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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 142-121
38-22 40-22 24-44 40-33
Position#3
Record43-20
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#23
Record28-35
FormLLLWL
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game120.4
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
95-112
95
112
-17
82avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 109
H15/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-110
130
110
+20
139avg 109
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
127-112
127
112
+15
133avg 109
A24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
119-103
119
103
+16
116avg 109
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
117-96
117
96
+21
121avg 109
H29/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
103-97
103
97
+6
94avg 109
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
124-114
124
114
+10
128avg 109
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-117 OT
107
117
-10
98avg 109
H06/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
115-109
115
109
+6
111avg 109
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
21-32
19-31
32-21
27-16
26-25
21-30
24-31
38-25
34-24
29-34
29-27
25-20
38-28
32-29
32-35
30-36
31-25
30-26
28-16
28-35
37-20
35-17
17-24
36-20
20-31
27-19
20-27
27-33
31-33
31-23
35-25
32-28
18-37
31-25
21-12
30-28
32-26
28-26
25-29
220.7Avg total
113.5Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)114.4110.4224.8+4.168%
Season at home (31)118.0108.9226.9+9.181%
Season away (32)111.0111.8222.7-0.856%
Last 10 (10)113.5107.2220.7+6.370%
Last 5 (5)113.2106.6219.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)108.5104.5213.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (18)109.6112.6222.2-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.3108.8228.1+10.590%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
107-129
107
129
-22
96avg 112
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
122-138
122
138
-16
112avg 112
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
137-140
137
140
-3
135avg 112
H16/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
107-115
107
115
-8
106avg 112
H23/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
128-109
128
109
+19
126avg 112
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
97-124
97
124
-27
82avg 112
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
107-115
107
115
-8
99avg 112
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
120-126
120
126
-6
112avg 112
A02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
127-115
127
115
+12
121avg 112
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
117-119
117
119
-2
109avg 112
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
29-29
25-30
27-36
28-34
41-36
23-38
30-30
39-36
32-48
31-36
35-20
26-34
26-22
38-29
17-30
32-18
31-21
30-35
35-35
18-26
26-29
25-34
28-35
21-29
30-24
31-27
25-35
34-30
28-28
28-32
30-36
35-41
39-34
28-26
25-14
29-33
25-30
29-30
34-26
239.9Avg total
116.9Scored
123.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)117.7120.4238.0-2.744%
Season at home (31)123.2118.0241.1+5.261%
Season away (32)112.3122.7235.0-10.328%
Last 10 (10)116.9123.0239.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)113.6119.8233.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)121.2122.2243.4-0.940%
vs Similar (5)120.2122.4242.6-2.240%
vs Weaker (5)129.0121.6250.6+7.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H06/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
NBA
113.4Avg total
58.4Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.657.3115.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.554.6114.1+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)57.660.5118.1-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)58.455.0113.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)58.258.2116.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.557.5116.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (18)57.858.1115.9-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.055.9115.9+4.160%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H16/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H23/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H07/03
NBA
121.1Avg total
59.5Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.061.8122.9-0.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)63.062.8125.8+0.229%-
Last 30 away (13)58.560.5119.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)59.561.6121.1-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)57.060.8117.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)60.563.9124.4-3.430%-
vs Similar (5)56.455.0111.4+1.440%-
vs Weaker (5)67.660.4128.0+7.240%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.633.4
57.0%
54.4%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.8
33.9%
36.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
80.8%
78.2%14.3
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.327.5
52.6%
54.4%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.5
36.5%
36.3%43.5
🏀 Free throws21.418.4
86.0%
78.2%18.4
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWLL
Utah Jazz
LWLLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#23
+6.3
Net rating
-5.9
112.8
Offensive rating
112.9
106.6
Defensive rating
118.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.9%
3-point %
36.5%
68.3%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 112.9Defence106.6 · 118.8Shooting54.8% · 53.5%3-point %33.9% · 36.5%Ball care12.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 26.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HBoston Celtics115-109
06/03/24HPhoenix Suns107-117 OT
03/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers124-114
01/03/24HMiami Heat103-97
29/02/24HSacramento Kings117-96
26/02/24AGolden State Warriors119-103
24/02/24APortland Trail Blazers127-112
23/02/24HWashington Wizards130-110
15/02/24HSacramento Kings98-102
13/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks95-112
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HChicago Bulls117-119
05/03/24HWashington Wizards127-115
02/03/24AMiami Heat120-126
01/03/24AOrlando Magic107-115
28/02/24AAtlanta Hawks97-124
26/02/24HSan Antonio Spurs128-109
23/02/24HCharlotte Hornets107-115
16/02/24HGolden State Warriors137-140
15/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers122-138
13/02/24HGolden State Warriors107-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %68%81%56%
Points / game114.4118.0111.0
Allowed / game110.4108.9111.8
Point differential+4.1+9.1-0.8
Avg total224.8226.9222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%48%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)40% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %2%3%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLLWWL61%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %44%61%28%
Points / game117.7123.2112.3
Allowed / game120.4118.0122.7
Point differential-2.7+5.2-10.3
Avg total238.0241.1235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)42% (12)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics62491379%120.9109.6+11.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder63441970%120.8113.2+7.6
3 Minnesota Timberwolves64442069%113.2106.6+6.6
4 Denver Nuggets63432068%114.4110.4+4.1
5 Los Angeles Clippers62412166%117.2112.4+4.7
6 Cleveland Cavaliers63412265%114.0109.4+4.6
7 Milwaukee Bucks62402265%120.5116.9+3.6
8 New Orleans Pelicans61372461%116.7110.8+5.9
9 New York Knicks62372560%112.8108.7+4.2
10 Sacramento Kings61362559%118.5117.9+0.6
11 Phoenix Suns63372659%117.2114.5+2.7
12 Orlando Magic64372758%110.9109.4+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks64362856%119.0118.2+0.8
14 Philadelphia 76ers63352856%116.5113.6+2.9
15 Miami Heat63352856%110.5109.9+0.6
16 Indiana Pacers62332953%123.2122.0+1.2
17 Golden State Warriors63333052%118.7117.0+1.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers63333052%117.2118.4-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls64313348%111.8113.2-1.4
20 Atlanta Hawks63293446%119.9121.5-1.7
21 Houston Rockets63283544%113.0112.8+0.2
22 Utah Jazz63283544%117.7120.4-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets64253939%111.8114.1-2.3
24 Toronto Raptors63234037%114.1118.0-3.9
25 Memphis Grizzlies64224234%106.0112.3-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers62174527%107.8116.0-8.2
27 Charlotte Hornets64164825%107.2117.3-10.1
28 San Antonio Spurs64145022%112.6120.3-7.6
29 Detroit Pistons63105316%112.3121.1-8.8
30 Washington Wizards63105316%114.5124.2-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets38402440142
Utah Jazz22224433121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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