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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 119-109
37-30 24-25 26-31 32-23
Position#22
Record10-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#6
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game109.3
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
125-122 OT
125
122
+3
109avg 103
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
88-96
88
96
-8
71avg 103
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
112-102
112
102
+10
102avg 103
A13/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
105-109
105
109
-4
94avg 103
H15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
103-91
103
91
+12
89avg 103
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
125-104
125
104
+21
128avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
99-121
99
121
-22
78avg 103
A21/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-122
117
122
-5
108avg 103
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
121-101
121
101
+20
114avg 103
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
110-106
110
106
+4
107avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
32-24
23-27
30-28
22-25
27-19
20-22
19-30
26-26
25-17
29-30
32-29
27-30
18-18
34-27
26-34
21-30
29-23
25-19
28-19
32-28
27-26
28-28
38-22
24-36
21-28
26-26
28-31
34-37
24-31
27-27
32-27
23-26
25-21
37-30
36-24
25-30
36-17
21-37
28-22
217.9Avg total
110.5Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)110.2111.8222.0-1.648%
Season at home (10)110.2112.4222.6-2.240%
Season away (11)110.3111.3221.5-1.055%
Last 10 (10)110.5107.4217.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)114.4110.8225.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)113.3115.6228.9-2.343%
vs Similar (17)116.3113.2229.5+3.165%
vs Weaker (6)105.3110.5215.8-5.233%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 108
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 108
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 108
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 108
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 108
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
113avg 108
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 108
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-112 OT
120
112
+8
113avg 108
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-113
117
113
+4
117avg 108
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
106avg 108
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
28-30
30-31
15-16
25-21
38-31
32-27
22-36
25-19
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
222.0Avg total
115.9Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)116.9109.3226.2+7.662%
Season at home (11)117.3109.7227.0+7.555%
Season away (10)116.5108.8225.3+7.770%
Last 10 (10)115.9106.1222.0+9.880%
Last 5 (5)119.0106.8225.8+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)106.3106.2212.6+0.144%
vs Similar (14)115.6109.1224.7+6.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)119.4109.7229.1+9.771%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A13/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A21/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H28/01
NBA
105.2Avg total
52.6Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.455.6112.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.957.6114.5-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)55.953.9109.9+2.056%-
Last 10 (10)52.652.6105.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.256.0110.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)59.057.6116.6+1.443%-
vs Similar (17)57.454.9112.2+2.565%-
vs Weaker (6)50.755.5106.2-4.817%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
113.7Avg total
61.5Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.056.1114.1+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.355.6114.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)56.856.6113.4+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)61.552.2113.7+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)61.054.4115.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.458.6110.0-7.111%-
vs Similar (14)60.455.1115.5+5.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)61.755.0116.7+6.771%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.832.2
51.3%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.9
32.5%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.816.4
78.8%
77.7%16.4
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.2
53.3%
52.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.4
37.1%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.915.3
81.0%
77.7%15.3
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWLLWWLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWLWW
#22
League position
#6
+3.0
Net rating
+9.7
108.2
Offensive rating
114.6
105.2
Defensive rating
104.9
50.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
9.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.5%
3-point %
37.1%
55.6%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 114.6Defence105.2 · 104.9Shooting50.4% · 54.2%3-point %32.5% · 37.1%Ball care9.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds21.3% · 28.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/21HBoston Celtics110-106
25/01/21HWashington Wizards121-101
23/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-122
21/01/21AGolden State Warriors99-121
18/01/21APortland Trail Blazers125-104
16/01/21HHouston Rockets103-91
15/01/21HHouston Rockets105-109
13/01/21AOklahoma City Thunder112-102
11/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves88-96
10/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves125-122 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82
26/01/21ADallas Mavericks117-113
24/01/21APhoenix Suns120-112 OT
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%40%55%
Points / game110.2110.2110.3
Allowed / game111.8112.4111.3
Point differential-1.6-2.2-1.0
Avg total222.0222.6221.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%55%70%
Points / game116.9117.3116.5
Allowed / game109.3109.7108.8
Point differential+7.6+7.5+7.7
Avg total226.2227.0225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %19%18%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2117481%113.8104.7+9.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers2418675%112.5104.2+8.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers2216673%113.3109.0+4.3
4 Brooklyn Nets2315865%120.6114.9+5.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers2315865%111.6107.3+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets2113862%116.9109.3+7.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
8 Golden State Warriors22121055%112.0113.6-1.6
9 Boston Celtics1910953%110.6110.0+0.6
10 Milwaukee Bucks21111052%118.5113.4+5.1
11 Houston Rockets21111052%110.9108.2+2.7
12 Atlanta Hawks23121152%113.1111.3+1.8
13 Indiana Pacers22111150%112.2110.9+1.3
14 New York Knicks24121250%101.3100.5+0.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers23111248%103.4108.4-5.0
16 Dallas Mavericks21101148%111.2110.8+0.4
17 San Antonio Spurs21101148%110.2111.8-1.6
18 Chicago Bulls21101148%114.1115.8-1.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers21101148%112.9116.3-3.4
20 New Orleans Pelicans1991047%111.5111.0+0.5
21 Sacramento Kings22101245%113.1119.5-6.4
22 Phoenix Suns2191243%109.2108.9+0.4
23 Oklahoma City Thunder2191243%107.5114.0-6.5
24 Orlando Magic24101442%106.4111.9-5.5
25 Toronto Raptors2291341%110.8110.4+0.4
26 Charlotte Hornets2391439%108.5110.3-1.8
27 Miami Heat2071335%106.0111.6-5.6
28 Detroit Pistons2371630%106.6108.7-2.1
29 Minnesota Timberwolves2151624%107.5117.4-9.9
30 Washington Wizards1841422%112.2117.4-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs37242632119
Denver Nuggets30253123109
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