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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-102
30-27 31-21 25-21 19-33
Position#12
Record25-23
FormLLLWL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#25
Record19-31
FormLLWWL
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#6
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
A28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H31/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
134-111
134
111
+23
H04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
98-106
98
106
-8
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
97-110
97
110
-13
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
80-112
80
112
-32
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
22-14
26-25
31-24
23-35
35-36
24-17
32-26
29-31
32-27
19-25
22-24
34-26
27-41
37-18
36-26
23-26
23-23
38-16
15-26
27-29
14-17
30-33
27-27
28-37
29-27
24-29
33-31
21-29
25-25
32-28
19-28
16-26
27-21
24-13
20-18
16-32
28-24
25-26
11-30
209.3Avg total
104.3Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)106.2105.7211.8+0.552%
Season at home (21)108.6101.9210.5+6.771%
Season away (27)104.3108.6212.9-4.337%
Last 10 (10)104.3105.0209.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)95.2106.0201.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)101.7110.0211.7-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)106.1107.8213.9-1.837%
vs Weaker (8)106.099.2205.2+6.875%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H27/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
128-120
128
120
+8
A30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
116-113
116
113
+3
A01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
122-125
122
125
-3
H04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
124-127
124
127
-3
H06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
96-100
96
100
-4
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-99
114
99
+15
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
115-111
115
111
+4
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
26-30
28-24
13-16
22-29
31-25
18-20
27-20
36-21
41-39
32-41
19-19
35-32
22-31
27-22
32-28
26-35
35-32
28-24
33-34
28-34
25-23
35-23
36-47
25-33
27-23
19-19
25-25
25-19
18-29
39-27
32-24
20-28
39-24
24-25
32-34
20-31
32-15
21-24
22-25
220.1Avg total
111.2Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)102.5103.7206.2-1.238%
Season at home (27)104.0101.3205.3+2.844%
Season away (23)100.8106.6207.3-5.830%
Last 10 (10)111.2108.9220.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)110.0108.8218.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)100.8102.0202.8-1.242%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.8102.6208.4+3.250%
vs Weaker (2)107.5112.0219.5-4.50%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H31/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A14/01
NBA
105.3Avg total
50.7Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.255.2107.4-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)53.953.8107.7+0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)51.056.2107.2-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)50.754.6105.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)46.253.499.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.060.0110.0-10.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.955.5108.4-2.642%-
vs Weaker (8)51.252.8104.0-1.525%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H27/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H13/01
NBA
112.0Avg total
56.4Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.549.8103.2+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.948.6101.6+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)54.251.2105.4+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)56.455.6112.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)51.851.8103.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)52.149.9102.0+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.849.2104.0+5.569%-
vs Weaker (2)51.553.0104.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.327.8
51.2%
51.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
36.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.017.8
77.4%
76.5%17.8
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.0
53.3%
51.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.5
37.9%
36.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.7
77.0%
76.5%15.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWWLLW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLLLWWWW
#12
League position
#25
-0.7
Net rating
+2.3
106.4
Offensive rating
111.7
107.1
Defensive rating
109.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.0%
Turnover %
9.7%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
15.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
37.9%
61.9%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 111.7Defence107.1 · 109.4Shooting51.1% · 54.6%3-point %34.0% · 37.9%Ball care14.0% · 9.7%Off. rebounds23.4% · 15.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs80-112
13/01/18HMemphis Grizzlies87-78
11/01/18HAtlanta Hawks97-110
09/01/18AGolden State Warriors114-124
07/01/18ASacramento Kings98-106
06/01/18HUtah Jazz99-91
04/01/18HPhoenix Suns134-111
31/12/17HPhiladelphia 76ers102-107
28/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves125-128 OT
27/12/17HUtah Jazz107-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/18HLos Angeles Lakers101-107 OT
11/01/18ACharlotte Hornets115-111
10/01/18HOrlando Magic114-99
08/01/18HNew York Knicks96-100
06/01/18HChicago Bulls124-127
04/01/18HGolden State Warriors122-125
01/01/18AOklahoma City Thunder116-113
30/12/17ANew Orleans Pelicans128-120
28/12/17AIndiana Pacers98-94
27/12/17HToronto Raptors98-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482127
Win %52%71%37%
Points / game106.2108.6104.3
Allowed / game105.7101.9108.6
Point differential+0.5+6.7-4.3
Avg total211.8210.5212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%5%7%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayLWWWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502723
Win %38%44%30%
Points / game102.5104.0100.8
Allowed / game103.7101.3106.6
Point differential-1.2+2.8-5.8
Avg total206.2205.3207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)30% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors49381178%115.7106.9+8.8
2 Boston Celtics49381178%103.597.9+5.6
3 Houston Rockets46331372%113.8106.2+7.6
4 Toronto Raptors47321568%112.0104.4+7.6
5 San Antonio Spurs50321864%102.098.1+3.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves49311863%108.7105.2+3.5
7 Washington Wizards48282058%106.9104.6+2.4
8 Miami Heat49282157%100.9102.2-1.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers48272156%108.5108.5-0.0
10 Oklahoma City Thunder47262155%103.7100.6+3.2
11 Indiana Pacers47262155%107.1105.5+1.6
12 Portland Trail Blazers48262254%104.6103.0+1.6
13 Denver Nuggets48252352%106.2105.7+0.5
14 Detroit Pistons47242351%102.5102.0+0.6
15 New Orleans Pelicans47242351%110.4111.2-0.8
16 Milwaukee Bucks47242351%104.6106.0-1.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers48242450%107.2106.8+0.4
18 Philadelphia 76ers45222349%108.5108.2+0.3
19 Utah Jazz46202643%101.3101.8-0.4
20 New York Knicks49202941%103.7105.8-2.2
21 Charlotte Hornets47192840%104.6105.3-0.7
22 Chicago Bulls50203040%102.5108.4-5.9
23 Brooklyn Nets48192940%106.7108.8-2.0
24 Dallas Mavericks50193138%102.5103.7-1.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies47173036%99.7101.5-1.8
26 Phoenix Suns48173135%105.3112.5-7.2
27 Los Angeles Lakers49173235%105.8109.6-3.9
28 Orlando Magic50163432%104.5109.2-4.7
29 Atlanta Hawks48143429%103.1107.1-4.0
30 Sacramento Kings49143529%96.9105.9-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30312519105
Dallas Mavericks27212133102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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