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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-108
27-31 27-26 29-25 23-26
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#16
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Scotiabank Saddledome
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
06 Oct 2025
TOR108
DEN112
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
14 Jul 2024
TOR84
DEN81
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
10 Jul 2017
TOR82
DEN81
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Oct 2016
TOR106
DEN108
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
18 Jul 2013
TOR95
DEN78
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
21 Oct 2008
TOR94
DEN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H22/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H24/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
78-116
78
116
-38
A26/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
87-113
87
113
-26
H28/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
88-47
88
47
+41
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H01/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
33-23
20-23
19-14
27-24
30-17
21-28
27-30
19-37
15-28
26-35
18-16
25-31
16-24
33-31
13-27
27-16
18-7
22-6
21-18
19-13
14-22
24-30
25-15
20-15
16-6
18-28
26-20
21-15
18-20
15-15
21-19
15-20
27-14
23-23
14-24
20-22
33-29
25-25
19-17
172.1Avg total
87.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.085.1172.1+1.970%
Last 5 (5)82.678.4161.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)94.297.7191.9-3.452%
vs Weaker (8)90.278.6168.9+11.688%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-115
106
115
-9
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
102-124
102
124
-22
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
84-100
84
100
-16
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
106-62
106
62
+44
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Miami Heat
#13
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#15
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
35-32
26-29
18-31
30-32
21-36
26-39
25-17
24-18
27-35
26-19
25-26
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
15-26
24-20
28-24
21-12
28-28
37-10
24-16
17-8
19-19
25-20
21-27
16-26
23-21
14-12
27-12
16-15
22-15
15-19
25-27
17-18
185.1Avg total
92.9Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.992.2185.1+0.740%
Last 5 (5)87.275.6162.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)97.1107.2204.3-10.133%
vs Similar ◀ (12)106.4106.0212.4+0.442%
vs Weaker (9)99.290.4189.7+8.867%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H22/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H24/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
34-65
34
65
-31
A26/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H28/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H01/10
NBA
84.7Avg total
44.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.946.092.9+0.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.644.392.9+4.278%-
Last 30 away (12)44.348.592.8-4.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.784.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.275.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.051.0104.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)47.648.796.3-1.062%-
vs Weaker (8)44.138.482.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
65-38
65
38
+27
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Miami Heat
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
96.1Avg total
48.9Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.149.6101.6+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.949.9100.8+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)53.449.2102.6+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)48.947.296.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.082.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.752.7104.3-1.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.250.8104.9+3.458%-
vs Weaker (9)49.744.994.6+4.867%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.328.0
48.9%
50.2%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.0
30.7%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.517.5
71.4%
77.0%17.5
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.128.9
48.9%
50.2%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
77.0%15.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWWLLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLLWLL
#7
League position
#16
-7.1
Net rating
-6.9
101.9
Offensive rating
103.0
109.0
Defensive rating
109.8
48.1%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.7%
3-point %
32.5%
44.0%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 103.0Defence109.0 · 109.8Shooting48.1% · 48.8%3-point %30.7% · 32.5%Ball care13.1% · 14.1%Off. rebounds23.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/16HGolden State Warriors97-93
16/07/16HMinnesota Timberwolves79-81
15/07/16HGolden State Warriors75-69
11/07/16ADallas Mavericks80-69
10/07/16HMinnesota Timberwolves82-80
09/07/16HSacramento Kings88-47
28/05/16HCleveland Cavaliers87-113
26/05/16ACleveland Cavaliers78-116
24/05/16HCleveland Cavaliers105-99
22/05/16HCleveland Cavaliers99-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/16APhoenix Suns81-82 OT
15/07/16HUtah Jazz80-60
12/07/16HMiami Heat81-92
10/07/16AMemphis Grizzlies106-62
09/07/16HMinnesota Timberwolves88-82
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
09/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
06/04/16HOklahoma City Thunder102-124
03/04/16HSacramento Kings106-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total190.0190.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Orleans Pelicans110100%116.0102.0+14.0
2 Memphis Grizzlies110100%102.097.0+5.0
3 Toronto Raptors110100%97.093.0+4.0
4 Milwaukee Bucks110100%93.091.0+2.0
5 Dallas Mavericks21150%98.5102.0-3.5
6 Chicago Bulls1010%91.093.0-2.0
7 Golden State Warriors1010%93.097.0-4.0
8 Orlando Magic1010%97.0102.0-5.0
9 Charlotte Hornets1010%88.095.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors27272923106
Denver Nuggets31262526108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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