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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 91-89
30-26 20-16 16-32 25-15
Position#12
Record25-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#27
Record16-33
FormLLWLL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game104.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
98-106
98
106
-8
93avg 103
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
105avg 103
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
97-110
97
110
-13
81avg 103
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 103
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
80-112
80
112
-32
66avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
105-102
105
102
+3
97avg 103
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
94avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 103
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
14-17
30-33
27-27
28-37
29-27
24-29
33-31
21-29
25-25
32-28
19-28
16-26
27-21
24-13
20-18
16-32
28-24
25-26
11-30
30-27
31-21
25-21
19-33
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
208.7Avg total
101.9Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)106.5105.8212.3+0.652%
Season at home (24)109.7103.0212.8+6.775%
Season away (24)103.2108.6211.8-5.429%
Last 10 (10)101.9106.8208.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)108.6107.6216.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0102.5207.5+2.550%
vs Similar (17)104.8105.7210.5-0.941%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)106.7104.2210.9+2.564%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
124-127
124
127
-3
117avg 91
H06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
96-100
96
100
-4
79avg 91
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-99
114
99
+15
110avg 91
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
115-111
115
111
+4
106avg 91
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
83avg 91
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 91
A17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
108-117
108
117
-9
94avg 91
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
98-75
98
75
+23
90avg 91
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
92avg 91
H25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
93-107
93
107
-14
74avg 91
H27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
25-23
35-23
36-47
25-33
27-23
19-19
25-25
25-19
18-29
39-27
32-24
20-28
39-24
24-25
32-34
20-31
32-15
21-24
22-25
27-30
21-31
21-25
33-19
20-33
25-29
34-29
29-26
22-22
31-15
18-17
27-21
28-38
17-13
22-34
30-19
25-17
19-35
24-23
25-32
210.0Avg total
104.8Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)102.2104.2206.4-2.033%
Season at home (27)102.7101.8204.6+0.937%
Season away (22)101.6107.1208.7-5.527%
Last 10 (10)104.8105.2210.0-0.430%
Last 5 (5)99.6101.6201.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)103.5104.2207.7-0.841%
vs Similar (12)106.7103.1209.8+3.642%
vs Weaker (1)91.097.0188.0-6.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
105.3Avg total
51.9Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.554.0107.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.153.7107.9+0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)52.954.3107.2-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)51.953.4105.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)57.653.4111.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.052.5107.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (17)53.053.5106.5-0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)54.055.2109.2-1.236%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H27/01
NBA
101.6Avg total
49.4Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.450.5103.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.748.9101.6+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)54.152.4106.5+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)49.452.2101.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)47.052.699.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)53.451.9105.3+1.553%-
vs Similar (12)53.648.8102.3+4.858%-
vs Weaker (1)50.049.099.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.828.0
50.2%
51.0%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
36.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
76.5%17.4
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.027.6
50.2%
51.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.8
35.0%
36.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.2
77.8%
76.5%17.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWLWLLL
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLLLWWLL
#12
League position
#27
-5.0
Net rating
-0.4
103.8
Offensive rating
107.0
108.7
Defensive rating
107.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
9.6%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
15.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
35.0%
63.5%
Assist %
57.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 107.0Defence108.7 · 107.4Shooting50.1% · 51.0%3-point %33.3% · 35.0%Ball care16.0% · 9.6%Off. rebounds26.5% · 15.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109
17/01/18HDallas Mavericks105-102
14/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs80-112
13/01/18HMemphis Grizzlies87-78
11/01/18HAtlanta Hawks97-110
09/01/18AGolden State Warriors114-124
07/01/18ASacramento Kings98-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers93-107
25/01/18HHouston Rockets97-104
23/01/18HWashington Wizards98-75
21/01/18APortland Trail Blazers108-117
17/01/18ADenver Nuggets102-105
13/01/18HLos Angeles Lakers101-107 OT
11/01/18ACharlotte Hornets115-111
10/01/18HOrlando Magic114-99
08/01/18HNew York Knicks96-100
06/01/18HChicago Bulls124-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %52%75%29%
Points / game106.5109.7103.2
Allowed / game105.8103.0108.6
Point differential+0.6+6.7-5.4
Avg total212.3212.8211.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLWLL37%
AwayWWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492722
Win %33%37%27%
Points / game102.2102.7101.6
Allowed / game104.2101.8107.1
Point differential-2.0+0.9-5.5
Avg total206.4204.6208.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%26%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (17)12% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors50401080%116.0107.2+8.7
2 Houston Rockets47341372%114.1106.5+7.6
3 Boston Celtics50351570%102.998.5+4.4
4 Toronto Raptors47321568%110.9103.7+7.2
5 San Antonio Spurs51321963%100.697.4+3.2
6 Minnesota Timberwolves51312061%109.1106.1+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers47281960%109.7109.6+0.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder49292059%106.0101.8+4.2
9 Miami Heat49282157%100.6101.3-0.8
10 New Orleans Pelicans48272156%111.1110.6+0.4
11 Washington Wizards49272255%107.1105.6+1.6
12 Portland Trail Blazers49272255%104.6103.1+1.5
13 Indiana Pacers50272354%106.6105.5+1.0
14 Philadelphia 76ers45242153%108.1106.3+1.7
15 Milwaukee Bucks47252253%105.0105.8-0.7
16 Denver Nuggets48252352%106.5105.8+0.6
17 Los Angeles Clippers48242450%107.8107.4+0.3
18 Detroit Pistons47222547%102.3102.5-0.2
19 New York Knicks50222844%105.0106.2-1.1
20 Utah Jazz49212843%101.4102.2-0.8
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%105.6105.5+0.0
22 Los Angeles Lakers48192940%106.6109.7-3.1
23 Brooklyn Nets49183137%105.4108.8-3.3
24 Chicago Bulls49183137%103.6108.9-5.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies48173135%99.4102.3-3.0
26 Phoenix Suns49173235%104.9112.1-7.1
27 Dallas Mavericks49163333%102.2104.2-2.0
28 Sacramento Kings48153331%97.8106.4-8.6
29 Orlando Magic48143429%105.2110.4-5.1
30 Atlanta Hawks49143529%103.5108.2-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3020162591
Dallas Mavericks2616321589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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