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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 102-98
24-18 27-35 26-19 25-26
Position#22
Record32-47
FormLWLLL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Position#2
Record65-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game92.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
91avg 93
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
91-124
91
124
-33
76avg 93
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
104-103
104
103
+1
96avg 93
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-105
116
105
+11
111avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
88-97
88
97
-9
87avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
106avg 93
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
95-101
95
101
-6
89avg 93
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-115
106
115
-9
99avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
102-124
102
124
-22
90avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
29-18
21-22
23-31
23-38
25-18
24-31
19-37
24-35
29-10
22-28
29-30
24-31
34-15
25-31
33-28
26-31
22-21
12-25
30-28
24-28
22-22
20-22
22-25
26-20
33-27
25-21
25-37
26-31
28-25
24-21
17-24
27-23
35-32
26-29
18-31
30-32
21-36
26-39
25-17
207.4Avg total
100.2Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)102.2105.1207.3-3.041%
Season at home (39)104.2106.4210.6-2.244%
Season away (40)100.2103.9204.1-3.838%
Last 10 (10)100.2107.2207.4-7.040%
Last 5 (5)100.0108.4208.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)96.7108.1204.8-11.422%
vs Similar (16)107.3105.8213.1+1.550%
vs Weaker (5)112.2108.2220.4+4.060%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
82avg 99
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 99
A21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
111avg 99
H24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
110-104
110
104
+6
108avg 99
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
92-111
92
111
-19
72avg 99
A27/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
101-87
101
87
+14
100avg 99
A29/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
100-92
100
92
+8
95avg 99
H31/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
102-95
102
95
+7
104avg 99
H03/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 99
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-112
101
112
-11
93avg 99
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
26-19
22-28
22-14
28-7
23-29
21-31
16-24
26-21
30-26
32-16
24-25
37-23
27-28
24-33
22-20
26-24
18-24
19-35
29-28
32-18
21-27
28-23
20-19
27-26
19-13
27-16
27-37
26-18
29-28
16-20
31-29
25-20
17-17
25-16
21-33
15-20
25-32
29-35
32-25
192.6Avg total
98.1Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)103.992.8196.7+11.283%
Season at home (39)105.791.0196.7+14.7100%
Season away (39)102.294.5196.7+7.667%
Last 10 (10)98.194.5192.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)98.494.4192.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)93.296.8190.0-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)104.595.0199.6+9.588%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H06/04
NBA
105.1Avg total
53.6Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.552.9106.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.654.4108.0-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)53.351.6104.9+1.744%-
Last 10 (10)53.651.5105.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.2109.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)51.353.0104.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (16)54.252.6106.8+1.750%-
vs Weaker (5)54.853.8108.6+1.040%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A27/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A29/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H31/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H03/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/04
NBA
93.2Avg total
49.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.344.794.9+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.547.399.8+5.292%-
Last 30 away (17)48.542.691.2+5.965%-
Last 10 (10)49.443.893.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.891.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)43.046.589.5-3.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)51.444.495.8+7.085%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.227.6
46.6%
49.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
35.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
75.5%17.7
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.730.4
50.1%
49.0%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.76.7
37.9%
35.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.417.2
80.4%
75.5%17.2
They take 78.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLWLLWWLW
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWWLWWLW
#22
League position
#2
-7.2
Net rating
+3.9
103.5
Offensive rating
106.4
110.7
Defensive rating
102.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
37.9%
64.9%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 106.4Defence110.7 · 102.5Shooting48.9% · 51.6%3-point %36.3% · 37.9%Ball care14.4% · 14.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 23.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/16HOklahoma City Thunder102-124
03/04/16HSacramento Kings106-115
01/04/16ANew Orleans Pelicans95-101
31/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-105
29/03/16HDallas Mavericks88-97
27/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-105
26/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers116-105
24/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers104-103
21/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers91-124
19/03/16ACharlotte Hornets101-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/16AGolden State Warriors101-112
06/04/16AUtah Jazz88-86
03/04/16HToronto Raptors102-95
31/03/16HNew Orleans Pelicans100-92
29/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies101-87
27/03/16AOklahoma City Thunder92-111
26/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies110-104
24/03/16HMiami Heat112-88
21/03/16ACharlotte Hornets88-91
20/03/16HGolden State Warriors87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793940
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game102.2104.2100.2
Allowed / game105.1106.4103.9
Point differential-3.0-2.2-3.8
Avg total207.3210.6204.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (27)62% (16)55% (11)
Overtime %8%8%8%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game103.9105.7102.2
Allowed / game92.891.094.5
Point differential+11.2+14.7+7.6
Avg total196.7196.7196.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%51%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)100% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7970989%115.2104.4+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs78651383%103.992.8+11.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers79562371%104.298.1+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder79542568%110.3103.1+7.2
5 Toronto Raptors79532667%102.698.4+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers78502864%104.5100.4+4.2
7 Atlanta Hawks79473259%102.898.9+3.9
8 Boston Celtics79473259%105.9102.4+3.5
9 Charlotte Hornets79463358%103.2100.5+2.7
10 Miami Heat79463358%100.098.5+1.5
11 Portland Trail Blazers80433754%105.1104.4+0.8
12 Detroit Pistons80433754%102.0101.3+0.7
13 Indiana Pacers79423753%101.9100.6+1.3
14 Memphis Grizzlies79423753%99.2100.9-1.7
15 Dallas Mavericks79413852%102.6102.9-0.3
16 Utah Jazz78393950%97.795.8+1.9
17 Chicago Bulls79394049%101.2102.9-1.8
18 Houston Rockets79384148%105.8106.6-0.8
19 Washington Wizards79384148%103.7104.7-1.0
20 Orlando Magic79344543%102.1103.4-1.3
21 Denver Nuggets79324741%102.2105.1-3.0
22 Milwaukee Bucks79324741%99.0103.2-4.2
23 New York Knicks80324840%98.6101.2-2.6
24 Sacramento Kings79314839%106.8109.0-2.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans79304938%102.5105.7-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves79275234%101.8105.6-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets79215827%98.4105.6-7.1
28 Phoenix Suns79215827%100.4107.7-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers79166320%97.4106.7-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers79106913%97.2107.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets24272625102
San Antonio Spurs1835192698
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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