PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 127-124
40-33 32-24 32-32 23-35
Position#12
Record26-25
FormWWWLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#11
Record30-21
FormWWWWL
Points / game106.1
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 103
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
80-112
80
112
-32
66avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
105-102
105
102
+3
97avg 103
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
94avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 103
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
110-111
110
111
-1
105avg 103
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
104-106
104
106
-2
94avg 103
A31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
27-21
24-13
20-18
16-32
28-24
25-26
11-30
30-27
31-21
25-21
19-33
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
21-32
24-24
37-24
28-31
30-30
25-30
26-20
23-26
204.9Avg total
101.5Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)106.2105.6211.8+0.651%
Season at home (26)109.0102.8211.8+6.273%
Season away (25)103.2108.5211.7-5.228%
Last 10 (10)101.5103.4204.9-1.950%
Last 5 (5)107.8105.0212.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0102.5207.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.6106.0212.6+0.639%
vs Weaker (10)105.0103.3208.3+1.760%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
88-104
88
104
-16
72avg 96
A11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
87avg 96
A13/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
95-88
95
88
+7
87avg 96
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
114-90
114
90
+24
108avg 96
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
148-124
148
124
+24
149avg 96
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
109-108
109
108
+1
89avg 96
H24/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
121-112
121
112
+9
108avg 96
H26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
121-108
121
108
+13
109avg 96
A27/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
122-112
122
112
+10
108avg 96
H28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
96-102
96
102
-6
88avg 96
A31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-24
18-29
23-28
31-28
24-31
18-17
28-15
20-24
26-28
31-16
18-20
33-25
27-29
33-18
21-18
43-24
33-36
38-34
34-30
30-26
17-33
27-26
35-23
25-20
29-20
28-34
39-38
36-24
33-33
29-24
23-27
31-29
26-29
35-25
30-29
25-30
29-23
22-22
20-27
215.4Avg total
111.5Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)106.1102.0208.1+4.159%
Season at home (26)107.4100.9208.3+6.573%
Season away (25)104.8103.2207.9+1.644%
Last 10 (10)111.5103.9215.4+7.680%
Last 5 (5)113.8108.4222.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0107.0219.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)108.7103.3212.0+5.574%
vs Weaker (10)107.7104.1211.8+3.660%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A31/01
NBA
105.3Avg total
52.5Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.853.9106.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.352.7105.0-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)53.355.1108.4-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)52.552.8105.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)53.653.4107.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.052.5107.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.954.3107.2-1.439%-
vs Weaker (10)52.153.6105.7-1.540%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A13/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H24/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A27/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A31/01
NBA
110.4Avg total
56.5Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.752.1106.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.751.6105.2+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)55.952.7108.6+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)56.553.9110.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)56.253.4109.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.057.0115.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.751.2105.8+3.558%-
vs Weaker (10)54.453.4107.8+1.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.327.4
49.5%
51.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.7
34.2%
36.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.117.6
79.6%
76.5%17.6
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.8
52.3%
51.0%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.8
33.1%
36.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws26.118.5
70.9%
76.5%18.5
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLLWLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#11
-2.0
Net rating
+7.6
105.1
Offensive rating
112.2
107.1
Defensive rating
104.6
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.2%
3-point %
33.1%
63.9%
Assist %
48.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 112.2Defence107.1 · 104.6Shooting50.1% · 51.4%3-point %34.2% · 33.1%Ball care15.2% · 13.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 33.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs104-106
30/01/18HBoston Celtics110-111
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109
17/01/18HDallas Mavericks105-102
14/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs80-112
13/01/18HMemphis Grizzlies87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/18AWashington Wizards96-102
28/01/18HPhiladelphia 76ers122-112
27/01/18ADetroit Pistons121-108
26/01/18HWashington Wizards121-112
24/01/18HBrooklyn Nets109-108
20/01/18ACleveland Cavaliers148-124
18/01/18HLos Angeles Lakers114-90
16/01/18HSacramento Kings95-88
13/01/18ACharlotte Hornets101-91
11/01/18AMinnesota Timberwolves88-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL51%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %51%73%28%
Points / game106.2109.0103.2
Allowed / game105.6102.8108.5
Point differential+0.6+6.2-5.2
Avg total211.8211.8211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)62% (8)20% (5)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %59%73%44%
Points / game106.1107.4104.8
Allowed / game102.0100.9103.2
Point differential+4.1+6.5+1.6
Avg total208.1208.3207.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%35%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)60% (10)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors51401178%115.6107.7+8.0
2 Houston Rockets50371374%113.8106.1+7.7
3 Boston Celtics52371571%103.198.3+4.8
4 Toronto Raptors50341668%111.2104.2+7.0
5 San Antonio Spurs54342063%100.797.6+3.1
6 Minnesota Timberwolves55332260%108.9105.7+3.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers50302060%109.6109.3+0.3
8 Oklahoma City Thunder51302159%106.1102.0+4.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers51292257%104.9103.1+1.9
10 Washington Wizards51292257%107.3105.6+1.7
11 Miami Heat51292257%100.2100.9-0.6
12 Indiana Pacers52292356%106.5105.3+1.2
13 New Orleans Pelicans50272354%110.8110.7+0.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks50272354%104.8105.4-0.6
15 Denver Nuggets51262551%106.2105.6+0.6
16 Philadelphia 76ers48242450%107.9106.9+1.0
17 Los Angeles Clippers50252550%107.6107.3+0.3
18 Detroit Pistons50242648%102.8103.1-0.3
19 New York Knicks52232944%104.5105.9-1.4
20 Utah Jazz50222844%102.0102.1-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets50212942%105.7105.6+0.1
22 Los Angeles Lakers50193138%106.7110.3-3.6
23 Brooklyn Nets52193337%105.2108.8-3.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies51183335%99.8102.5-2.7
25 Chicago Bulls51183335%103.6109.3-5.7
26 Phoenix Suns52183435%104.9111.8-6.9
27 Sacramento Kings50163432%98.2106.5-8.3
28 Dallas Mavericks52163631%101.4103.7-2.3
29 Orlando Magic50153530%105.7110.3-4.6
30 Atlanta Hawks51153629%103.6108.3-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets40323223127
Oklahoma City Thunder33243235124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.