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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 124-114
37-28 27-29 29-24 31-33
Position#2
Record32-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game106.0
vs
Position#12
Record21-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 114
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-106
113
106
+7
106avg 114
H23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
70avg 114
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 114
H25/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
126-101
126
101
+25
136avg 114
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
100-111
100
111
-11
99avg 114
H30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
141-128
141
128
+13
146avg 114
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
125-122
125
122
+3
128avg 114
A04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
124-114
124
114
+10
127avg 114
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
121-105
121
105
+16
117avg 114
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
32-23
18-14
23-19
27-24
34-20
23-28
29-34
20-22
21-31
21-20
19-23
24-28
22-16
25-23
28-25
23-24
25-23
42-22
36-32
29-32
24-21
22-26
25-32
40-38
38-29
38-31
25-30
35-26
32-35
24-28
34-33
33-37
29-26
31-27
31-24
31-28
33-27
39-21
18-29
218.6Avg total
112.7Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)115.8106.0221.7+9.880%
Season at home (20)113.5104.0217.5+9.675%
Season away (20)118.0108.0225.9+10.085%
Last 10 (10)112.7105.9218.6+6.880%
Last 5 (5)122.2116.0238.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)114.7107.5222.2+7.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)114.0103.3217.3+10.788%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
94-95
94
95
-1
84avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
104-112
104
112
-8
106avg 105
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
102-85
102
85
+17
96avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
107-83
107
83
+24
107avg 105
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
118avg 105
A28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
102-107
102
107
-5
88avg 105
H31/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
134-111
134
111
+23
145avg 105
H04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
99-91
99
91
+8
87avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
98-106
98
106
-8
93avg 105
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
26-20
32-18
18-25
24-17
28-33
32-30
20-32
28-22
24-19
28-25
22-19
22-20
31-21
20-21
23-19
28-20
22-14
26-25
31-24
23-35
35-36
24-17
32-26
29-31
32-27
19-25
22-24
34-26
27-41
37-18
36-26
23-26
23-23
38-16
15-26
27-29
14-17
30-33
27-27
206.0Avg total
106.1Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)107.4105.6213.0+1.854%
Season at home (18)111.7103.1214.8+8.678%
Season away (21)103.8107.7211.4-3.933%
Last 10 (10)106.199.9206.0+6.250%
Last 5 (5)111.6108.6220.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)99.7111.0210.7-11.333%
vs Similar (18)107.3106.1213.4+1.344%
vs Weaker (9)111.8104.3216.1+7.478%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A06/01
NBA
111.4Avg total
57.6Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.553.6110.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.951.2107.2+4.769%-
Last 30 away (14)57.156.4113.4+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)57.653.8111.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)64.859.8124.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)53.759.2112.8-5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)57.252.2109.4+4.967%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H31/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/01
NBA
102.7Avg total
51.8Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.7108.3-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.553.6110.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)51.155.7106.8-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)51.850.9102.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)53.458.2111.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)49.358.7108.0-9.333%-
vs Similar (18)53.654.8108.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker (9)55.053.1108.1+1.944%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.9
56.3%
51.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
36.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.718.0
82.9%
76.5%18.0
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.2
55.0%
51.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.1
35.2%
36.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.4
77.7%
76.5%16.4
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#12
+6.7
Net rating
+6.4
111.6
Offensive rating
109.2
104.9
Defensive rating
102.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.8%
3-point %
35.2%
73.7%
Assist %
60.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 109.2Defence104.9 · 102.8Shooting55.4% · 54.2%3-point %35.8% · 35.2%Ball care14.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.4% · 23.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers121-105
05/01/18AHouston Rockets124-114
04/01/18ADallas Mavericks125-122
31/12/17HMemphis Grizzlies141-128
30/12/17HCharlotte Hornets100-111
28/12/17HUtah Jazz126-101
25/12/17HCleveland Cavaliers99-92
24/12/17HDenver Nuggets81-96
23/12/17HLos Angeles Lakers113-106
21/12/17HMemphis Grizzlies97-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/18ASacramento Kings98-106
06/01/18HUtah Jazz99-91
04/01/18HPhoenix Suns134-111
31/12/17HPhiladelphia 76ers102-107
28/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves125-128 OT
27/12/17HUtah Jazz107-83
24/12/17AGolden State Warriors96-81
23/12/17APortland Trail Blazers102-85
21/12/17HMinnesota Timberwolves104-112
19/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder94-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %80%75%85%
Points / game115.8113.5118.0
Allowed / game106.0104.0108.0
Point differential+9.8+9.6+10.1
Avg total221.7217.5225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %54%78%33%
Points / game107.4111.7103.8
Allowed / game105.6103.1107.7
Point differential+1.8+8.6-3.9
Avg total213.0214.8211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4032880%115.8106.0+9.8
2 Boston Celtics43331077%102.797.6+5.1
3 Toronto Raptors38281074%112.1104.2+7.9
4 Houston Rockets39281172%114.9107.1+7.8
5 San Antonio Spurs42281467%101.698.4+3.3
6 Cleveland Cavaliers40261465%110.2108.2+2.0
7 Minnesota Timberwolves42261662%108.4105.0+3.4
8 Washington Wizards40231757%106.5104.0+2.4
9 Miami Heat39221756%100.9102.2-1.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder40221855%104.8101.2+3.6
11 Denver Nuggets39211854%107.4105.6+1.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers39211854%102.9101.8+1.1
13 Detroit Pistons39211854%101.9101.9+0.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks39211854%105.9106.4-0.5
15 Indiana Pacers40211952%107.3106.6+0.7
16 New Orleans Pelicans39201951%110.8110.9-0.2
17 Philadelphia 76ers38191950%108.6107.9+0.6
18 New York Knicks40192148%103.2103.9-0.7
19 Los Angeles Clippers38172145%106.0106.7-0.7
20 Utah Jazz40162440%100.9101.7-0.8
21 Charlotte Hornets38152339%105.0106.0-0.9
22 Phoenix Suns42162638%105.7112.1-6.4
23 Brooklyn Nets40152538%106.5108.8-2.2
24 Chicago Bulls41142734%101.8108.1-6.3
25 Sacramento Kings39132633%97.6106.2-8.5
26 Dallas Mavericks41132832%102.0104.4-2.4
27 Memphis Grizzlies39122731%98.9102.4-3.5
28 Los Angeles Lakers39122731%107.0111.8-4.7
29 Orlando Magic40122830%105.1110.7-5.6
30 Atlanta Hawks39102926%103.7108.5-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors37272931124
Denver Nuggets28292433114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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