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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 108-113
27-25 26-27 26-26 29-35
Position#22
Record33-44
FormLWLLL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game116.5
vs
Position#17
Record38-40
FormLWWWL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
132-123
132
123
+9
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
111-112
111
112
-1
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
130-135 OT
130
135
-5
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
121-115
121
115
+6
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
135-128
135
128
+7
H16/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-116
95
116
-21
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
120-126 OT
120
126
-6
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-43
36-22
30-31
33-27
22-32
30-19
31-31
28-30
39-28
32-32
28-35
22-26
28-20
31-40
31-21
31-34
29-28
32-25
15-21
24-16
26-40
27-26
25-29
32-21
35-37
34-34
36-32
30-25
24-31
21-26
26-34
24-25
28-35
32-25
21-25
32-28
30-33
23-28
32-24
23-28
233.6Avg total
116.2Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)114.3116.5230.8-2.243%
Season at home (39)117.2114.5231.7+2.759%
Season away (38)111.3118.6229.9-7.326%
Last 10 (10)116.2117.4233.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)113.6119.8233.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)114.3122.7237.0-8.59%
vs Similar ◀ (14)117.6115.4232.9+2.257%
vs Weaker (5)117.4114.6232.0+2.860%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
114-113
114
113
+1
H05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
126-110
126
110
+16
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-113
98
113
-15
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
116-107
116
107
+9
A19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
110-105
110
105
+5
A21/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
87-116
87
116
-29
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
29-30
24-24
29-28
29-18
14-25
18-15
30-26
28-29
29-28
37-26
32-27
27-32
27-36
25-23
25-34
30-18
24-31
33-8
21-17
37-19
25-23
18-37
18-34
19-20
20-19
22-21
32-15
27-25
31-30
28-20
30-32
24-22
38-25
28-31
20-27
32-33
19-30
18-31
18-22
206.9Avg total
104.7Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)106.2106.4212.6-0.249%
Season at home (40)106.7106.3213.0+0.450%
Season away (38)105.7106.5212.2-0.747%
Last 10 (10)104.7102.2206.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)100.8103.2204.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)108.5120.0228.5-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (17)101.6100.1201.6+1.547%
vs Weaker (7)110.4106.6217.0+3.971%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H21/03
NBA
119.6Avg total
59.2Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.459.7118.1-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.859.9116.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (13)60.559.4119.9+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)59.260.4119.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)56.063.0119.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)55.562.9118.4-7.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)60.057.8117.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (5)60.457.8118.2+2.640%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A21/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A23/03
NBA
106.5Avg total
54.1Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.9108.4+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.253.9109.1+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)53.953.9107.8+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)54.152.4106.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.449.2103.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.556.8118.3+4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)51.952.2104.1-0.241%-
vs Weaker (7)54.955.4110.3-0.614%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.330.9
55.9%
51.7%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.6
35.7%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.721.1
82.1%
76.6%21.1
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.728.9
49.2%
51.7%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.6
37.2%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.414.5
67.8%
76.6%14.5
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWLWWLLW
Miami Heat
LWWWLWLWWW
#22
League position
#17
+1.6
Net rating
+1.9
114.8
Offensive rating
106.3
113.2
Defensive rating
104.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.5%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
37.2%
62.1%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 106.3Defence113.2 · 104.4Shooting55.0% · 51.4%3-point %35.7% · 37.2%Ball care13.0% · 12.5%Off. rebounds22.7% · 24.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Washington Wizards wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/19HDenver Nuggets108-113
21/03/19AChicago Bulls120-126 OT
18/03/19HUtah Jazz95-116
16/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies135-128
15/03/19HCharlotte Hornets110-116
13/03/19HOrlando Magic100-90
11/03/19HSacramento Kings121-115
10/03/19AMinnesota Timberwolves130-135 OT
09/03/19ACharlotte Hornets111-112
07/03/19HDallas Mavericks132-123
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks87-116
21/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs110-105
19/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder116-107
17/03/19HCharlotte Hornets93-75
16/03/19HMilwaukee Bucks98-113
13/03/19HDetroit Pistons108-74
10/03/19HToronto Raptors104-125
09/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers126-110
07/03/19ACharlotte Hornets91-84
05/03/19HAtlanta Hawks114-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLWLL59%
AwayWLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %43%59%26%
Points / game114.3117.2111.3
Allowed / game116.5114.5118.6
Point differential-2.2+2.7-7.3
Avg total230.8231.7229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)40% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %10%13%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL49%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %49%50%47%
Points / game106.2106.7105.7
Allowed / game106.4106.3106.5
Point differential-0.2+0.4-0.7
Avg total212.6213.0212.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)58% (12)33% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks77572074%117.8108.1+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors77542370%114.2108.5+5.7
3 Denver Nuggets75522369%111.9106.7+5.2
4 Golden State Warriors76502666%117.2111.6+5.7
5 Philadelphia 76ers75492665%115.3111.9+3.4
6 Houston Rockets77492864%113.2109.8+3.5
7 Portland Trail Blazers76472962%114.0110.2+3.8
8 Los Angeles Clippers76463061%114.6112.9+1.6
9 Utah Jazz75453060%111.0106.2+4.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder77463160%114.2110.6+3.6
11 Indiana Pacers77463160%107.4104.1+3.3
12 San Antonio Spurs78453358%111.5109.8+1.7
13 Boston Celtics77443357%112.2107.9+4.3
14 Detroit Pistons76393751%107.4107.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets78403851%111.2111.8-0.6
16 Miami Heat78384049%106.2106.4-0.2
17 Charlotte Hornets77374048%110.8111.4-0.6
18 Sacramento Kings76364047%113.6115.2-1.6
19 Orlando Magic77364147%105.6105.9-0.3
20 Los Angeles Lakers78344444%111.8113.9-2.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves77334443%112.2114.2-2.0
22 Washington Wizards77334443%114.3116.5-2.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies77314640%102.9105.7-2.7
24 New Orleans Pelicans79314839%115.5116.7-1.2
25 Dallas Mavericks75294639%108.5110.5-2.0
26 Atlanta Hawks78275135%112.4118.3-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls78235529%105.4112.7-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers77215627%104.5113.1-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns77185923%106.6115.8-9.3
30 New York Knicks78176122%105.3113.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards27262629108
Miami Heat25272635113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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