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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 106-104
30-30 30-25 20-26 26-23
Position#14
Record36-21
FormLWWLW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game97.6
vs
Position#12
Record29-26
FormLWWWL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
09 Apr 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
08 Oct 2017
SAS122
DEN100
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
12 Oct 2012
SAS91
DEN97
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
112-80
112
80
+32
H14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
99-102
99
102
-3
A15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
100-95
100
95
+5
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H22/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
114-102
114
102
+12
H24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
108-85
108
85
+23
A25/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
78-97
78
97
-19
H27/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-98
113
98
+15
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
23-29
24-19
19-25
32-16
24-28
26-25
30-11
23-21
25-23
25-28
26-30
31-26
20-20
25-18
24-31
18-17
19-27
23-19
23-23
23-22
20-24
16-25
27-23
25-29
38-26
26-26
25-21
22-21
29-19
26-24
31-21
13-25
18-25
30-31
17-16
29-22
20-28
30-19
34-29
190.6Avg total
97.4Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)101.497.6199.0+3.863%
Season at home (28)106.197.7203.8+8.482%
Season away (29)96.997.5194.4-0.645%
Last 10 (10)97.493.2190.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)99.895.2195.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)109.0124.0233.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)97.696.5194.1+1.147%
vs Weaker (14)102.796.3199.0+6.479%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
97-110
97
110
-13
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
80-112
80
112
-32
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
105-102
105
102
+3
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
104-109
104
109
-5
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
104-101
104
101
+3
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
130-118
130
118
+12
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
110-111
110
111
-1
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
25-25
32-28
19-28
16-26
27-21
24-13
20-18
16-32
28-24
25-26
11-30
30-27
31-21
25-21
19-33
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
21-32
24-24
37-24
28-31
204.6Avg total
100.8Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)106.2105.6211.8+0.553%
Season at home (27)108.1102.6210.7+5.670%
Season away (28)104.3108.6212.9-4.336%
Last 10 (10)100.8103.8204.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)107.0105.4212.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0102.5207.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)105.8105.8211.5+0.045%
vs Weaker (8)107.5103.8211.2+3.862%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H27/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H29/01
NBA
93.5Avg total
46.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.549.097.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.650.2100.8+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.948.295.1-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.893.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.295.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.060.0103.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)48.250.198.3-1.940%-
vs Weaker (14)49.247.196.4+2.164%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H30/01
NBA
103.8Avg total
51.6Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.054.2107.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.953.7106.6-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)53.154.8107.9-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)51.652.2103.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)52.653.4106.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.052.5107.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)52.853.5106.3-0.845%-
vs Weaker (8)53.156.2109.4-3.125%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.528.4
47.7%
51.0%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.5
35.0%
36.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
76.5%15.1
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.827.3
49.8%
51.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
36.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.717.4
76.7%
76.5%17.4
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWLLWLWL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLLWLWL
#14
League position
#12
+4.4
Net rating
-3.1
102.9
Offensive rating
104.0
98.5
Defensive rating
107.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
32.2%
64.8%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 104.0Defence98.5 · 107.1Shooting49.1% · 49.3%3-point %35.0% · 32.2%Ball care13.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds21.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/18HSacramento Kings113-98
27/01/18HPhiladelphia 76ers78-97
25/01/18AMemphis Grizzlies108-85
24/01/18HCleveland Cavaliers114-102
22/01/18HIndiana Pacers86-94
20/01/18AToronto Raptors83-86
18/01/18ABrooklyn Nets100-95
15/01/18AAtlanta Hawks99-102
14/01/18HDenver Nuggets112-80
12/01/18ALos Angeles Lakers81-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/18HBoston Celtics110-111
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109
17/01/18HDallas Mavericks105-102
14/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs80-112
13/01/18HMemphis Grizzlies87-78
11/01/18HAtlanta Hawks97-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeWLWLW82%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %63%82%45%
Points / game101.4106.196.9
Allowed / game97.697.797.5
Point differential+3.8+8.4-0.6
Avg total199.0203.8194.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)83% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %53%70%36%
Points / game106.2108.1104.3
Allowed / game105.6102.6108.6
Point differential+0.5+5.6-4.3
Avg total211.8210.7212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)62% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors54421278%115.8107.4+8.5
2 Houston Rockets53391474%113.4105.7+7.7
3 Boston Celtics55401573%103.398.5+4.8
4 Toronto Raptors54371769%110.9103.7+7.2
5 San Antonio Spurs57362163%101.497.6+3.8
6 Minnesota Timberwolves57342360%108.9106.3+2.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder54322259%105.7101.5+4.1
8 Portland Trail Blazers54312357%105.3103.0+2.3
9 Washington Wizards54312357%107.1105.2+1.8
10 Miami Heat56322457%100.3101.5-1.2
11 Indiana Pacers54302456%106.3105.0+1.4
12 Cleveland Cavaliers54302456%109.0109.4-0.4
13 Milwaukee Bucks53282553%104.7105.5-0.7
14 Denver Nuggets55292653%106.2105.6+0.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans54282652%110.1110.9-0.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers52262650%107.9106.8+1.0
17 Los Angeles Clippers54272750%107.6107.4+0.2
18 Detroit Pistons54252946%102.9103.1-0.2
19 Utah Jazz52242846%102.1102.1-0.0
20 New York Knicks56233341%104.5106.5-2.1
21 Charlotte Hornets54223241%105.0105.3-0.2
22 Memphis Grizzlies54213339%100.2101.8-1.6
23 Brooklyn Nets55213438%105.6108.4-2.8
24 Los Angeles Lakers55213438%105.9109.3-3.4
25 Chicago Bulls56213538%103.2109.0-5.8
26 Dallas Mavericks57203735%101.8103.1-1.4
27 Phoenix Suns55183733%105.0112.4-7.4
28 Atlanta Hawks55173831%102.8107.2-4.4
29 Orlando Magic55173831%104.6108.9-4.4
30 Sacramento Kings56173930%97.4105.9-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs30302026106
Denver Nuggets30252623104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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