cavaliers56352162%106.7102.1+4.6
7 Chicago Bulls56352162%112.4110.4+2.0
8 Milwaukee Bucks57352261%112.9109.2+3.7
9 Philadelphia 76ers55332260%107.7105.4+2.3
10 Dallas Mavericks56332359%106.5103.2+3.3
11 Toronto Raptors54312357%109.1106.9+2.2
12 Boston Celtics57322556%108.4103.7+4.7
13 Denver Nuggets55302555%109.5107.6+2.0
14 Brooklyn Nets55292653%110.9111.1-0.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves56292752%113.1111.6+1.5
16 Charlotte Hornets58292950%113.8114.6-0.8
17 Los Angeles Clippers57273047%106.4108.0-1.6
18 Atlanta Hawks55262947%112.0111.9+0.2
19 Los Angeles Lakers56263046%110.9112.5-1.6
20 Washington Wizards55253045%106.9110.2-3.3
21 New York Knicks57253244%104.7106.1-1.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers57233440%107.7112.0-4.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans56223439%105.8109.4-3.6
24 San Antonio Spurs57223539%111.8111.6+0.2
25 Sacramento Kings58223638%110.2114.8-4.6
26 Indiana Pacers57193833%108.9111.4-2.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder55173831%100.7107.5-6.8
28 Houston Rockets55154027%108.3117.3-8.9
29 Orlando Magic57134423%103.1111.1-8.1
30 Detroit Pistons56124421%102.5112.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors25322923109
Denver Nuggets31252727110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.