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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 99-104
32-18 19-24 19-34 29-28
Position#17
Record36-37
FormWWWLW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#14
Record36-38
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
126-110
126
110
+16
129avg 97
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
104-125
104
125
-21
90avg 97
H10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
108-74
108
74
+34
104avg 97
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-113
98
113
-15
81avg 97
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
89avg 97
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
116-107
116
107
+9
no box
A19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
110-105
110
105
+5
no box
A21/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
87-116
87
116
-29
70avg 97
A23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
109avg 97
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
14-25
18-15
30-26
28-29
29-28
37-26
32-27
27-32
27-36
25-23
25-34
30-18
24-31
33-8
21-17
37-19
25-23
18-37
18-34
19-20
20-19
22-21
32-15
27-25
31-30
28-20
30-32
24-22
38-25
28-31
20-27
32-33
19-30
18-31
18-22
25-27
27-26
26-26
35-29
206.3Avg total
104.6Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)105.8105.9211.7-0.149%
Season at home (37)105.9106.0211.9-0.146%
Season away (36)105.7105.8211.4-0.153%
Last 10 (10)104.6101.7206.3+2.970%
Last 5 (5)103.8102.2206.0+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)107.1118.1225.3-11.014%
vs Similar ◀ (16)103.0100.2203.2+2.856%
vs Weaker (7)110.4106.6217.0+3.971%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
93-107
93
107
-14
no box
A03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
106-114
106
114
-8
no box
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
111-106
111
106
+5
107avg 97
H09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
97-105
97
105
-8
90avg 97
A10/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 97
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
120-91
120
91
+29
118avg 97
H14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
101-91
101
91
+10
94avg 97
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-96
119
96
+23
no box
H20/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
123-119 OT
123
119
+4
116avg 97
H22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
119-98
119
98
+21
116avg 97
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
24-23
24-15
21-40
34-39
30-31
18-24
24-20
29-19
33-28
30-26
19-33
17-26
31-23
24-26
25-30
28-29
25-32
21-15
16-24
36-20
25-21
27-22
32-28
28-25
28-21
19-22
26-23
39-25
29-21
30-21
21-29
23-33
35-31
23-31
29-15
31-31
26-29
32-17
30-21
210.6Avg total
107.9Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)106.3106.2212.5+0.149%
Season at home (39)108.2106.7214.9+1.559%
Season away (35)104.2105.6209.8-1.437%
Last 10 (10)107.9102.7210.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)116.499.0215.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.099.6204.6+5.460%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.8106.2218.1+5.656%
vs Weaker (7)110.3102.6212.9+7.757%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A21/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A23/03
NBA
104.8Avg total
53.2Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.053.9108.8+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.253.9109.1+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)54.853.9108.6+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)53.251.6104.8+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)52.451.4103.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.955.9115.7+4.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.952.3105.2+0.644%-
vs Weaker (7)54.955.4110.3-0.614%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A10/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
68-46
68
46
+22
H20/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H25/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.5Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.953.2111.2+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.851.8109.6+6.162%-
Last 30 away (14)58.154.9113.0+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)57.553.6111.1+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)60.051.4111.4+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.652.4108.0+3.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.854.7113.4+4.144%-
vs Weaker (7)57.450.1107.6+7.386%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.028.6
49.3%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.9
36.2%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.914.1
67.5%
76.6%14.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.328.0
48.9%
51.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.0
36.1%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.515.5
79.5%
76.6%15.5
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWWLWLWW
Orlando Magic
WWWWWLLWLL
#17
League position
#14
+2.4
Net rating
+5.0
106.6
Offensive rating
108.3
104.3
Defensive rating
103.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
11.8%
Turnover %
11.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.2%
3-point %
36.1%
62.5%
Assist %
64.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 108.3Defence104.3 · 103.2Shooting51.0% · 50.8%3-point %36.2% · 36.1%Ball care11.8% · 11.4%Off. rebounds25.4% · 23.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
23/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks87-116
21/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs110-105
19/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder116-107
17/03/19HCharlotte Hornets93-75
16/03/19HMilwaukee Bucks98-113
13/03/19HDetroit Pistons108-74
10/03/19HToronto Raptors104-125
09/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers126-110
07/03/19ACharlotte Hornets91-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers119-98
22/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies123-119 OT
20/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans119-96
17/03/19HAtlanta Hawks101-91
14/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers120-91
13/03/19AWashington Wizards90-100
10/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies97-105
09/03/19HDallas Mavericks111-106
06/03/19APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
03/03/19ACleveland Cavaliers93-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW49%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %49%46%53%
Points / game105.8105.9105.7
Allowed / game105.9106.0105.8
Point differential-0.1-0.1-0.1
Avg total211.7211.9211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%19%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)55% (11)42% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW49%
HomeWWWWW59%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743935
Win %49%59%37%
Points / game106.3108.2104.2
Allowed / game106.2106.7105.6
Point differential+0.1+1.5-1.4
Avg total212.5214.9209.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%26%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)58% (12)33% (9)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks74551974%117.5108.1+9.4
2 Toronto Raptors74512369%114.1108.8+5.3
3 Golden State Warriors73502368%117.3111.7+5.6
4 Denver Nuggets72492368%111.7107.1+4.6
5 Houston Rockets74472764%113.1109.7+3.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers74472764%115.1112.1+3.0
7 Portland Trail Blazers73462763%114.6110.9+3.7
8 Indiana Pacers74452961%107.9103.9+3.9
9 Utah Jazz74443059%110.9106.0+4.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers74443059%114.7113.6+1.2
11 Boston Celtics75443159%112.6108.0+4.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder74433158%114.3111.1+3.2
13 San Antonio Spurs75433257%111.8110.3+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons73373651%107.7108.0-0.3
15 Brooklyn Nets75383751%112.1112.4-0.3
16 Miami Heat73363749%105.8105.9-0.1
17 Sacramento Kings73363749%114.0114.6-0.6
18 Orlando Magic74363849%106.3106.2+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets74353947%110.9111.7-0.8
20 Minnesota Timberwolves73334045%112.4113.4-0.9
21 Los Angeles Lakers73324144%111.7113.8-2.2
22 New Orleans Pelicans75314441%115.4116.1-0.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies74304441%102.8105.2-2.4
24 Washington Wizards74304441%114.3116.9-2.7
25 Dallas Mavericks73294440%108.4109.9-1.5
26 Atlanta Hawks74264835%112.6118.6-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls74215328%105.3113.2-7.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers75195625%104.4113.5-9.1
29 Phoenix Suns75175823%106.7116.1-9.4
30 New York Knicks74146019%105.2114.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3219192999
Orlando Magic18243428104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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