Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 81-92

19-19 25-20 21-27 16-26

Position-

Record-

FormLLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Denver Nuggets

Miami Heat 🏆

Position-

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League

Other2016

Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Miami Heat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Lakers

#29

116-105

116

105

+11

111avg 93

A26/03

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

90-105

105

-15

76avg 93

A27/03

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#16

88-97

-9

87avg 93

H29/03

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#17

109-105

109

105

106avg 93

A31/03

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#25

95-101

101

-6

89avg 93

A01/04

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#21

106-115

106

115

-9

99avg 93

H03/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

102-124

102

124

-22

90avg 93

H06/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

102-98

102

95avg 93

H09/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

#18

84-100

100

-16

72avg 93

H10/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

99-107

107

-8

90avg 93

A14/04

NBA

24-31

34-15

25-31

33-28

26-31

22-21

12-25

30-28

24-28

22-22

20-22

22-25

26-20

33-27

25-21

25-37

26-31

28-25

24-21

17-24

27-23

35-32

26-29

18-31

30-32

21-36

26-39

25-17

24-18

27-35

26-19

25-26

22-26

25-22

15-34

22-18

31-27

25-31

23-29

20-20

204.8Avg total

99.1Scored

105.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	99.1	105.7	204.8	-6.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	98.6	108.8	207.4	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	97.5	108.6	206.1	-11.1	30%
vs Similar (15)	106.7	106.3	212.9	+0.4	40%
vs Weaker (5)	112.2	108.2	220.4	+4.0	60%

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Charlotte Hornets

88-90

-2

80avg 91

H28/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

97-90

86avg 91

A30/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

106-73

106

+33

105avg 91

H01/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

102-96 OT

102

87avg 91

A04/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

92-96 OT

-4

83avg 91

A06/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

91-95

-4

76avg 91

H07/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

94-87 OT

81avg 91

H10/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

91-99

-8

78avg 91

A12/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

103-91

103

+12

90avg 91

H14/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

89-116

116

-27

76avg 91

A15/05

NBA

25-28

22-21

24-16

17-25

27-24

32-26

16-20

22-20

29-18

25-24

29-11

23-20

18-18

23-25

27-20

22-27

19-29

22-19

24-15

21-23

19-23

21-26

28-19

23-27

25-21

19-14

16-27

23-21

18-28

27-27

17-20

29-24

21-20

32-24

29-28

21-19

24-25

23-28

31-33

11-30

188.6Avg total

95.3Scored

93.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	95.3	93.3	188.6	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	97.6	191.2	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	105.0	106.5	211.5	-1.5	50%
vs Similar (23)	99.6	96.3	195.8	+3.3	52%
vs Weaker (5)	111.8	105.0	216.8	+6.8	80%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Denver NuggetsMiami Heat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	27.0	52.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.6	26.1	50.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.5	27.9	53.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	26.7	52.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.2	52.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	24.9	29.0	53.9	-4.1	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	25.3	24.6	49.9	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.4	30.4	54.8	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.7	23.4	50.2	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.8	24.4	52.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	22.5	48.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.4	45.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	22.5	48.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	25.5	23.0	48.4	+2.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.8	26.0	58.8	+6.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.2	26.3	54.5	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	28.3	27.5	55.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.1	25.1	53.1	+3.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.2	26.6	53.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	31.2	57.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	26.5	24.8	51.3	+1.7	80%	-
vs Similar (15)	28.6	28.3	56.9	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	30.4	23.4	53.8	+7.0	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	25.2	50.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.8	24.2	51.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	26.3	50.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.8	48.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.0	27.5	57.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	24.9	25.6	50.5	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.0	22.6	48.6	+3.4	80%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Lakers

#29

58-46

+12

A26/03

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

48-52

-4

A27/03

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#16

46-50

-4

H29/03

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#17

59-47

+12

A31/03

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#25

54-56

-2

A01/04

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#21

62-55

H03/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

51-68

-17

H06/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

51-53

-2

H09/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

#18

47-48

-1

H10/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

56-58

-2

A14/04

NBA

106.5Avg total

53.2Scored

53.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.2	53.3	106.6	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.9	53.7	106.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.5	53.0	106.5	+0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.2	53.3	106.5	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	56.4	109.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	51.4	53.8	105.2	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	53.9	52.9	106.8	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	54.8	53.8	108.6	+1.0	40%	-

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Charlotte Hornets

47-49

-2

H28/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

59-50

A30/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

54-42

+12

H01/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

41-43

-2

A04/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

41-48

-7

A06/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

40-49

-9

H07/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

44-35

H10/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

45-55

-10

A12/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

53-44

H14/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

47-53

-6

A15/05

NBA

93.9Avg total

47.1Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.1	48.7	100.8	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	54.6	48.6	103.2	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.7	48.7	98.4	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	46.8	93.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	47.2	93.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.0	50.0	106.0	+6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	50.3	48.6	98.9	+1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	58.8	48.6	107.4	+10.2	100%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	26.5	50.6	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	27.6	52.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	25.3	49.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	27.0	49.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	30.0	53.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.8	27.9	50.7	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	24.1	25.4	49.5	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.0	26.8	53.8	+0.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.4	47.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.1	22.1	49.2	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.9	45.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.4	49.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	29.0	53.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	61%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	27.8	52.4	-3.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.3	26.5	52.8	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.3	24.9	52.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	28.2	53.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	25.4	49.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.3	26.9	50.2	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	27.5	26.5	54.0	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	28.8	25.8	54.6	+3.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	25.1	49.5	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.6	24.9	50.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	25.3	48.5	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	27.5	52.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	24.0	24.8	48.9	-0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.8	25.6	51.4	+0.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.4	53.0	103.4	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	51.7	52.5	104.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.1	53.5	102.7	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	52.4	98.3	-6.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	52.4	97.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	46.1	54.8	100.9	-8.7	10%	-
vs Similar (15)	51.5	51.9	103.5	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	55.8	52.6	108.4	+3.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	48.6	97.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.7	47.0	99.7	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	50.1	94.3	-6.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	44.5	89.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	49.6	95.2	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	56.5	105.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	48.0	46.8	94.8	+1.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.4	53.4	103.8	-3.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 99.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.1	28.9	48.9%	-	57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.7	32.5%	-	26.1
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.2	74.5%	-	15.2

They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀19%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	62.8	30.6	48.7%	-	61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.3	6.0	32.8%	-	18.0
🏀 Free throws	20.4	16.1	78.9%	-	16.1

They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	60.0	29.1	48.5%	-	58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.9	37.2%	-	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.8	77.7%	-	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.5	27.8	43.8%	-	55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.3	6.7	34.7%	-	20.1
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.6	75.2%	-	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	62.5	31.1	49.8%	-	62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.3	33.8%	-	24.8
🏀 Free throws	22.8	17.5	76.8%	-	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.9	32.9	51.5%	-	65.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	6.6	36.1%	-	19.9
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.6%	-	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	58.5	29.6	50.6%	-	59.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.9	37.0%	-	29.8
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.3	78.3%	-	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	65.0	30.1	46.3%	-	60.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.1	6.3	35.1%	-	19.0
🏀 Free throws	24.8	19.3	77.8%	-	19.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jul 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Denver Nuggets

LLWLLLWLLW

Miami Heat

LWLWLLWWWL

-6.9

Net rating

+2.1

103.0

Offensive rating

100.7

109.8

Defensive rating

98.6

48.8%

Effective FG%

48.8%

50.8%

Opp. effective FG%

45.7%

14.1%

Turnover %

13.4%

25.8%

Off. rebound %

22.0%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.25

32.5%

3-point %

32.8%

65.2%

Assist %

41.0%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Denver Nuggets ■ Miami Heat

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets wins

Miami Heat wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/16	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	124-119
16/01/16	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	95-98
20/03/15	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	108-91
11/12/14	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	102-82
14/03/14	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	107-111
31/12/13	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	94-97
16/11/12	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	93-98
03/11/12	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	119-116
14/01/12	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	117-104
19/03/11	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	103-98

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/16	A	Portland Trail Blazers	99-107
10/04/16	H	Utah Jazz	84-100
09/04/16	H	San Antonio Spurs	102-98
06/04/16	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	102-124
03/04/16	H	Sacramento Kings	106-115
01/04/16	A	New Orleans Pelicans	95-101
31/03/16	A	Memphis Grizzlies	109-105
29/03/16	H	Dallas Mavericks	88-97
27/03/16	A	Los Angeles Clippers	90-105
26/03/16	A	Los Angeles Lakers	116-105

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	89-116
14/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	103-91
12/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	91-99
10/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	94-87 OT
07/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	91-95
06/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	92-96 OT
04/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	102-96 OT
01/05/16	H	Charlotte Hornets	106-73
30/04/16	A	Charlotte Hornets	97-90
28/04/16	H	Charlotte Hornets	88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2016

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Miami Heat

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Denver Nuggets	19	25	21	16	81
Miami Heat	19	20	27	26	92

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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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