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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#29
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game118.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 113
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 113
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 113
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 113
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 113
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 113
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar (14)113.9114.5228.4-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)127.5118.0245.5+9.592%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 99
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 99
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 99
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 99
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 99
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 99
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 99
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 99
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
118-125
118
125
-7
105avg 99
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
27-27
26-36
36-29
29-33
221.9Avg total
105.1Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)107.5118.6226.1-11.28%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (6)105.2119.0224.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)105.1116.8221.9-11.70%
Last 5 (5)107.0118.0225.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)110.5126.7237.2-16.30%
vs Similar (7)123.7120.1243.9+3.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (14)58.656.8115.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)62.261.4123.6+0.850%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A14/11
NBA
108.5Avg total
50.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.561.6117.1-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.560.7119.3-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)50.957.6108.5-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)54.861.4116.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.063.9119.0-8.913%-
vs Similar (7)57.153.9111.0+3.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.926.0
52.1%
54.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.1
32.3%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.719.4
78.5%
77.3%19.4
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#29
-1.6
Net rating
-10.1
110.1
Offensive rating
104.7
111.6
Defensive rating
114.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.2%
3-point %
32.3%
65.9%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.7Defence111.6 · 114.8Shooting53.6% · 50.5%3-point %32.2% · 32.3%Ball care11.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds16.8% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Denver Nuggets wins
0
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHouston Rockets118-125
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game107.5109.4105.2
Allowed / game118.6118.3119.0
Point differential-11.2-8.9-13.8
Avg total226.1227.7224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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