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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 120-123
31-33 22-40 36-22 31-28
Position#9
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game115.1
vs
Position#17
Record8-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game109.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
144-139 OT
144
139
+5
140avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
116-119
116
119
-3
110avg 108
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
126avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-119
121
119
+2
118avg 108
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
124-122
124
122
+2
126avg 108
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
135-122
135
122
+13
143avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
122-120
122
120
+2
122avg 108
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 108
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 108
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
122-110
122
110
+12
115avg 108
A20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-40
36-32
33-27
29-26
29-33
32-31
24-27
31-28
37-26
28-30
34-19
30-28
34-37
25-27
29-29
33-26
30-32
25-34
40-29
29-27
40-27
31-33
33-30
31-32
35-29
25-34
37-31
25-26
22-32
32-27
18-19
22-23
25-28
18-27
21-29
26-21
31-24
37-33
24-21
30-32
235.7Avg total
119.7Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)116.5115.1231.6+1.562%
Season at home (7)117.4113.9231.3+3.671%
Season away (6)115.5116.5232.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)119.7116.0235.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)112.6111.6224.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5112.0217.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)106.3107.9214.2-1.650%
vs Weaker (14)118.4111.1229.5+7.279%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#15
W
108-85
108
85
+23
106avg 106
H04/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
127-134
127
134
-7
120avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
119-99
119
99
+20
117avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
120-122
120
122
-2
116avg 106
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
117-120
117
120
-3
112avg 106
A13/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
113-115
113
115
-2
101avg 106
A15/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
110-93
110
93
+17
105avg 106
H17/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
115avg 106
A18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-91
132
91
+41
126avg 106
H20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
35-18
23-21
20-24
29-36
30-27
36-33
32-38
32-24
24-21
32-23
31-31
26-36
24-27
33-24
30-27
29-35
34-25
31-37
26-25
27-33
36-26
26-37
28-24
28-27
36-34
21-38
28-16
23-28
32-23
38-18
17-24
39-34
27-24
31-34
24-27
44-29
19-22
34-18
35-22
227.2Avg total
118.0Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)115.6109.3224.9+6.353%
Season at home (9)115.7103.9219.6+11.867%
Season away (6)115.5117.3232.8-1.833%
Last 10 (10)118.0109.2227.2+8.850%
Last 5 (5)118.6107.6226.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)106.2105.2211.4+0.954%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.8108.4222.2+5.457%
vs Weaker (3)118.3102.7221.0+15.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A20/11
NBA
121.5Avg total
59.9Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.155.6110.7-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.454.9108.2-1.538%-
Last 30 away (14)57.156.4113.4+0.743%-
Last 10 (10)59.961.6121.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)59.258.8118.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.062.0115.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.652.2104.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)57.958.0115.9-0.136%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#15
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H04/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H09/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A13/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A15/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H17/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/11
NBA
115.5Avg total
60.4Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.754.0109.7+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.950.4104.3+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)57.858.0115.8-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)60.455.1115.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)62.256.0118.2+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)53.654.5108.1-0.854%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.054.0111.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)58.751.7110.3+7.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.430.3
53.7%
54.3%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.913.0
39.5%
35.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws26.220.1
76.7%
77.8%20.1
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.432.8
60.3%
54.3%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.4
34.1%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws23.318.2
78.1%
77.8%18.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWWLW
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLLLWLW
#9
League position
#17
+3.6
Net rating
+8.8
115.5
Offensive rating
117.8
111.9
Defensive rating
109.0
55.8%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.5%
3-point %
34.1%
70.9%
Assist %
57.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 117.8Defence111.9 · 109.0Shooting55.8% · 56.8%3-point %39.5% · 34.1%Ball care13.2% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies122-110
17/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies90-105
16/11/24ANew Orleans Pelicans94-101
11/11/24HDallas Mavericks122-120
09/11/24HMiami Heat135-122
07/11/24HOklahoma City Thunder124-122
05/11/24HToronto Raptors121-119
03/11/24HUtah Jazz129-103
02/11/24AMinnesota Timberwolves116-119
29/10/24ABrooklyn Nets144-139 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/24HNew Orleans Pelicans132-91
18/11/24AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
17/11/24HSan Antonio Spurs110-93
15/11/24AUtah Jazz113-115
13/11/24AGolden State Warriors117-120
11/11/24ADenver Nuggets120-122
09/11/24HPhoenix Suns113-114
07/11/24HChicago Bulls119-99
05/11/24HIndiana Pacers127-134
04/11/24HOrlando Magic108-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game116.5117.4115.5
Allowed / game115.1113.9116.5
Point differential+1.5+3.6-1.0
Avg total231.6231.3232.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %15%0%33%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game115.6115.7115.5
Allowed / game109.3103.9117.3
Point differential+6.3+11.8-1.8
Avg total224.9219.6232.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers1716194%123.5111.2+12.3
2 Boston Celtics1613381%120.7110.8+9.9
3 Golden State Warriors1512380%119.1109.1+10.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder1612475%114.2103.6+10.6
5 Houston Rockets1712571%114.7105.1+9.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers1510567%117.3116.2+1.1
7 Denver Nuggets138562%116.5115.1+1.5
8 New York Knicks159660%118.3111.9+6.4
9 Orlando Magic1710759%106.8103.2+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies169756%118.9112.6+6.4
11 Los Angeles Clippers169756%108.9108.1+0.8
12 Phoenix Suns169756%112.1114.5-2.4
13 Dallas Mavericks158753%115.6109.3+6.3
14 Sacramento Kings158753%116.9113.7+3.1
15 Minnesota Timberwolves158753%113.3111.0+2.3
16 San Antonio Spurs168850%110.1110.1+0.0
17 Miami Heat136746%110.9110.1+0.8
18 Milwaukee Bucks167944%112.4112.5-0.1
19 Detroit Pistons1771041%110.4111.6-1.2
20 Atlanta Hawks1771041%115.4120.5-5.2
21 Chicago Bulls1771041%116.6122.8-6.2
22 Charlotte Hornets156940%110.1114.5-4.5
23 Brooklyn Nets1661038%110.8114.6-3.8
24 Indiana Pacers1661038%114.4119.1-4.6
25 Portland Trail Blazers1661038%105.6114.0-8.4
26 Toronto Raptors1641225%113.2118.6-5.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans1741324%103.8115.2-11.4
28 Philadelphia 76ers1531220%104.5111.7-7.2
29 Utah Jazz1531220%108.7119.3-10.7
30 Washington Wizards1421214%108.9123.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31223631120
Dallas Mavericks33402228123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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