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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 109-100
33-20 28-31 21-24 27-25
Position#9
Record18-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game101.8
vs
Position#28
Record10-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game117.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
88avg 103
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 103
H04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
129-92
129
92
+37
135avg 103
A06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-108
95
108
-13
77avg 103
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
102-105
102
105
-3
89avg 103
A08/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 103
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
114-99
114
99
+15
108avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
108avg 103
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
111-105
111
105
+6
103avg 103
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-104
113
104
+9
115avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
30-23
18-27
15-23
24-28
25-32
27-24
20-21
33-27
34-18
31-30
31-17
26-33
19-20
19-32
31-23
21-25
33-28
23-29
25-23
27-26
23-29
26-28
16-14
33-26
29-27
27-25
25-21
27-20
25-29
30-19
28-34
33-22
34-29
20-33
24-21
27-32
18-28
39-16
29-28
207.6Avg total
105.9Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)106.8101.8208.6+5.069%
Season at home (15)108.2102.0210.2+6.280%
Season away (11)104.8101.5206.4+3.355%
Last 10 (10)105.9101.7207.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)108.0101.4209.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.7101.7197.3-6.033%
vs Similar (22)107.0102.1209.2+4.968%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)115.6104.8220.4+10.880%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
125-113
125
113
+12
118avg 103
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 103
A28/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
107-115
107
115
-8
101avg 103
H01/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
114-121
114
121
-7
103avg 103
A05/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
127-139 OT
127
139
-12
113avg 103
A07/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
125-142
125
142
-17
117avg 103
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
109-125
109
125
-16
95avg 103
A10/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
100avg 103
H12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
117-124
117
124
-7
102avg 103
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
99-107
99
107
-8
78avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-30
16-34
39-26
32-23
22-24
35-23
24-31
32-23
21-25
26-23
32-38
28-29
25-30
31-23
28-27
30-41
27-30
31-23
39-41
25-28
31-39
34-34
38-37
22-32
31-33
33-28
21-33
24-31
23-25
36-34
24-38
33-30
29-33
29-32
23-37
36-22
25-32
25-31
22-24
27-20
236.6Avg total
115.2Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)114.1117.7231.8-3.538%
Season at home (13)109.8116.5226.2-6.723%
Season away (13)118.5118.8237.3-0.454%
Last 10 (10)115.2121.4236.6-6.220%
Last 5 (5)113.2125.0238.2-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)109.1118.8227.8-9.712%
vs Similar (12)118.3115.1233.4+3.267%
vs Weaker (1)125.0119.0244.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A08/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H19/12
NBA
106.7Avg total
54.8Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.551.8105.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.351.9105.2+1.459%-
Last 30 away (13)53.751.6105.3+2.138%-
Last 10 (10)54.851.9106.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.253.6108.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (22)52.952.2105.1+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)60.251.4111.6+8.860%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A28/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A05/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A07/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A10/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H19/12
NBA
115.4Avg total
56.8Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.659.2116.8-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.160.3116.4-4.212%-
Last 30 away (14)59.457.9117.4+1.564%-
Last 10 (10)56.858.6115.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)59.264.2123.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)55.058.7113.7-3.729%-
vs Similar (12)61.259.8120.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (1)60.061.0121.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.728.9
51.0%
52.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
77.2%13.9
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.926.6
51.3%
52.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.0
35.4%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws28.923.0
79.6%
77.2%23.0
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLLLWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLLLLLWW
#9
League position
#28
+4.3
Net rating
-6.0
107.2
Offensive rating
111.0
103.0
Defensive rating
116.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.0%
3-point %
35.4%
66.7%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 111.0Defence103.0 · 116.9Shooting52.0% · 52.0%3-point %36.0% · 35.4%Ball care13.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/19HOrlando Magic113-104
16/12/19HNew York Knicks111-105
15/12/19HOklahoma City Thunder110-102
13/12/19HPortland Trail Blazers114-99
11/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers92-97
08/12/19ABrooklyn Nets102-105
07/12/19ABoston Celtics95-108
06/12/19ANew York Knicks129-92
04/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers96-105
30/11/19ASacramento Kings97-100 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans99-107
14/12/19HLos Angeles Clippers117-124
12/12/19HUtah Jazz116-127
10/12/19APhoenix Suns109-125
09/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers125-142
07/12/19AOklahoma City Thunder127-139 OT
05/12/19ADallas Mavericks114-121
01/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies107-115
28/11/19ASan Antonio Spurs113-101
26/11/19AAtlanta Hawks125-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %69%80%55%
Points / game106.8108.2104.8
Allowed / game101.8102.0101.5
Point differential+5.0+6.2+3.3
Avg total208.6210.2206.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %12%7%18%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayWLLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%23%54%
Points / game114.1109.8118.5
Allowed / game117.7116.5118.8
Point differential-3.5-6.7-0.4
Avg total231.8226.2237.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%8%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %15%15%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks2925486%120.7107.9+12.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers2924583%112.6104.1+8.4
3 Boston Celtics2619773%110.9103.6+7.3
4 Miami Heat2921872%112.7107.4+5.2
5 Toronto Raptors2820871%112.0105.9+6.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers3021970%115.2108.2+7.0
7 Denver Nuggets2618869%106.8101.8+5.0
8 Indiana Pacers2920969%109.4104.2+5.2
9 Dallas Mavericks2819968%117.6108.8+8.8
10 Houston Rockets2819968%119.8114.4+5.4
11 Philadelphia 76ers30201067%108.8104.6+4.1
12 Utah Jazz28171161%107.2106.2+1.0
13 Brooklyn Nets28151354%111.5111.7-0.2
14 Oklahoma City Thunder28141450%108.9107.8+1.1
15 Orlando Magic28121643%103.5104.8-1.3
16 Portland Trail Blazers28121643%112.6114.0-1.5
17 Sacramento Kings28121643%104.8107.5-2.7
18 Charlotte Hornets31131842%104.5110.5-6.0
19 San Antonio Spurs27111641%112.0115.0-3.0
20 Phoenix Suns28111739%114.5114.8-0.3
21 Minnesota Timberwolves26101638%114.1117.7-3.5
22 Detroit Pistons29111838%108.4109.9-1.5
23 Chicago Bulls30111937%105.6107.4-1.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies29101934%110.5116.3-5.8
25 Washington Wizards2781930%117.7121.8-4.1
26 Cleveland Cavaliers2982128%103.9113.4-9.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans2972224%112.2118.9-6.7
28 New York Knicks2972224%103.1112.1-9.0
29 Atlanta Hawks2962321%108.4118.4-10.0
30 Golden State Warriors2952417%104.6114.0-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33282127109
Minnesota Timberwolves20312425100
← all games of the day
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