PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-107
23-27 23-21 29-33 22-26
Position#30
Record10-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game123.6
vs
Position#6
Record29-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game121.4
Allowed / game117.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-99
119
99
+20
115avg 99
H03/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
115-141
115
141
-26
102avg 99
H04/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-112
120
112
+8
115avg 99
H07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
110-131
110
131
-21
108avg 99
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
107-128
107
128
-21
93avg 99
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
93-112
93
112
-19
86avg 99
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
105-119
105
119
-14
95avg 99
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
115-128
115
128
-13
101avg 99
A17/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
115-121
115
121
-6
98avg 99
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
106-110
106
110
-4
101avg 99
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-24
27-26
32-23
23-26
28-38
30-35
21-35
36-33
30-29
32-21
39-37
19-25
30-37
26-25
24-30
30-39
26-28
24-32
34-40
23-28
28-32
22-33
17-31
26-16
22-37
29-33
38-26
16-23
22-41
39-26
23-34
31-27
29-36
34-26
23-21
29-38
26-26
27-28
28-25
25-31
230.6Avg total
110.5Scored
120.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)112.5123.6236.1-11.024%
Season at home (20)115.3124.8240.1-9.530%
Season away (22)110.0122.5232.5-12.518%
Last 10 (10)110.5120.1230.6-9.620%
Last 5 (5)106.8118.0224.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)113.2122.8236.0-9.628%
vs Similar (5)106.8112.8219.6-6.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 113
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 113
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 113
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
87-110
87
110
-23
84avg 113
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
97avg 113
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 113
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
118avg 113
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 113
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
107-115
107
115
-8
94avg 113
H21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
28-30
22-28
25-16
12-36
27-23
35-29
23-22
23-30
32-31
28-34
29-27
33-24
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
36-29
26-34
21-23
38-29
18-33
16-27
23-27
30-23
37-28
34-29
17-29
19-29
224.4Avg total
110.4Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)121.4117.0238.4+4.466%
Season at home (20)120.1116.3236.4+3.860%
Season away (24)122.5117.5240.0+4.971%
Last 10 (10)110.4114.0224.4-3.660%
Last 5 (5)111.0113.0224.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)115.3119.0234.3-3.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)124.4118.6243.0+5.867%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H03/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H04/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A17/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H19/01
NBA
118.1Avg total
56.8Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.662.1119.8-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.061.3120.3-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)56.362.9119.2-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)56.861.3118.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)55.663.6119.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)57.662.9120.6-5.332%-
vs Similar (5)57.658.2115.8-0.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H21/01
NBA
114.6Avg total
57.0Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.357.1117.4+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.256.8117.0+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)60.357.4117.6+2.941%-
Last 10 (10)57.057.6114.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.2116.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)56.858.0114.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)63.756.2119.9+7.560%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.429.9
54.0%
54.8%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.0
32.9%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.7
80.8%
78.1%17.7
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.6
52.3%
54.8%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.214.1
39.0%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
78.1%18.9
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWWL
#30
League position
#6
-9.3
Net rating
-3.7
106.9
Offensive rating
113.3
116.1
Defensive rating
117.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
10.3%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
17.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.9%
3-point %
39.0%
58.7%
Assist %
64.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 113.3Defence116.1 · 117.0Shooting52.3% · 55.0%3-point %32.9% · 39.0%Ball care16.1% · 10.3%Off. rebounds26.3% · 17.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers106-110
18/01/26ADenver Nuggets115-121
17/01/26ASacramento Kings115-128
15/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers105-119
12/01/26APhoenix Suns93-112
10/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans107-128
08/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers110-131
07/01/26HOrlando Magic120-112
04/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves115-141
03/01/26HBrooklyn Nets119-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-115
19/01/26HCharlotte Hornets87-110
18/01/26HWashington Wizards121-115
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109
14/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
12/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-104
10/01/26HAtlanta Hawks87-110
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game112.5115.3110.0
Allowed / game123.6124.8122.5
Point differential-11.0-9.4-12.5
Avg total236.1240.1232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL66%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442024
Win %66%60%71%
Points / game121.4120.1122.5
Allowed / game117.0116.3117.5
Point differential+4.4+3.8+4.9
Avg total238.4236.4240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4336784%121.3108.2+13.1
2 Detroit Pistons42321076%117.2109.9+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs42281467%117.5112.6+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets44291566%121.4117.0+4.4
5 Houston Rockets41261563%117.0110.5+6.4
6 Los Angeles Lakers41261563%116.2116.1+0.1
7 Boston Celtics43271663%116.8109.8+6.9
8 Phoenix Suns43271663%115.3111.2+4.1
9 Minnesota Timberwolves44271761%120.1115.0+5.1
10 Toronto Raptors45271860%114.6112.4+2.3
11 New York Knicks42241857%117.6113.9+3.7
12 Golden State Warriors45252056%116.9114.0+2.9
13 Cleveland Cavaliers45252056%119.1117.1+1.9
14 Orlando Magic40221855%116.0114.9+1.1
15 Philadelphia 76ers42231955%116.5115.4+1.2
16 Miami Heat43232053%119.8118.3+1.5
17 Portland Trail Blazers44222250%116.2118.2-1.9
18 Chicago Bulls43212249%117.9120.0-2.1
19 Atlanta Hawks46212546%117.6119.1-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers43192444%112.3113.8-1.4
21 Memphis Grizzlies42182443%115.3116.2-1.0
22 Milwaukee Bucks43182542%112.2115.8-3.6
23 Dallas Mavericks44182641%114.2116.6-2.4
24 Charlotte Hornets44162836%115.8115.9-0.2
25 Utah Jazz44152934%119.3127.4-8.1
26 Brooklyn Nets42123029%107.9114.5-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings45123327%110.7120.7-10.0
28 Washington Wizards42103224%112.5123.6-11.0
29 Indiana Pacers45103522%109.9118.3-8.4
30 New Orleans Pelicans46103622%114.7122.0-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards2323292297
Denver Nuggets27213326107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.