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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 129-103
37-26 28-30 34-19 30-28
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game118.8
vs
Position#30
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game116.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 108
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
80avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
122avg 108
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
144-139 OT
144
139
+5
140avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
116-119
116
119
-3
110avg 108
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
24-31
27-27
17-27
19-17
19-27
23-21
29-22
33-39
29-30
25-32
29-26
31-26
27-40
36-32
33-27
29-26
29-33
32-31
24-27
31-28
218.3Avg total
108.2Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)115.6118.8234.4-3.240%
Season at home (2)95.5105.5201.0-10.00%
Season away (3)129.0127.7256.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)108.2110.1218.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)115.6118.8234.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.0102.0189.0-15.00%
vs Similar (15)103.8104.8208.6-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)118.9110.9229.8+8.186%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
110-118
110
118
-8
95avg 108
A08/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
95-111
95
111
-16
81avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
124-121
124
121
+3
122avg 108
H12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
110-109
110
109
+1
105avg 108
A13/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
116-123
116
123
-7
109avg 108
A14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
124-126
124
126
-2
115avg 108
H24/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
86-127
86
127
-41
66avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
102-110
102
110
-8
91avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
96-113
96
113
-17
85avg 108
H30/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
88-106
88
106
-18
82avg 108
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-41
26-27
23-29
33-21
17-34
36-31
27-22
15-24
28-38
36-29
34-29
26-25
27-38
34-22
25-25
24-24
27-33
29-30
33-32
27-28
23-29
27-32
36-32
38-33
24-32
18-24
28-38
16-33
19-27
24-22
27-33
32-28
22-34
30-27
14-29
30-23
30-19
23-28
14-30
21-29
221.5Avg total
105.1Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.2116.4215.6-17.20%
Season at home (4)98.5118.0216.5-19.50%
Season away (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)105.1116.4221.5-11.320%
Last 5 (5)99.2116.4215.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)106.6120.2226.8-13.68%
vs Similar (5)115.4118.4233.8-3.040%
vs Weaker (1)127.0115.0242.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A02/11
NBA
106.9Avg total
53.4Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.353.9108.2+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.352.9105.2-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)56.955.2112.2+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)53.453.5106.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.260.8115.0-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (15)50.952.1103.1-1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)58.155.6113.7+2.650%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A08/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A13/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H24/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H30/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H01/11
NBA
112.5Avg total
52.8Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.360.1113.4-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.258.6113.8-3.529%-
Last 30 away (13)50.862.0112.8-11.223%-
Last 10 (10)52.859.7112.5-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)48.054.8102.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)52.260.4112.7-8.229%-
vs Similar (5)54.055.6109.6-1.620%-
vs Weaker (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.229.1
50.9%
54.3%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.5
35.2%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.718.5
81.5%
77.8%18.5
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.126.7
51.2%
54.3%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.710.9
30.5%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.519.0
80.9%
77.8%19.0
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLLLWWW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#30
-1.9
Net rating
-11.2
110.7
Offensive rating
104.2
112.7
Defensive rating
115.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.2%
3-point %
30.5%
65.7%
Assist %
58.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 104.2Defence112.7 · 115.4Shooting51.6% · 49.0%3-point %35.2% · 30.5%Ball care11.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24AMinnesota Timberwolves116-119
29/10/24ABrooklyn Nets144-139 OT
28/10/24AToronto Raptors127-125 OT
26/10/24HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
25/10/24HOklahoma City Thunder87-102
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HSan Antonio Spurs88-106
30/10/24HSacramento Kings96-113
29/10/24ADallas Mavericks102-110
26/10/24HGolden State Warriors86-127
24/10/24HMemphis Grizzlies124-126
14/04/24AGolden State Warriors116-123
13/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers110-109
12/04/24HHouston Rockets124-121
10/04/24HDenver Nuggets95-111
08/04/24AGolden State Warriors110-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game115.695.5129.0
Allowed / game118.8105.5127.7
Point differential-3.2-10.0+1.3
Avg total234.4201.0256.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %40%0%67%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game99.298.5102.0
Allowed / game116.4118.0110.0
Point differential-17.2-19.5-8.0
Avg total215.6216.5212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder550100%117.298.6+18.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers770100%123.1108.4+14.7
3 Boston Celtics76186%123.7112.0+11.7
4 Golden State Warriors65183%121.0103.0+18.0
5 Phoenix Suns54180%116.0112.4+3.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers64267%118.3119.0-0.7
7 New York Knicks53260%116.0109.0+7.0
8 Miami Heat53260%108.4106.8+1.6
9 Dallas Mavericks53260%110.8109.4+1.4
10 Memphis Grizzlies74357%119.0116.3+2.7
11 Sacramento Kings63350%119.5114.7+4.8
12 Houston Rockets63350%112.3109.5+2.8
13 Orlando Magic63350%111.7109.8+1.8
14 Brooklyn Nets63350%118.3116.7+1.7
15 San Antonio Spurs63350%105.2104.7+0.5
16 Minnesota Timberwolves63350%111.3112.5-1.2
17 Chicago Bulls63350%113.2116.8-3.7
18 New Orleans Pelicans63350%108.5114.2-5.7
19 Los Angeles Clippers52340%111.6111.0+0.6
20 Denver Nuggets52340%115.6118.8-3.2
21 Washington Wizards52340%114.0122.8-8.8
22 Charlotte Hornets62433%114.3119.0-4.7
23 Indiana Pacers62433%115.8121.0-5.2
24 Atlanta Hawks62433%117.2123.5-6.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers62433%108.3116.8-8.5
26 Toronto Raptors72529%119.4125.6-6.1
27 Philadelphia 76ers51420%107.2116.4-9.2
28 Milwaukee Bucks61517%111.3118.7-7.3
29 Detroit Pistons61517%104.8113.5-8.7
30 Utah Jazz5050%99.2116.4-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37283430129
Utah Jazz26301928103
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