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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 119-115
33-31 24-26 33-28 29-30
Position#9
Record10-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#11
Record12-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game109.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
W
135-122
135
122
+13
143avg 109
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
122-120
122
120
+2
122avg 109
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 109
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
122-110
122
110
+12
115avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
120-123
120
123
-3
114avg 109
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
127-102
127
102
+25
136avg 109
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-145
118
145
-27
102avg 109
H26/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 109
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
122-126
122
126
-4
123avg 109
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-27
31-33
33-30
31-32
35-29
25-34
37-31
25-26
22-32
32-27
18-19
22-23
25-28
18-27
21-29
26-21
31-24
37-33
24-21
30-32
31-33
22-40
36-22
31-28
31-27
26-36
37-15
33-24
24-36
29-40
34-37
31-32
34-35
29-18
37-23
22-27
23-32
36-27
31-33
32-34
232.9Avg total
117.2Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)118.0116.4234.4+1.656%
Season at home (9)117.8118.3236.1-0.656%
Season away (9)118.2114.4232.7+3.856%
Last 10 (10)117.2115.7232.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)121.8119.8241.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5112.0217.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)109.4111.8221.1-2.441%
vs Weaker (11)116.4111.1227.5+5.382%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-116
127
116
+11
127avg 113
A11/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
120-117
120
117
+3
113avg 113
H13/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
123-118
123
118
+5
120avg 113
H16/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
99-102
99
102
-3
92avg 113
A19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
120-97
120
97
+23
118avg 113
H21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
112-108
112
108
+4
109avg 113
A23/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 113
A24/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
120-128
120
128
-8
114avg 113
H26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
101-105
101
105
-4
90avg 113
H28/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
105-113
105
113
-8
96avg 113
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
39-25
42-21
20-37
33-27
26-36
37-26
24-28
29-28
26-20
38-30
30-40
22-27
23-29
27-19
27-27
41-22
26-20
23-33
30-22
34-30
28-33
25-21
25-24
29-17
21-21
31-33
13-33
30-34
37-24
25-29
28-41
23-39
27-23
33-22
18-21
29-35
20-31
29-19
27-28
222.9Avg total
112.1Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)116.2109.8225.9+6.463%
Season at home (8)114.5109.0223.5+5.562%
Season away (11)117.4110.4227.7+7.064%
Last 10 (10)112.1110.8222.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)106.4111.6218.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.8117.2233.0-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)114.9114.0228.9+0.950%
vs Weaker (16)112.599.3211.8+13.281%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.9-5.9
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#20
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H26/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
119.9Avg total
58.1Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.057.5111.6-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.657.4110.1-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)55.657.6113.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)58.161.8119.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)57.064.8121.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.062.0115.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.555.9109.4-2.441%-
vs Weaker (11)55.159.3114.4-4.218%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H13/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H16/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A23/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A24/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H28/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A01/12
NBA
112.3Avg total
56.9Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.051.7107.7+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.050.4106.4+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)56.052.9108.9+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)56.955.4112.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)55.657.4113.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.060.8112.8-8.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)57.254.7111.9+2.550%-
vs Weaker (16)56.247.6103.8+8.781%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.831.9
57.2%
54.3%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.7
39.8%
35.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
77.8%15.3
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.025.1
50.2%
54.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.115.9
36.9%
35.9%47.7
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
77.8%14.2
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLLWW
Golden State Warriors
LLLLWWLWWW
#9
League position
#11
+1.5
Net rating
+1.3
116.0
Offensive rating
109.2
114.5
Defensive rating
108.0
58.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.8%
3-point %
36.9%
69.5%
Assist %
73.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 109.2Defence114.5 · 108.0Shooting58.1% · 52.6%3-point %39.8% · 36.9%Ball care13.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds23.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers122-126
28/11/24AUtah Jazz122-103
26/11/24HNew York Knicks118-145
24/11/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-102
23/11/24HDallas Mavericks120-123
20/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies122-110
17/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies90-105
16/11/24ANew Orleans Pelicans94-101
11/11/24HDallas Mavericks122-120
09/11/24HMiami Heat135-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24APhoenix Suns105-113
28/11/24HOklahoma City Thunder101-105
26/11/24HBrooklyn Nets120-128
24/11/24ASan Antonio Spurs94-104
23/11/24ANew Orleans Pelicans112-108
21/11/24HAtlanta Hawks120-97
19/11/24ALos Angeles Clippers99-102
16/11/24HMemphis Grizzlies123-118
13/11/24HDallas Mavericks120-117
11/11/24AOklahoma City Thunder127-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game118.0117.8118.2
Allowed / game116.4118.3114.4
Point differential+1.6-0.6+3.8
Avg total234.4236.1232.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL63%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %63%62%64%
Points / game116.2114.5117.4
Allowed / game109.8109.0110.4
Point differential+6.4+5.5+7.0
Avg total225.9223.5227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers2219386%121.8111.3+10.5
2 Boston Celtics2117481%120.0109.8+10.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2116576%114.9104.1+10.8
4 Houston Rockets2115671%114.6106.3+8.2
5 Orlando Magic2315865%108.0103.1+4.9
6 Memphis Grizzlies2214864%121.4113.3+8.1
7 Dallas Mavericks2214864%118.0111.6+6.4
8 Golden State Warriors1912763%116.2109.8+6.4
9 New York Knicks2113862%118.0111.2+6.8
10 Phoenix Suns2012860%112.7112.8-0.1
11 Los Angeles Clippers2213959%109.3107.0+2.3
12 Los Angeles Lakers2112957%112.3114.9-2.5
13 Denver Nuggets1810856%118.0116.4+1.6
14 Milwaukee Bucks2011955%114.0112.2+1.9
15 San Antonio Spurs21111052%110.2110.4-0.2
16 Minnesota Timberwolves20101050%111.0108.8+2.2
17 Atlanta Hawks22111150%116.5119.0-2.5
18 Miami Heat1991047%110.1109.8+0.3
19 Sacramento Kings2191243%114.2114.0+0.2
20 Brooklyn Nets2291341%110.5114.7-4.3
21 Chicago Bulls2291341%118.9123.2-4.3
22 Indiana Pacers2291341%114.5119.1-4.6
23 Detroit Pistons2391439%109.7112.4-2.7
24 Portland Trail Blazers2181338%107.2114.7-7.5
25 Toronto Raptors2271532%113.2116.5-3.3
26 Charlotte Hornets2161529%107.3112.0-4.7
27 Philadelphia 76ers1951426%105.4111.7-6.3
28 Utah Jazz2141719%108.2118.6-10.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans2241818%103.3116.0-12.7
30 Washington Wizards1921711%107.0122.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33243329119
Golden State Warriors31262830115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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