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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 119-91
30-16 35-33 27-30 27-12
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#28
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game100.0
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 103
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
126avg 103
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
125avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
107-104
107
104
+3
105avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
89avg 103
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
134-115
134
115
+19
135avg 103
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 103
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
93avg 103
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 103
A18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
22-34
41-20
16-38
32-19
27-26
22-20
28-27
30-31
27-24
24-30
28-18
21-24
33-26
33-32
35-31
33-26
28-23
14-26
24-20
22-13
26-29
28-33
27-24
20-15
29-24
30-30
15-18
33-26
220.4Avg total
111.0Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.098.0205.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)107.098.0205.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)111.0109.4220.4+1.670%
Last 5 (5)107.0100.6207.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.3121.0230.3-11.70%
vs Similar (21)116.4113.2229.6+3.271%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)116.2106.7222.8+9.567%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-105
99
105
-6
84avg 94
A24/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
84avg 94
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
99-111
99
111
-12
82avg 94
H29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
103-104
103
104
-1
98avg 94
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-117
107
117
-10
99avg 94
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
97-94
97
94
+3
91avg 94
H04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
103-122
103
122
-19
88avg 94
H07/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
100-117
100
117
-17
88avg 94
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
124-97
124
97
+27
135avg 94
A11/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
121-100
121
100
+21
128avg 94
H18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-12
28-39
25-28
15-31
30-17
20-29
29-25
32-27
24-31
26-27
17-26
25-22
32-18
29-35
17-29
24-22
35-36
18-36
30-23
22-22
24-18
27-29
24-25
21-39
25-24
24-23
33-36
29-33
21-31
22-27
28-26
29-26
15-28
39-22
41-21
37-24
19-22
27-27
38-27
211.6Avg total
104.7Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)121.0100.0221.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)121.0100.0221.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)104.7106.9211.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)109.0106.0215.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)102.7116.3218.9-13.67%
vs Similar (3)106.3103.0209.3+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/10
NBA
110.7Avg total
56.3Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.456.4115.7+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.956.7114.6+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)60.556.1116.6+4.465%-
Last 10 (10)56.354.4110.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.4109.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.062.3114.3-10.30%-
vs Similar (21)59.456.4115.8+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)63.053.3116.3+9.783%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A24/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H07/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H18/10
NBA
101.4Avg total
50.5Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.655.7106.3-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.157.1108.1-6.033%-
Last 30 away (15)50.154.3104.4-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)50.550.9101.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.453.4101.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)50.356.3106.6-6.030%-
vs Similar (3)53.050.0103.0+3.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.329.6
51.7%
51.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.5
34.2%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.620.3
76.3%
76.6%20.3
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.628.6
52.4%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.9
35.6%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
76.6%14.8
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWLL
Phoenix Suns
WWLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#28
+1.6
Net rating
-2.2
109.9
Offensive rating
104.9
108.4
Defensive rating
107.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.2%
3-point %
35.6%
63.8%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 104.9Defence108.4 · 107.1Shooting51.5% · 52.8%3-point %34.2% · 35.6%Ball care12.4% · 14.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 19.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/18ALos Angeles Clippers107-98
12/04/18AMinnesota Timberwolves106-112 OT
10/04/18HPortland Trail Blazers88-82
07/04/18ALos Angeles Clippers134-115
06/04/18HMinnesota Timberwolves100-96
04/04/18HIndiana Pacers107-104
02/04/18HMilwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/18HDallas Mavericks121-100
11/04/18ADallas Mavericks124-97
09/04/18HGolden State Warriors100-117
07/04/18HNew Orleans Pelicans103-122
04/04/18HSacramento Kings97-94
02/04/18AGolden State Warriors107-117
31/03/18AHouston Rockets103-104
29/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers99-111
27/03/18HBoston Celtics94-102
24/03/18AOrlando Magic99-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game107.0-107.0
Allowed / game98.0-98.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total205.0-205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game121.0121.0-
Allowed / game100.0100.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total221.0221.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns110100%121.0100.0+21.0
2 New Orleans Pelicans220100%140.0120.5+19.5
3 Toronto Raptors330100%115.3106.0+9.3
4 Denver Nuggets110100%107.098.0+9.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks220100%115.5106.5+9.0
6 Portland Trail Blazers110100%128.0119.0+9.0
7 Golden State Warriors220100%116.0111.5+4.5
8 San Antonio Spurs110100%112.0108.0+4.0
9 Detroit Pistons220100%110.5108.0+2.5
10 Charlotte Hornets32167%115.0104.3+10.7
11 Indiana Pacers32167%114.7104.3+10.3
12 Boston Celtics32167%103.0100.3+2.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers32167%110.0109.3+0.7
14 Los Angeles Clippers21150%103.099.5+3.5
15 Utah Jazz21150%123.0120.5+2.5
16 Memphis Grizzlies21150%107.0114.0-7.0
17 Dallas Mavericks21150%120.0128.5-8.5
18 New York Knicks31233%110.7105.7+5.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%125.0125.0+0.0
20 Miami Heat31233%108.7109.7-1.0
21 Brooklyn Nets31233%106.3113.3-7.0
22 Orlando Magic31233%102.3112.3-10.0
23 Washington Wizards2020%112.5115.0-2.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers1010%119.0128.0-9.0
25 Cleveland Cavaliers2020%113.5123.5-10.0
26 Chicago Bulls2020%112.0122.5-10.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder2020%96.0108.0-12.0
28 Sacramento Kings2020%123.0136.0-13.0
29 Atlanta Hawks2020%112.0128.5-16.5
30 Houston Rockets1010%112.0131.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30352727119
Phoenix Suns1633301291
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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