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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 104-111
22-19 15-33 33-29 34-30
Position#4
Record42-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game106.9
vs
Position#9
Record34-26
FormWLLWW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game106.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
136-122
136
122
+14
142avg 107
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
107-106
107
106
+1
105avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
103-129
103
129
-26
87avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
130-135
130
135
-5
126avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
107avg 107
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
112avg 107
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
114-104
114
104
+10
109avg 107
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
121-112
121
112
+9
no box
H27/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-43
48-28
30-24
23-27
29-38
32-26
28-24
18-18
36-34
19-34
28-29
20-32
35-30
25-42
27-36
43-27
23-33
33-23
26-27
28-34
35-27
19-22
29-21
20-17
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
229.3Avg total
116.7Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)112.3106.9219.3+5.470%
Season at home (31)116.5104.3220.8+12.287%
Season away (29)107.9109.7217.6-1.852%
Last 10 (10)116.7112.6229.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)116.2103.4219.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.8111.9225.7+1.960%
vs Weaker (15)115.7109.1224.7+6.680%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
125-111
125
111
+14
119avg 103
A28/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
105-132
105
132
-27
95avg 103
A31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
128-112
128
112
+16
130avg 103
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
98-125
98
125
-27
85avg 103
H03/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
116-88
116
88
+28
111avg 103
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
125-105
125
105
+20
125avg 103
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
102avg 103
A13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
147-148 OT
147
148
-1
145avg 103
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
125-109
125
109
+16
126avg 103
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 103
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
28-28
37-35
35-26
27-45
31-29
22-35
25-23
36-34
22-26
38-27
32-25
27-31
23-32
19-28
29-34
30-24
26-22
23-25
37-17
23-24
39-24
24-27
39-30
14-25
30-22
40-34
24-34
34-35
23-31
38-27
34-36
31-25
30-33
25-20
39-31
26-33
23-23
34-27
28-22
233.8Avg total
118.8Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)110.1106.7216.8+3.457%
Season at home (30)111.7105.0216.7+6.767%
Season away (30)108.5108.4216.9+0.147%
Last 10 (10)118.8115.0233.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)123.2116.4239.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0114.0216.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)111.6112.6224.1-1.036%
vs Weaker (15)116.0100.8216.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
121.4Avg total
60.7Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.259.2118.4+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.957.6121.5+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)54.660.8115.4-6.213%-
Last 10 (10)60.760.7121.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.2113.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)61.460.1121.5+1.347%-
vs Weaker (15)57.158.3115.4-1.340%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A28/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H03/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H28/02
NBA
111.6Avg total
54.8Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.952.6107.5+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.651.7108.3+4.963%-
Last 30 away (11)51.954.2106.1-2.345%-
Last 10 (10)54.856.8111.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.0109.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.058.0120.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.354.8109.1-0.557%-
vs Weaker (15)55.050.2105.2+4.853%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.932.2
53.8%
51.7%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.8
36.9%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws22.616.9
74.8%
76.6%16.9
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.3
55.3%
51.7%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.712.9
36.1%
35.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws28.121.5
76.5%
76.6%21.5
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLLLWW
Utah Jazz
WWLLWWLWLW
#4
League position
#9
+4.2
Net rating
+3.6
112.7
Offensive rating
112.6
108.5
Defensive rating
109.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.9%
3-point %
36.1%
69.1%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 112.6Defence108.5 · 109.0Shooting54.3% · 54.8%3-point %36.9% · 36.1%Ball care13.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
12/02/19HMiami Heat103-87
09/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers110-117
07/02/19ABrooklyn Nets130-135
05/02/19ADetroit Pistons103-129
03/02/19AMinnesota Timberwolves107-106
02/02/19HHouston Rockets136-122
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers111-105
24/02/19HDallas Mavericks125-109
23/02/19AOklahoma City Thunder147-148 OT
13/02/19AGolden State Warriors108-115
09/02/19HSan Antonio Spurs125-105
07/02/19HPhoenix Suns116-88
03/02/19HHouston Rockets98-125
02/02/19HAtlanta Hawks128-112
31/01/19APortland Trail Blazers105-132
28/01/19AMinnesota Timberwolves125-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603129
Win %70%87%52%
Points / game112.3116.5107.9
Allowed / game106.9104.3109.7
Point differential+5.4+12.2-1.8
Avg total219.3220.8217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%52%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)83% (6)82% (11)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %57%67%47%
Points / game110.1111.7108.5
Allowed / game106.7105.0108.4
Point differential+3.4+6.7+0.1
Avg total216.8216.7216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks61471477%117.4107.8+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors62451773%114.2108.7+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets60421870%112.3106.9+5.4
4 Golden State Warriors62431969%118.6112.0+6.5
5 Indiana Pacers63412265%108.7103.6+5.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers62402265%115.5112.1+3.4
7 Oklahoma City Thunder61382362%115.7111.1+4.7
8 Portland Trail Blazers61382362%113.5109.9+3.6
9 Boston Celtics62372560%112.2106.8+5.4
10 Houston Rockets62372560%113.4111.2+2.2
11 Utah Jazz60342657%110.1106.7+3.4
12 San Antonio Spurs63342954%112.0111.3+0.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers63342954%113.9113.7+0.1
14 Sacramento Kings61313051%114.0115.2-1.3
15 Brooklyn Nets63323151%112.0112.5-0.5
16 Los Angeles Lakers61303149%112.4113.6-1.2
17 Detroit Pistons60293148%107.0108.1-1.1
18 Minnesota Timberwolves62293347%112.4112.4+0.0
19 Orlando Magic63293446%105.9106.6-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets61283346%111.1111.6-0.6
21 Dallas Mavericks61273444%108.7109.2-0.5
22 Miami Heat61273444%105.7106.8-1.1
23 New Orleans Pelicans63273643%115.7115.1+0.6
24 Washington Wizards61253641%114.0117.0-3.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies63243938%101.0104.1-3.1
26 Atlanta Hawks62214134%111.3118.3-7.0
27 Chicago Bulls62174527%103.8111.7-7.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers62154724%103.7113.4-9.7
29 New York Knicks62134921%105.9114.1-8.1
30 Phoenix Suns62125019%106.2116.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets22153334104
Utah Jazz19332930111
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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