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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-93
26-15 31-32 29-18 43-28
Position#9
Record46-28
FormLLWLW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game117.0
vs
Position#30
Record16-58
FormWLLLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game120.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
140-127
140
127
+13
144avg 114
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
95-115
95
115
-20
80avg 114
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
131-126
131
126
+5
126avg 114
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-126
123
126
-3
124avg 114
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
114avg 114
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 114
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
109-128
109
128
-19
102avg 114
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 114
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
119-129
119
129
-10
116avg 114
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
127-117
127
117
+10
128avg 114
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
33-41
34-26
39-28
26-34
22-23
27-32
20-26
32-40
39-27
31-32
29-27
44-30
28-33
23-32
28-31
29-22
33-28
27-27
25-28
29-46
30-27
18-32
31-15
30-30
29-24
23-34
27-40
27-27
30-30
39-22
20-32
35-27
30-38
30-30
24-34
38-27
29-37
33-28
27-25
238.6Avg total
118.2Scored
120.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)120.8117.0237.8+3.862%
Season at home (36)122.8117.2240.0+5.667%
Season away (38)118.8116.8235.6+2.058%
Last 10 (10)118.2120.4238.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)115.8121.0236.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar (14)114.7116.3231.0-1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)127.9121.6249.5+6.369%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
108-114
108
114
-6
102avg 104
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
115-122
115
122
-7
112avg 104
A13/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
118-126
118
126
-8
102avg 104
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
102-128
102
128
-26
92avg 104
A16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
97-111
97
111
-14
87avg 104
H18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
128-112
128
112
+16
125avg 104
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
99-121
99
121
-22
90avg 104
H22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
82avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
103-140
103
140
-37
91avg 104
H26/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-121
110
121
-11
107avg 104
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
23-28
22-37
39-24
24-30
26-34
36-26
29-32
26-33
32-23
30-35
30-35
20-34
31-28
25-37
26-29
22-31
31-23
25-32
19-25
31-35
33-28
33-25
31-24
21-35
30-25
24-29
24-32
22-28
23-23
19-37
27-32
35-29
30-35
17-41
21-35
24-27
27-26
29-36
30-32
228.6Avg total
107.1Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)111.8120.1231.9-8.222%
Season at home (39)110.6119.2229.7-8.623%
Season away (35)113.3121.1234.3-7.820%
Last 10 (10)107.1121.5228.6-14.410%
Last 5 (5)106.2122.8229.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)111.0122.1233.2-11.119%
vs Similar (4)123.2122.8246.0+0.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/03
NBA
125.0Avg total
62.7Scored
62.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.660.1122.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)64.759.8124.5+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)60.860.4121.2+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)62.762.3125.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)61.462.6124.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (14)59.660.9120.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)66.858.2125.0+8.785%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A13/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H26/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H28/03
NBA
111.5Avg total
53.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.959.5113.4-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (20)55.058.8113.8-3.835%-
Last 30 away (10)51.661.0112.6-9.40%-
Last 10 (10)53.558.0111.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)55.258.2113.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)53.258.8112.0-5.723%-
vs Similar (4)58.564.0122.5-5.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.931.8
56.9%
54.3%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.3
37.8%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
77.8%17.7
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.725.8
53.0%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.213.7
35.9%
35.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
77.8%14.4
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLWLWLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#30
-2.2
Net rating
-13.8
117.1
Offensive rating
104.1
119.3
Defensive rating
118.0
56.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.8%
3-point %
35.9%
68.3%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 104.1Defence119.3 · 118.0Shooting56.8% · 53.3%3-point %37.8% · 35.9%Ball care13.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 20.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks127-117
25/03/25HChicago Bulls119-129
23/03/25AHouston Rockets116-111
22/03/25APortland Trail Blazers109-128
20/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers108-120
18/03/25AGolden State Warriors114-105
16/03/25HWashington Wizards123-126
15/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers131-126
13/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves95-115
11/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder140-127
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HHouston Rockets110-121
26/03/25HMemphis Grizzlies103-140
23/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers91-120
22/03/25HBoston Celtics99-121
20/03/25HWashington Wizards128-112
18/03/25HChicago Bulls97-111
16/03/25AMinnesota Timberwolves102-128
15/03/25HToronto Raptors118-126
13/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies115-122
10/03/25ABoston Celtics108-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game120.8122.8118.8
Allowed / game117.0117.2116.8
Point differential+3.8+5.6+2.0
Avg total237.8240.0235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)56% (9)70% (10)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL23%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743935
Win %22%23%20%
Points / game111.8110.6113.3
Allowed / game120.1119.2121.1
Point differential-8.2-8.6-7.8
Avg total231.9229.7234.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won26% (19)31% (13)17% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder71591283%120.1107.1+13.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers74591580%122.3112.2+10.1
3 Boston Celtics73541974%116.8107.7+9.1
4 Houston Rockets72472565%114.3109.4+4.9
5 New York Knicks72462664%116.7112.4+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets74462862%120.8117.0+3.8
7 Memphis Grizzlies73442960%122.1116.9+5.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers73442960%112.9112.2+0.7
9 Indiana Pacers73433059%117.2115.2+2.1
10 Golden State Warriors72423058%113.3111.0+2.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers73423158%112.2108.4+3.8
12 Minnesota Timberwolves74423257%113.7109.3+4.4
13 Detroit Pistons74423257%115.7113.0+2.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks71383354%114.4112.5+1.9
15 Sacramento Kings73363749%116.2115.7+0.5
16 Dallas Mavericks73363749%115.0115.1-0.0
17 Orlando Magic73353848%104.8105.9-1.1
18 Atlanta Hawks71343748%117.8119.8-1.9
19 Phoenix Suns74353947%114.4116.0-1.6
20 Chicago Bulls73334045%117.3119.7-2.4
21 Miami Heat73324144%109.4110.3-0.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers74324243%110.9114.4-3.5
23 San Antonio Spurs72314143%114.3116.3-2.0
24 Toronto Raptors74274736%110.4115.1-4.6
25 Philadelphia 76ers73235032%110.0115.7-5.6
26 Brooklyn Nets74235131%105.0111.9-6.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans74205427%110.4119.1-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets73185525%105.7113.9-8.2
29 Washington Wizards73165722%108.7121.0-12.3
30 Utah Jazz74165822%111.8120.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26312943129
Utah Jazz1532182893
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