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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-109
31-24 30-34 34-28 20-23
Position#17
Record18-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#25
Record15-23
FormLLLWW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game116.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
84-111
84
111
-27
64avg 97
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
100-97
100
97
+3
101avg 97
A15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
102-96
102
96
+6
95avg 97
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
101-99
101
99
+2
91avg 97
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
94-87
94
87
+7
86avg 97
H23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
115-91
115
91
+24
109avg 97
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
104-106
104
106
-2
98avg 97
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
118-94
118
94
+24
115avg 97
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
104-113
104
113
-9
93avg 97
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
117-92
117
92
+25
117avg 97
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-40
18-20
20-32
31-19
29-28
22-21
20-24
29-24
33-28
24-23
28-22
17-23
21-33
32-25
29-18
19-23
21-8
16-30
35-20
22-29
28-17
25-27
37-27
25-20
31-23
27-21
21-37
25-25
29-30
27-22
26-17
36-25
19-30
35-25
23-31
27-27
22-23
36-20
35-30
24-19
202.5Avg total
103.9Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)106.9105.7212.7+1.250%
Season at home (19)105.1105.7210.8-0.642%
Season away (17)109.0105.7214.7+3.359%
Last 10 (10)103.998.6202.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)111.699.2210.8+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.0104.7204.7-4.750%
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.4106.1211.5-0.744%
vs Weaker (6)114.0103.0217.0+11.067%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
118-125
118
125
-7
105avg 102
A15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
128-110
128
110
+18
121avg 102
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
110-118
110
118
-8
99avg 102
A19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
118-136
118
136
-18
110avg 102
A20/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
149-146 OT
149
146
+3
147avg 102
H23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
89-105
89
105
-16
79avg 102
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
95-106
95
106
-11
78avg 102
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
92-101
92
101
-9
80avg 102
H29/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
130-126
130
126
+4
128avg 102
H30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
114-98
114
98
+16
109avg 102
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
28-43
26-31
33-24
33-23
38-28
28-25
29-34
24-35
30-23
28-24
28-36
28-34
30-36
32-31
28-35
33-29
22-26
28-24
26-30
25-27
21-26
18-31
25-21
28-27
27-27
17-31
23-21
22-20
20-20
30-34
20-27
27-29
40-32
27-31
36-34
35-29
29-24
24-31
26-14
231.4Avg total
114.3Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)112.7116.9229.6-4.339%
Season at home (18)117.6114.4232.0+3.261%
Season away (20)108.2119.2227.4-11.020%
Last 10 (10)114.3117.1231.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)104.0107.2211.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)110.2122.2232.5-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.1113.4227.6+0.756%
vs Weaker (6)113.2110.0223.2+3.267%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A03/01
NBA
100.4Avg total
51.0Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.352.8107.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.351.9105.2+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)55.353.8109.1+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)51.049.4100.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.847.6103.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.053.0101.0-5.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.852.3107.1+2.667%-
vs Weaker (6)59.054.3113.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A20/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H03/01
NBA
113.6Avg total
57.1Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.658.7114.3-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.755.1112.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)53.562.3115.8-8.913%-
Last 10 (10)57.156.5113.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)54.852.2107.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)53.161.6114.8-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.359.2116.6-1.938%-
vs Weaker (6)54.353.3107.7+1.050%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.327.0
49.7%
51.7%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.8
36.4%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.414.5
67.8%
76.6%14.5
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.332.0
55.8%
51.7%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.1
33.6%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.0
78.7%
76.6%17.0
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWLWWWWWL
Washington Wizards
WWLLLWLLWL
#17
League position
#25
+5.5
Net rating
-2.7
108.3
Offensive rating
108.6
102.8
Defensive rating
111.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
33.6%
62.9%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 108.6Defence102.8 · 111.2Shooting51.6% · 53.9%3-point %36.4% · 33.6%Ball care13.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds28.1% · 19.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19ACleveland Cavaliers117-92
30/12/18HMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
29/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers118-94
27/12/18HToronto Raptors104-106
23/12/18AOrlando Magic115-91
23/12/18HMilwaukee Bucks94-87
21/12/18HHouston Rockets101-99
17/12/18ANew Orleans Pelicans102-96
15/12/18AMemphis Grizzlies100-97
13/12/18AUtah Jazz84-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19HAtlanta Hawks114-98
30/12/18HCharlotte Hornets130-126
29/12/18HChicago Bulls92-101
27/12/18ADetroit Pistons95-106
23/12/18AIndiana Pacers89-105
23/12/18HPhoenix Suns149-146 OT
20/12/18AHouston Rockets118-136
19/12/18AAtlanta Hawks110-118
16/12/18HLos Angeles Lakers128-110
15/12/18ABrooklyn Nets118-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWLWL42%
AwayLWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %50%42%59%
Points / game106.9105.1109.0
Allowed / game105.7105.7105.7
Point differential+1.2-0.6+3.3
Avg total212.7210.8214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %39%61%20%
Points / game112.7117.6108.2
Allowed / game116.9114.4119.2
Point differential-4.3+3.2-11.1
Avg total229.6232.0227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %11%17%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks36261072%117.0107.6+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors40281270%113.0107.9+5.0
3 Denver Nuggets36251169%110.2105.1+5.2
4 Indiana Pacers37251268%107.5101.1+6.5
5 Oklahoma City Thunder37241365%111.9105.4+6.5
6 Golden State Warriors39251464%116.3111.9+4.4
7 Philadelphia 76ers39251464%114.6112.5+2.1
8 Boston Celtics37221559%111.7105.9+5.8
9 Houston Rockets37221559%110.5109.0+1.5
10 Portland Trail Blazers38221658%111.3110.4+0.9
11 Los Angeles Clippers37211657%115.8114.8+0.9
12 San Antonio Spurs39221756%111.8109.2+2.7
13 Los Angeles Lakers38211755%113.0111.3+1.7
14 Miami Heat36181850%106.9105.7+1.2
15 Sacramento Kings38191950%115.0116.7-1.7
16 Utah Jazz39192049%107.9105.7+2.3
17 Charlotte Hornets37181949%112.9111.4+1.6
18 Dallas Mavericks37181949%110.9109.7+1.2
19 Memphis Grizzlies37181949%101.5102.3-0.7
20 Detroit Pistons36171947%107.2109.4-2.2
21 Brooklyn Nets39182146%111.0112.0-1.0
22 Orlando Magic37172046%103.6106.8-3.2
23 Minnesota Timberwolves38172145%111.2111.7-0.4
24 New Orleans Pelicans39172244%116.3115.5+0.7
25 Washington Wizards38152339%112.7116.9-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks37112630%109.1117.8-8.7
27 Chicago Bulls38102826%100.0109.4-9.4
28 New York Knicks3892924%107.6115.9-8.3
29 Phoenix Suns3993023%106.0114.8-8.8
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3983121%101.7111.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat31303420115
Washington Wizards24342823109
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